Horse

That's Fire

2-year-old chestnut gelding · By Flameaway out of That's All (by Maria's Mon)

Entered today: Keeneland Race 3

Post time1:05 PM ET
Race type1 Mile Turf · T.B. Aftrc Al Stakes (Listed)
Program / post#14 · post 14
Weight118 lb
Equipment / medicationNo change
Model win chance2%Fair odds 50-1 (model above the line)
Morning line30-12% once the line is scaled to 100%
Morning-line favourite?No

Tier C Form ▲▲ Big jump +17 · career best ↕ Up-and-down figures, 28–73

Pick-sheet marks: notes from the past performances, not proven to beat the odds. How to read them is on the race page.

Model win chance is the card model shown on the race page. The morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse (see the record), so read it as a second opinion.

Last three races

DateTrkDistClassFinishSpeed figOddsEqTrip
9/27CD1m TAlw n2l3rd/7 by hd7313-1b2w;bid btw;duel;outkck
9/3KD1m TMSWWon/10717.1-1b3-4w;duel;won nod
8/8ELP1m TMoc500003rd/10 -1½L6917-1bIns;headd 3/16;outkckd

Finish shows position, field size and beaten lengths. Odds are final odds; * = favourite. Trip notes are the chart caller's.

4 starts in our records: 1 won, 0 2nd, 2 3rd.

DateRaceDistanceTypeFieldPostFinishOddsJockeyTrainer
9/27/26Churchill Downs R31 Mile TurfAllowance743rd6-1 MLAssael EspinozaRaymond Bryner
9/3/26Kentucky Downs R21 Mile TurfMaiden special weight1014Won6-1 MLAssael EspinozaRaymond Bryner
8/8/26Ellis Park R41 Mile TurfMaiden optional claiming $50,00010113rd15-1 MLAbel CedilloRaymond Bryner
7/11/26Ellis Park R96 Furlongs DirtMaiden optional claiming $50,000888th10-1 MLAssael EspinozaPeter Miller

From TBredIQ's own results records; may be incomplete before Jul 3, 2023. Matched on name, sire and dam. Finish shows lengths behind the winner where we have the chart; odds are final odds where we have the chart, otherwise the morning line (ML). Past race pages aren't kept on the site, so there's no result link for these races. 1 other entry in our records has no result (usually a scratch, or a race we have no chart for) and is not listed.

Speed figures

Best speed figure
Turf73
Wet track28
Today's distance on today's surface (last 3 tries in the data)73

Last figures, newest first: 73 · 71 · 69 · 28 — big jump +17 · career best against the three before

Recent works

DateTrkDistTimeHowRank
10/27KEE3f:36.60breezing1 of 2fastest of the day at the distance
10/17CDT4f:49.40breezing16 of 25
10/10CDT4f:49.40breezing10 of 26
9/23CDT3f:37.80breezing1 of 4fastest of the day at the distance
9/16CDT4f:50.40breezing10 of 12

Rank = where the time placed among horses working the same distance at that track that day.

Record

Record
Career4 starts: 1 won, 0 2nd, 2 3rd · $78,204
This year4 starts: 1 won, 0 2nd, 2 3rd · $78,204
At today's distance3 starts: 1 won, 0 2nd, 2 3rd · $77,796
Turf3 starts: 1 won, 0 2nd, 2 3rd · $77,796
Wet track1 starts: 0 won, 0 2nd, 0 3rd · $408

Owner: Raymond C Bryner And Caitlin French

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