Trainer
Saffie A Joseph Jr
1 starter today at Kentucky Derby Future Wager
Today's starters
| Post (ET) | Race | Horse | M/L | Model win | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7:00 PM | KDF R1 | #6 Conviction | 80-1 | 1% | Rider No |
Model win chance is the card model on each race page; the morning-line favourite wins more often than our top-ranked horse.
This meet
No starts at these tracks in the last 45 days.
Starts at the same track in the 45 days before today, the window the race pages call “this meet.” Under 8 starts we show the count only; under 30, rates move a lot and are tagged.
Last 12 months by race type
| Race type | Won | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graded stakes | 29 | 139 | 21% | 45% |
| Other stakes | 33 | 131 | 25% | 65% |
| Allowance / optional claiming | 62 | 217 | 29% | 68% |
| Maiden special weight | 32 | 139 | 23% | 62% |
| Claiming $25,000+ | 10 | 23 | 43% small sample | 74% |
| Claiming under $25,000 | 17 | 49 | 35% | 76% |
| Maiden claiming | 29 | 94 | 31% | 73% |
| All | 212 | 792 | 27% | 64% |
Thoroughbred races in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. Name matched on surname and first initial, so two people who share both can be merged.
By situation
| Situation | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Second start off a layoff | 470 | 21% | 54% |
| Graded stakes | 466 | 14% | 37% |
| Two-year-olds | 340 | 23% | 52% |
| Sprint to route | 213 | 20% | 54% |
| First time at a route | 174 | 22% | 52% |
| Back within 5 days | 1 | too few to rate |
The trainer's record in each situation as printed with today's past performances (first-time starters, layoffs, surface and distance switches and so on).
With today's jockeys
| Jockey | Today | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rider No | Conviction | 0 | 0 | no starts |
Starts together in the last 12 months, through Oct 27, 2026.
Recent starters
| Date | Race | Horse | Finish | M/L | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | GP R10 | Shezawildone | Won of 8 | 9-2 | Micah Husbands |
| 10/25 | BEL R8 | Green Sense (IRE) | 7th of 11 | 12-1 | Edwin Gonzalez |
| 10/25 | BEL R8 | R Slew Of Cash | 11th of 11 | 20-1 | Dylan Davis |
| 10/25 | GP R6 | Remember The Time | Won of 9 | 9-5 | Micah Husbands |
| 10/25 | BEL R5 | Brandy And Me | 6th of 8 | 9-2 | Paco Lopez |
| 10/25 | BEL R5 | Spirit Doll | 8th of 8 | 10-1 | Edgard Zayas |
| 10/25 | GP R1 | Zaza J | 7th of 8 | 2-1 | Micah Husbands |
| 10/24 | KEE R8 | Alexander Helios | 11th of 12 | 20-1 | Jose Ortiz |
| 10/24 | GP R6 | Articulated | 2nd of 9 | 4-1 | Micah Husbands |
| 10/24 | KEE R6 | Conviction | 2nd of 5 | 5-2 | Tyler Gaffalione |
The last 10 settled starts in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. M/L is the morning line.