Kentucky Oaks Day · Churchill Downs · 2026-05-01

Races analyzed

Standout tier

Live tier

Open tier

Race	Type	Distance	Post	Top pick	ML	TBredIQ	Tier
R1	Maiden Special Weight	16 Mile · Dirt	12:30 PM ET	#1 PHANTOM BLUE	4-5	100	Standout	Read →
R2	Allowance	1 Mile · Dirt	1:00 PM ET	#9 FIVE A SIDE	3-1	100	Open	Read →
R3	Allowance	16 Mile · Dirt	1:30 PM ET	#9 LEINANI	5-1	100	Open	Read →
R4	Maiden Special Weight	7 Furlongs · Dirt	2:00 PM ET	#1 HEDGE BOOK	7-2	100	Open	Read →
R5	Maiden Special Weight	1 Mile · Turf	2:35 PM ET	#6 EXECUTIVE	4-1	100	Open	Read →
R6	Allowance	5 Furlongs · Dirt	3:12 PM ET	#6 CARMEL COAST	3-1	100	Open	Read →
R7	Stakes	5 Furlongs · Turf	3:48 PM ET	#6 SHISOSPICY	9-5	100	Open	Read →
R8	Stakes	7 Furlongs · Dirt	4:30 PM ET	#9 ON TIME GIRL	5-2	100	Open	Read →
R9	Stakes	16 Mile · Dirt	5:12 PM ET	#2 BAEZA	5-2	100	Open	Read →
R10	Stakes	1 1/8 Mile · Turf	6:01 PM ET	#6 GEZORA	4-5	100	Live	Read →
R11	Stakes	16 Mile · Dirt	6:56 PM ET	#9 FULLY SUBSCRIBED	7-2	100	Open	Read →
R12	Stakes	16 Mile · Turf	7:40 PM ET	#3 IMAGINATIONTHELADY	4-1	100	Open	Read →
R13 THE DERBY	Stakes	1 1/8 Mile · Dirt	8:40 PM ET	#2 ZANY	4-1	100	Open	Read →

Race

Type

Distance

Post

Top pick

TBredIQ

Tier

Maiden Special Weight

16 Mile · Dirt

12:30 PM ET

#1 PHANTOM BLUE

4-5

100

Standout

Read →

Allowance

1 Mile · Dirt

1:00 PM ET

#9 FIVE A SIDE

3-1

100

Open

Read →

Allowance

16 Mile · Dirt

1:30 PM ET

#9 LEINANI

5-1

100

Open

Read →

Maiden Special Weight

7 Furlongs · Dirt

2:00 PM ET

#1 HEDGE BOOK

7-2

100

Open

Read →

Maiden Special Weight

1 Mile · Turf

2:35 PM ET

#6 EXECUTIVE

4-1

100

Open

Read →

Allowance

5 Furlongs · Dirt

3:12 PM ET

#6 CARMEL COAST

3-1

100

Open

Read →

Stakes

5 Furlongs · Turf

3:48 PM ET

#6 SHISOSPICY

9-5

100

Open

Read →

Stakes

7 Furlongs · Dirt

4:30 PM ET

#9 ON TIME GIRL

5-2

100

Open

Read →

Stakes

16 Mile · Dirt

5:12 PM ET

#2 BAEZA

5-2

100

Open

Read →

R10

Stakes

1 1/8 Mile · Turf

6:01 PM ET

#6 GEZORA

4-5

100

Live

Read →

R11

Stakes

16 Mile · Dirt

6:56 PM ET

#9 FULLY SUBSCRIBED

7-2

100

Open

Read →

R12

Stakes

16 Mile · Turf

7:40 PM ET

#3 IMAGINATIONTHELADY

4-1

100

Open

Read →

R13 THE DERBY

Stakes

1 1/8 Mile · Dirt

8:40 PM ET

#2 ZANY

4-1

100

Open

Read →

Bet	Race span	Per-leg coverage	Combos	Ticket cost
Pick 4	R7–R10	3 × 3 × 4 × 3	108	$54.00
Pick 4 R7–R10, top-3 each leg, top-4 on 1 Open-tier leg.
Horses by leg: R7: 6, 5, 8 R8: 9, 8, 3 R9: 2, 7, 4, 9 R10: 6, 3, 2
Pick 5	R6–R10	4 × 3 × 3 × 4 × 3	432	$216.00
Pick 5 R6–R10, top-3 each leg, top-4 on 2 Open-tier legs.
Horses by leg: R6: 6, 5, 1, 12 R7: 6, 5, 8 R8: 9, 8, 3 R9: 2, 7, 4, 9 R10: 6, 3, 2
Pick 6	R5–R10	4 × 4 × 3 × 3 × 4 × 3	1728	$345.60
Pick 6 R5–R10, top-3 each leg, top-4 on 3 Open-tier legs.
Horses by leg: R5: 6, 10, 11, 1 R6: 6, 5, 1, 12 R7: 6, 5, 8 R8: 9, 8, 3 R9: 2, 7, 4, 9 R10: 6, 3, 2

Bet

Race span

Per-leg coverage

Combos

Ticket cost

Pick 4

R7–R10

3 × 3 × 4 × 3

108

$54.00

Pick 4 R7–R10, top-3 each leg, top-4 on 1 Open-tier leg.

Horses by leg: R7: 6, 5, 8 R8: 9, 8, 3 R9: 2, 7, 4, 9 R10: 6, 3, 2

Pick 5

R6–R10

4 × 3 × 3 × 4 × 3

432

$216.00

Pick 5 R6–R10, top-3 each leg, top-4 on 2 Open-tier legs.

Horses by leg: R6: 6, 5, 1, 12 R7: 6, 5, 8 R8: 9, 8, 3 R9: 2, 7, 4, 9 R10: 6, 3, 2

Pick 6

R5–R10

4 × 4 × 3 × 3 × 4 × 3

1728

$345.60

Pick 6 R5–R10, top-3 each leg, top-4 on 3 Open-tier legs.

Horses by leg: R5: 6, 10, 11, 1 R6: 6, 5, 1, 12 R7: 6, 5, 8 R8: 9, 8, 3 R9: 2, 7, 4, 9 R10: 6, 3, 2

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not a recommendation to place any wager. Past performance does not predict future performance. Wager responsibly — problem gambling helpline: 1-800-522-4700. See full disclaimer at tbrediq.com/legal/disclaimer.

152nd Kentucky Oaks — TBredIQ's Top Four