Pick sheet

Race 95:27 PM Md Sp Wt

1.5F · Dirt · 13 entered. Our model's top pick, Vm Girls Flyinhigher, is 24% to win (morning line implies 18%). Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.

Top pick #7 Vm Girls Flyinhigher ML 5-2 Fair 3-1 Model #1 ▼ Down -3 ≡ Steady 73–79

Jockey B. Villamil · Trainer N. Perez · KEE 9: 0-1-1 · Dist 9: 0-1-1 · best fig at 1½f dirt 89 · 33 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/30	IND	1½f D	MCL 20k	6th/10 -1¾L	74	3.9-1	L	Brushd rval; gaining
8/29	IND	1.59091f D	JulieVeltm34k	4th/6 -3¼L	73	22-1	L	Never a menace
7/18	IND	1.81818f D	MSW	4th/9 by hd	78	3.5-1	L	Led; weakened late

Case: Last out 6th/10 -1¾L in the Md20000 at IND. Last Brisnet figures 74-73-78. Best at today's distance 89. 0-for-9 at the distance. 0-for-9 at Horseshoe Indianapolis. N. Perez / B. Villamil.

Knock: 0-for-9 at the distance.

Contender #4 Dale M ML 9-2 Fair 5-1 Model #2 ▲▲ Big jump +10 ↕ Up and down 60–91

Jockey F. Morin · Trainer E. Rodriguez · KEE 12: 0-2-0 · Dist 12: 0-2-0 · best fig at 1½f dirt 91 · 19 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/14	IND	1.36364f D	MSW	5th/10 -1½L	84	12-1	b L	Bmpd st; moved up
6/13	IND	1.36364f D	MSW	5th/10 -3L	72	3.8-1	b L	Rail; flattened
5/11	IND	1.59091f D	MDT	9th/10 -2½L	60	12-1	b L	Stmbld; bumped start

Case: Last out 5th/10 -1½L in the MdSpWt at IND. Last Brisnet figures 84-72-60. Best at today's distance 91. 0-for-12 at the distance. 0-for-12 at Horseshoe Indianapolis. E. Rodriguez / F. Morin.

Knock: 0-for-12 at the distance.

Use #5 Nighty Moon Flash ML 5-1 Fair 7-1 Model #3 ▼▼ Big drop -8 Last out 8th/10 -2¼L in the MdSpWt at IND. Last Brisnet figures 74-90-75. Best at today's distance 90. 0-for-10 at the distance. 0-for-6 at Horseshoe Indianapolis. T. Cunningham / L. Martinez. Knock: 0-for-10 at the distance.

Jockey L. Martinez · Trainer T. Cunningham · KEE 6: 0-0-0 · Dist 10: 0-2-0 · best fig at 1½f dirt 90 · 19 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/14	IND	1.36364f D	MSW	8th/10 -2¼L	74	8.8-1	b L	No impact
8/27	SRR	1½f D	MSW	2nd/6 -½L	90	8.9-1	b L	Game 2nd
7/10	IND	1.59091f D	MSW	4th/9 -½L	75	32-1	b L	Evenly late

Longshot #8 First Republic ML 15-1 Fair 20-1 Model #7

Jockey C. Penaloza · Trainer J. Vazquez · KEE 2: 0-0-0 · Dist 2: 0-0-0 · best fig at 1½f dirt 74 · 55 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/8	IND	1.59091f D	MSW	7th/9 -3¾L	65	8.6-1	L	Taken up start
8/18	IND	1.59091f D	MSW	7th/9 -2½L	74	26-1		Never a factor

Case: Last out 7th/9 -3¾L in the MdSpWt at IND. Last Brisnet figures 65-74. Best at today's distance 74. 0-for-2 at the distance. 0-for-2 at Horseshoe Indianapolis. J. Vazquez / C. Penaloza.

Knock: 0-for-2 at the distance.

★ Distance horse: #9 Un D Nyable (12-1) has the best figure in the field at 1½f dirt: 93 from 9 tries, record at the distance 9: 0-0-1. Not one of our picks.

Narrowing the field: A #4, #7, #9 · B #5, #10, #12 · C #2, #3, #6, #8, #11, #13 · ? #1 (no figures yet, never thrown out)

R9 Indiana Downs · Maiden Special Weight

5:27 PM ET · 330 Yards Dirt · $17,000 · 13 runners5:27 PM · 1½f Dirt · 13 runners

Upcoming $17K · Maiden Special Weight

Card modelCard model Wide openFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

★ Distance horse: #9 Un D Nyable (12-1) has the best figure in the field at today's distance and surface: 93 from 9 tries. Not in our top three.

1Af SultanitaI. Banuelos · C. EsquedaBanuelos · Esqueda?20-1Fair 50-12%—Debut?
Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #12 · Tier ?
Jockey Isidro Banuelos 17% career 1-for-14 on dirt this meet (7%) · Trainer Cesar Esqueda 15% career 1-for-12 on dirt this meet (8%)
Also today · Jockey this race: Zoomin Cartel6 12-1
Unraced so far; the pedigree is He Is Hot out of La Sultana Of Heart. Tops the field on Brisnet Prime Power.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 0 works in 30d, last 81d back
Last three races
First start. By He Is Hot out of La Sultana of Heart (King of Heart)
Work Trk Dist Time How Rank
8/13 IND 1f :13.60 breezing 5/5 from gate

Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
8/13	IND	1f	:13.60	breezing	5/5	from gate

2Miss PembervilleS. Lopez · G. RodriguezLopez · RodriguezC76 72 41▲▲+20@trip 7615-1Fair 30-13%▲▲ Big jump +20 · career best76 72 41@trip 76C

Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +20 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 76 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 76 72 41

Jockey Saul Lopez 36% career 1-for-6 on dirt this meet · Trainer German Rodriguez 33% career 0-for-15 on dirt this meet (0%) ★ hot

Also today · Trainer this race: Ls Mad Seis 20-1

0/3 board here

Figures are climbing: 41, 72, 76 over its last three. Last out was 7th, 2 lengths behind the winner, in a 10-horse maiden special weight race at IND.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

WORKS Routine prep: 0 works in 30d, last 103d ago

RECORD Not on the board in 3 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/14	IND	1.36364f D	MSW	7th/10 -2L	76	59-1	b L	Alert break;no factor
9/10	IND	1.36364f D	MSW	9th/9 -1½L	72	68-1	b L	Faded
8/8	IND	1.81818f D	DbyTrl 14000	9th/9 -6¼L	41	54-1	b L	Bother erly;drop back

3S C SotolH. MacIas · S. ChavezMacIas · ChavezC71 83 81▼▼-8@trip 839-2Fair 8-110%▼▼ Big drop -871 83 81@trip 83C
Card model 10% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #4 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -8 · Best fig at today's trip 83 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 71 83 81
Jockey Hugo Macias 20% career 0-for-19 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer Sacramento Chavez 27% career 1-for-18 on dirt this meet (6%)
Also today · Trainer this race: Zoomin Cartel6 12-1
0 for 7 at today's distance. Maiden through 7 starts.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.
WORKS Average work schedule for this field (0 works in 30d, last 216d ago)
RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 6 starts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/19 IND 1.81818f D MSW 4th/7 -1L 71 11-1 b Last away; moved up
9/5 SRR 1½f D MSW 5th/9 -1¼L 83 15-1 b Late interest
8/18 IND 1.59091f D MSW 3rd/9 -½L 81 11-1 b L Inching up; missed

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/19	IND	1.81818f D	MSW	4th/7 -1L	71	11-1	b	Last away; moved up
9/5	SRR	1½f D	MSW	5th/9 -1¼L	83	15-1	b	Late interest
8/18	IND	1.59091f D	MSW	3rd/9 -½L	81	11-1	b L	Inching up; missed

4Dale MF. Morin · E. RodriguezMorin · RodriguezA84 72 60▲▲+10↕@trip 919-2Fair 5-117%▲▲ Big jump +1084 72 60 ↕@trip 91A2

Card model 17% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +10 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 60–91 · Best fig at today's trip 91 (10 tries) · Last 3 figs 84 72 60

Jockey Fernando Morin 30% career 6-for-31 on dirt this meet (19%) · Trainer Ezequiel Rodriguez 33% career 2-for-14 on dirt this meet (14%)

Also today · Jockey this race: Jess A Famous Queen 3-1 · Trainer this race: Jess A Famous Queen 3-1

Has moved up each time out, 60 to 72 to 84. Finished 5th in a 10-horse maiden special weight race at IND, beaten 1½ lengths.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 0 works in 30d and the last 32d back

RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 10 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/14	IND	1.36364f D	MSW	5th/10 -1½L	84	12-1	b L	Bmpd st; moved up
6/13	IND	1.36364f D	MSW	5th/10 -3L	72	3.8-1	b L	Rail; flattened
5/11	IND	1.59091f D	MDT	9th/10 -2½L	60	12-1	b L	Stmbld; bumped start

5Nighty Moon FlashL. Martinez · T. CunninghamMartinez · CunninghamB74 90 75▼▼-8@trip 905-1Fair 7-113%▼▼ Big drop -874 90 75@trip 90B3
Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -8 · Best fig at today's trip 90 (10 tries) · Last 3 figs 74 90 75
Jockey Luz Daniel Martinez 33% career ★ 7-for-32 on dirt this meet (22%), #3 of 40 · Trainer Tony Cunningham 28% career
★ FASTEST WORK0/6 board here
Still looking for the first win after 10 starts. Sheds 5 pounds from its last start.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
WORKS SHARP 1f in :10.80 on Mar 19 was the best time at that distance that morning; 0 works in 30d
RECORD Not on the board in 6 starts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/14 IND 1.36364f D MSW 8th/10 -2¼L 74 8.8-1 b L No impact
8/27 SRR 1½f D MSW 2nd/6 -½L 90 8.9-1 b L Game 2nd
7/10 IND 1.59091f D MSW 4th/9 -½L 75 32-1 b L Evenly late

6Ls Mad SeisG. Rodriguez · G. RodriguezRodriguez · RodriguezC63 72 86▼-7↕@trip 8620-1Fair 30-14%▼ Down -763 72 86 ↕@trip 86C

Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -7 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 53–86 · Best fig at today's trip 86 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 63 72 86

Jockey German Rodriguez 34% career 0-for-10 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer German Rodriguez 33% career 0-for-15 on dirt this meet (0%) ★ hot

Also today · Trainer this race: Miss Pemberville 15-1

180D+ LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORK

Back after 407 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence. The longest gap in the field. Changes barns, from Bill J Jr Geditz to German Rodriguez.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Bobbled; broke in start. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Jul 3 (1F in :11.60), 1 work in 30d

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/21	PRM	1½f D	MSW	6th/7 -¾L	63	26-1	b LB	Bobbled;broke in start
9/12	PRM	1½f D	MSW	4th/6 -½L	72	7.0-1	b B	Vied; flattened out
8/27	CBY	1.36364f D	MSW	3rd/9 -1¾L	86	41-1	b	Step slow; gaining

7Vm Girls FlyinhigherB. Villamil · N. PerezVillamil · PerezA74 73 78▼-3≡@trip 895-2Fair 3-124%▼ Down -374 73 78 ≡@trip 89A1

Card model 24% · Fair odds 3-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -3 · ≡ Steady figures 73–79 · Best fig at today's trip 89 (8 tries) · Last 3 figs 74 73 78

Jockey Bocanegra Diego Villamil · Trainer Natasha Perez 30% career 2-for-24 on dirt this meet (8%)

★ FASTEST WORK

Jockey switch: Fernando Morin last out, Bocanegra Diego Villamil today. The Dec 3 work, 1F in :11.60, was the best time at that distance that morning.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Brushd rval; gaining. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 1F on Dec 3; 0 works in 30d

RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 9 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/30	IND	1½f D	MCL 20k	6th/10 -1¾L	74	3.9-1	L	Brushd rval; gaining
8/29	IND	1.59091f D	JulieVeltm34k	4th/6 -3¼L	73	22-1	L	Never a menace
7/18	IND	1.81818f D	MSW	4th/9 by hd	78	3.5-1	L	Led; weakened late

8First RepublicLSC. Penaloza · J. VazquezPenaloza · VazquezC65 74@trip 7415-1Fair 20-15%—65 74@trip 74CLS
Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Best fig at today's trip 74 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 65 74
LS
Longshot read: 15-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 5% against a line of 4%. A read, not a bet.
Jockey Cristian Penaloza 14% career 3-for-21 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Jessica A Vazquez 30% career 3-for-39 on dirt this meet (8%)
Also today · Trainer this race: Un D Nyable 12-1
2nd of 7 at 1F on Jul 31, in :11.20. 7th last time, 3¾ lengths back, in a field of 9.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.
TROUBLED TRIP Taken up start last out; the speed figure already reflects it.
WORKS Routine prep: 0 works in 30d, last 94d ago
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/8 IND 1.59091f D MSW 7th/9 -3¾L 65 8.6-1 L Taken up start
8/18 IND 1.59091f D MSW 7th/9 -2½L 74 26-1 Never a factor
9Un D Nyable★G. Vazquez-Gomez · J. VazquezVazquez-Gomez · VazquezA86 80 84►@trip 9312-1Fair 20-15%► Steady86 80 84@trip 93A★ Best at the trip 93
Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #6 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 93 (9 tries) · Last 3 figs 86 80 84
★ Best at the trip 93
Jockey Giovani Vazquez-Gomez 27% career 3-for-30 on dirt this meet (10%) · Trainer Jessica A Vazquez 30% career 3-for-39 on dirt this meet (8%)
Also today · Trainer this race: First Republic 15-1
Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 93, with 91 next best. Winless in 9 starts at this distance.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 0 works in 30d, last 66d back
RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 8 starts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/14 IND 1.36364f D MSW 4th/10 -1L 86 10-1 b L No serious threat
9/5 SRR 1½f D MSW 8th/9 -1½L 80 6.6-1 b L No threat
7/8 IND 1½f D MSW 3rd/10 -¾L 84 9.8-1 b L Lacked needed finish

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/14	IND	1.36364f D	MSW	4th/10 -1L	86	10-1	b L	No serious threat
9/5	SRR	1½f D	MSW	8th/9 -1½L	80	6.6-1	b L	No threat
7/8	IND	1½f D	MSW	3rd/10 -¾L	84	9.8-1	b L	Lacked needed finish

10Flight AttendentD. Luna · K. YikeLuna · YikeB84 79 76▲▲+18↕@trip 8410-1Fair 20-14%▲▲ Big jump +18 · career best84 79 76 ↕@trip 84B

Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #8 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +18 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 43–84 · Best fig at today's trip 84 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 84 79 76

Jockey Diaz Luis Eduardo Luna 34% career 6-for-41 on dirt this meet (15%) · Trainer Karin Yike 14% career 0-for-7 on dirt this meet

0/5 board here

Figures are climbing: 76, 79, 84 over its last three. Beaten ¾ length for 6th in a 10-horse maiden special weight race at IND.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

WORKS Routine prep: 0 works in 30d, last 96d ago

RECORD Not on the board in 5 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/14	IND	1.36364f D	MSW	6th/10 -¾L	84	29-1	b	Close erly; weakened
9/10	IND	1.36364f D	MSW	4th/9 -1L	79	85-1	b	Bobbled start
8/18	IND	1.59091f D	MSW	6th/9 -1¼L	76	74-1	b	Close erly;settled bck

11Zoomin Cartel6I. Banuelos · S. ChavezBanuelos · ChavezC66 83 87▼▼-13↕@trip 9012-1Fair 50-12%▼▼ Big drop -1366 83 87 ↕@trip 90C
Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #11 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -13 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 66–87 · Best fig at today's trip 90 (8 tries) · Last 3 figs 66 83 87
Jockey Isidro Banuelos 17% career 1-for-14 on dirt this meet (7%) · Trainer Sacramento Chavez 27% career 1-for-18 on dirt this meet (6%)
Also today · Jockey this race: Af Sultanita 20-1 · Trainer this race: S C Sotol 9-2
0 for 12 at today's distance. Maiden through 12 starts.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
WORKS Average work schedule for this field (0 works in 30d, last 109d ago)
RECORD 0 wins, 3 on the board from 9 starts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/19 IND 1.81818f D MSW 5th/7 -¾L 66 11-1 b L Close btwn; weakened
9/29 IND 1.36364f D sMdSpWt 6th/10 -1¼L 83 8.9-1 b Belated gain
8/27 SRR 1½f D MSW 5th/6 -1L 87 16-1 b Passed tired one
12Ap Valiant PrincessC. Ruiz-Cortez · O. PreciadoRuiz-Cortez · PreciadoB83 61 91▲+7↕@trip 8310-1Fair 50-12%▲ Up +783 61 91 ↕@trip 83B
Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #13 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +7 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 61–91 · Best fig at today's trip 83 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 83 61 91
Jockey Carlos Ruiz-Cortez 14% career 1-for-12 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer Oscar Preciado 32% career 1-for-10 on dirt this meet (10%)
Beaten 1¾ lengths for 6th in a 6-horse race at IND. Still looking for the first win after 14 starts.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
WORKS Routine prep: 0 works in 30d, last 227d ago
RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 12 starts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/21 IND 1.59091f D DbyTrl 14000 6th/6 -1¾L 83 40-1 b Losing ground
9/14 IND 1.81818f D sAlw ---s 6th/8 -2½L 61 57-1 b Stumbld st; no factor
8/28 SRR 1f D MSW 3rd/7 91 16-1 b Hung late
13Jess a Famous QueenF. Morin · E. RodriguezMorin · RodriguezC72 76 78►@trip 783-1Fair 12-18%► Steady72 76 78@trip 78C
Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #5 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 78 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 72 76 78
Jockey Fernando Morin 30% career 6-for-31 on dirt this meet (19%) · Trainer Ezequiel Rodriguez 33% career 2-for-14 on dirt this meet (14%)
Also today · Jockey this race: Dale M 9-2 · Trainer this race: Dale M 9-2
Gets a new rider, Fernando Morin replacing Bocanegra Diego Villamil. Worked 1F in :11.00 on Aug 16, 2nd of 9 at the distance.
PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.
WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 0 works in 30d, last 59d back
RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 7 starts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/19 IND 1.81818f D MSW 2nd/7 72 8.8-1 b L Dueled;led;outfinished
9/30 IND 1½f D MCL 20k 5th/10 -1L 76 34-1 b L Bumpd st; slow gain
7/8 IND 1½f D MSW 6th/10 -2¼L 78 44-1 b L No factor

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/19	IND	1.81818f D	MSW	5th/7 -¾L	66	11-1	b L	Close btwn; weakened
9/29	IND	1.36364f D	sMdSpWt	6th/10 -1¼L	83	8.9-1	b	Belated gain
8/27	SRR	1½f D	MSW	5th/6 -1L	87	16-1	b	Passed tired one

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/21	IND	1.59091f D	DbyTrl 14000	6th/6 -1¾L	83	40-1	b	Losing ground
9/14	IND	1.81818f D	sAlw ---s	6th/8 -2½L	61	57-1	b	Stumbld st; no factor
8/28	SRR	1f D	MSW	3rd/7	91	16-1	b	Hung late

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/19	IND	1.81818f D	MSW	2nd/7	72	8.8-1	b L	Dueled;led;outfinished
9/30	IND	1½f D	MCL 20k	5th/10 -1L	76	34-1	b L	Bumpd st; slow gain
7/8	IND	1½f D	MSW	6th/10 -2¼L	78	44-1	b L	No factor

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

INDIANA DOWNS · RACE 9

UPCOMING

Maiden Special Weight

Field

13 runners

Purse

$17,000

Post

5:27 PM ET

Pace

Pace Vacuum

Card model top pick

#7 · 24%

Maiden Special Weight, for 3-year-olds and up.

Maiden special weight — for horses that have never won a race. No horses are for sale; this is the higher-quality way to break a maiden.

● Breed: Quarter Horse

● Track record at 330 Yards: 16.28

The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.

Our number tops on #7 Vm Girls Flyinhigher (a tactical type, M/L 5-2). Recent figures: 74 · 73 · 78. Backup is #4 Dale M at 9-2. Use #5 Nighty Moon Flash in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #7 VM GIRLS FLYINHIGHER (5-2) — our number agrees.
#7 VM GIRLS FLYINHIGHER — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (19.9% to their 17.6%).
#4 DALE M — our #2 number, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 14.1%, they've got 11.2%.
#13 JESS A FAMOUS QUEEN — our #5 number, about right at the windows (12.2% to their 15.4%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

#4 DALE M — we make it 14.1%, the morning line works out to 11.2%. That gap is the model's opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds, and on our records these gaps haven't paid off.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.

and works against #1 Af Sultanita, #2 Miss Pemberville, #3 S C Sotol.

Lead

none

Press

none

Stalk

none

No style yet

1Af Sultanita2Miss Pemberville3S C Sotol4Dale M5Nighty Moon Flash6Ls Mad Seis7Vm Girls Flyinhigher8First Republic9Un D Nyable10Flight Attendent11Zoomin Cartel612Ap Valiant Princess13Jess A Famous Queen

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Ap Valiant Princess

Vm Girls Flyinhigher

First Republic

Miss Pemberville

Dale M

Nighty Moon Flash

Ls Mad Seis

Un D Nyable

Flight Attendent

S C Sotol

Zoomin Cartel6

Jess A Famous Queen

Bet types offeredwager menu

Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

EXACTA / TRIFECTA / 50 CENT TRIFECTA / SUPERFECTA / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA

10 CENT QH ONLY GRAND HIGH 5 (PENTAFECTA - SEPARATE CARRYOVER)

TBredIQ shows analysis only. We don’t build tickets or suggest amounts.

BET OPTIONS

WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta

Wagers offered on this race — analysis only, no stake sizing.