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FINISHSTART250 YARDS · DIRT · mainstraight course

INDIANA DOWNS · RACE 9

UPCOMING

State-Bred Maiden Special Weight

Field
9 runners
Purse
$18,000
Post
6:15 PM ET
Pace
Pace Vacuum
IQ top
#3 · 91
PANELPASS · lean #8 GV FIREBALL [MAX]see full panel →

Maiden Special Weight, for 3-year-olds and up, restricted to state-bred (registered) horses.

Maiden special weight — for horses that have never won a race. No horses are for sale; this is the higher-quality way to break a maiden.

● Breed: Quarter Horse

● Track record at 250 Yards: 13.08

The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.

Our number tops on #3 Eos Running Roxie (a tactical type, M/L 3-1). Recent figures: 85 · 84 · 78. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #6 Miss Ktb 23 at 2-1. Use #4 S Predestinado in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

The field, ranked

Our order, top to bottom.

Pace Vacuum: No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.

1WIN
3Eos Running Roxie
Jockey Luz Daniel Martinez 33% career ★ 8-for-33 on dirt this meet (24%), #2 of 38 · Trainer Tony Cunningham 28% career
7/10 board here

3rd last time, ¾ length back, in a field of 10. Winless in 12 starts at this distance.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
WORKS Routine prep: 0 works in 30d, last 222d ago
RECORD 0 wins, 7 on the board from 10 starts here
M/L3-1
IQ91
TierContender
StyleNA
Last3rd · 28d
2PLACE
6Miss Ktb 23
Jockey Rolando Del Rio Pina 32% career 3-for-36 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer Tim Eggleston 34% career 12-for-115 on dirt this meet (10%)
Also today · Trainer R1: Staymistyforme 7-2

Tops the field on speed figures, a 101 against 90 for the next best. Sheds 5 pounds from its last start.

PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.
WORKS Routine prep: 0 works in 30d, last 210d ago
RECORD 0 wins, 3 on the board from 8 starts here
M/L2-1
IQ78
TierContender
StyleNA
Last2nd · 13d
3SHOW
4S Predestinado
Jockey Hugo Macias 20% career 0-for-18 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer Sacramento Chavez 27% career 1-for-19 on dirt this meet (5%)

Maiden through 12 starts. Gets a new rider, Hugo Macias replacing Yovani Flores-Munoz.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
WORKS Average work schedule for this field (0 works in 30d, last 68d ago)
RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 9 starts here
M/L5-2
IQ77
TierContender
StyleNA
Last2nd · 28d
4EXOTICS
8Gv Fireball
Jockey Giovani Vazquez-Gomez 27% career 3-for-30 on dirt this meet (10%) · Trainer Jessica A Vazquez 30% career 4-for-40 on dirt this meet (10%)

First career start, by Chilitos out of Gv Perlita. It has been schooling from the gate (latest Sep 29).

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 28d ago
M/L12-1
IQ63
TierLive
StyleNA
LastDebut
5EXOTICS
1Lb Vegas Train
Jockey Edgar Diaz 33% career 4-for-35 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer Claudio Barraza 32% career 6-for-41 on dirt this meet (15%)
0/8 board here

Ranks first in the field on Brisnet Prime Power. Last out was 9th, 2 lengths behind the winner, in a 10-horse maiden special weight race at IND.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.
WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 0 works in 30d, last 173d back
RECORD Not on the board in 8 starts here
M/L25-1
IQ42
TierLongshot
StyleNA
Last9th · 28d
6
5Aph Battle Captain
Jockey Diaz Luis Eduardo Luna 34% career 5-for-43 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Hipolito Bueno 13% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet
★ FASTEST WORK0/10 board here

Figures are climbing: 55, 66, 85 over its last three. 0 for 11 at today's distance.

PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.
WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 1F on Apr 15; 0 works in 30d
RECORD Never on the board here in 10 starts
M/L8-1
IQ40
TierLongshot
StyleNA
Last4th · 28d
7
9Secret Smoke
Jockey Cristian Penaloza 14% career 3-for-22 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Ron Raper 24% career 3-for-6 on dirt this meet

3rd of 7 at 1F on May 26, in :11.80. Still looking for the first win after 7 starts.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 0 works in 30d, last 50d back
RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 7 starts here
M/L20-1
IQ38
TierLongshot
StyleNA
Last8th · 47d
8
7Lil Kool Kate
Jockey Fernando Morin 30% career ★ 7-for-32 on dirt this meet (22%) · Trainer Karin Yike 14% career 0-for-7 on dirt this meet
0/6 board here

A 47-day gap since its last race. 0 for 6 at today's distance.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
WORKS Routine prep: 0 works in 30d, last 188d ago
RECORD Not on the board in 6 starts here
M/L10-1
IQ29
TierLongshot
StyleNA
Last5th · 47d
9
2Ipromiseyouthebeach
Jockey Yovani Flores-Munoz 14% career 2-for-27 on dirt this meet (7%) · Trainer Cesar Esqueda 15% career 1-for-12 on dirt this meet (8%)
0/4 board here

Has moved up each time out, 64 to 70 to 76. Jockey switch: Leonel Rios last out, Yovani Flores-Munoz today.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.
WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 0 works in 30d, last 46d back
RECORD Not on the board in 4 starts here
M/L20-1
IQ28
TierLongshot
StyleNA
Last8th · 28d

At a glance

  • Market favourite #6 MISS KTB 23 (2-1) — our number has it ranked #2.
  • #6 MISS KTB 23 — our #2 number, about right at the windows (24.6% to their 26.0%).
  • #4 S PREDESTINADO — our #3 number, about right at the windows (22.3% to their 22.3%).
  • #3 EOS RUNNING ROXIE — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (20.4% to their 19.5%).

Value read · analysis, not advice

Verdict: PASS — market efficient — no edge, pass
  • No price-band edge — the market looks efficient here.

Pace

Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.

and works against #1 Lb Vegas Train, #2 Ipromiseyouthebeach, #3 Eos Running Roxie.

Lead
none
Press
none
Stalk
none
Close
none
No style yet
1Lb Vegas Train2Ipromiseyouthebeach3Eos Running Roxie4S Predestinado5Aph Battle Captain6Miss Ktb 237Lil Kool Kate8Gv Fireball9Secret Smoke

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

7
Lil Kool Kate
15
9
Secret Smoke
15
6
Miss Ktb 23
12
1
Lb Vegas Train
11
2
Ipromiseyouthebeach
11
3
Eos Running Roxie
11
4
S Predestinado
11
5
Aph Battle Captain
11

How to play it

How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — a soft pace can let a forward type loose — protect with a saver on top. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.

Win

#3 Eos Running Roxie

Top of the field by a clear 13-pt IQ margin — the play stands alone to win.

Exacta — KEY

#3 Eos Running Roxie OVER #6 Miss Ktb 23 · #4 S Predestinado · #8 Gv Fireball

Key #3 Eos Running Roxie on top over your contenders for the 2nd slot.

Trifecta — KEY/WHEEL

#3 Eos Running Roxie / #6 Miss Ktb 23 · #4 S Predestinado · #8 Gv Fireball / #6 Miss Ktb 23 · #4 S Predestinado · #8 Gv Fireball · #1 Lb Vegas Train

#3 Eos Running Roxie keyed 1st, your contenders filling 2nd–3rd.

Superfecta — KEY

#3 Eos Running Roxie / #6 Miss Ktb 23 · #4 S Predestinado · #8 Gv Fireball · #1 Lb Vegas Train / #6 Miss Ktb 23 · #4 S Predestinado · #8 Gv Fireball · #1 Lb Vegas Train / ALL or #6 Miss Ktb 23 · #4 S Predestinado · #8 Gv Fireball · #1 Lb Vegas Train

Deep enough field to spread a super — key the top, spread the next few, fill 4th wide.

Bet types offered at this track →

EXACTA / TRIFECTA / 50 CENT TRIFECTA / SUPERFECTA / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA

10 CENT QH ONLY GRAND HIGH 5 (PENTAFECTA - SEPARATE CARRYOVER)

See the Wager Logic primer for takeout + hit-rate context on each bet type. We give the structure; the wagering decision and amount are yours.

For information only — not financial or wagering advice. Must be 21+ to wager where required by law. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, help is available.