Trainer
Brian A Lynch
6 starters today at BC2, BCB, BC, Keeneland, BCD
Today's starters
| Post (ET) | Race | Horse | M/L | Model win | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:50 AM | BC2 R2 | #8 Don't Tell Mom | 6-1 | 11% | J R Velazquez |
| 2:26 PM | BC2 R6 | #10 Owen Almighty | 10-1 | 9% | Luis Saez |
| 2:26 PM | BCB R1 | #10 Owen Almighty | 10-1 | 10% | Luis Saez |
| 3:35 PM | BC R2 | #8 Manuka Honey | 10-1 | 9% | Luis Saez |
| 3:35 PM | KEE R7 | #8 Manuka Honey | 10-1 | 9% | Luis Saez |
| 6:35 PM | BCD R1 | #8 Manuka Honey | 10-1 | 8% | Luis Saez |
Model win chance is the card model on each race page; the morning-line favourite wins more often than our top-ranked horse.
This meet
Keeneland
| Surface | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dirt | 1 | 8 | 12% small sample |
| Turf | 2 | 9 | 22% small sample |
| All surfaces | 3 | 17 | 18% small sample |
Starts at the same track in the 45 days before today, the window the race pages call “this meet.” Under 8 starts we show the count only; under 30, rates move a lot and are tagged.
Last 12 months by race type
| Race type | Won | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graded stakes | 10 | 37 | 27% | 54% |
| Other stakes | 12 | 25 | 48% small sample | 60% |
| Allowance / optional claiming | 17 | 55 | 31% | 58% |
| Maiden special weight | 22 | 89 | 25% | 63% |
| Claiming $25,000+ | 2 | 8 | 25% small sample | 75% |
| Claiming under $25,000 | 1 | 1 | too few to rate | |
| Maiden claiming | 7 | 23 | 30% small sample | 52% |
| All | 71 | 238 | 30% | 60% |
Thoroughbred races in our results data, through Oct 29, 2026. Name matched on surname and first initial, so two people who share both can be merged.
By situation
| Situation | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Routes | 579 | 17% | 49% |
| Sprints | 455 | 22% | 47% |
| On dirt | 378 | 21% | 51% |
| Allowance races | 255 | 20% | 46% |
| Two-year-olds | 202 | 20% | 50% |
| Back from 46–90 days off | 179 | 24% | 53% |
| Won last time | 176 | 27% | 54% |
| Graded stakes | 111 | 14% | 46% |
| Maiden winner last time | 77 | 26% | 44% |
The trainer's record in each situation as printed with today's past performances (first-time starters, layoffs, surface and distance switches and so on).
With today's jockeys
| Jockey | Today | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J R Velazquez | Don't Tell Mom | 3 | 11 | 27% small sample |
| Luis Saez | Owen Almighty, Owen Almighty, Manuka Honey, Manuka Honey, Manuka Honey | 20 | 44 | 45% |
Starts together in the last 12 months, through Oct 29, 2026.
Recent starters
| Date | Race | Horse | Finish | M/L | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/29 | CD R10 | Elvis Tony | 10th of 10 | 9-2 | Luis Saez |
| 10/29 | CD R8 | Good Company | 9th of 10 | 12-1 | Mario Gutierrez |
| 10/25 | CD R5 | Quigley | 3rd of 12 | 9-2 | Mario Gutierrez |
| 10/25 | CD R5 | Travelin | 6th of 12 | 4-1 | John Velazquez |
| 10/25 | CD R2 | Notgonnacatchher | Won of 11 | 20-1 | Luis Saez |
| 10/24 | KEE R9 | Fancy Sailor | 11th of 12 | 20-1 | Brian Hernandez Jr. |
| 10/24 | KEE R8 | Tumbarumba | 12th of 12 | 12-1 | Tyler Gaffalione |
| 10/24 | KEE R5 | Fleeting Moon | 4th of 10 | 5-1 | Luis Saez |
| 10/23 | KEE R9 | Sister Troienne | Won of 10 | 6-5 | Irad Ortiz Jr. |
| 10/21 | KEE R7 | Sure To Appeal | 5th of 10 | 30-1 | Declan Cannon |
The last 10 settled starts in our results data, through Oct 29, 2026. M/L is the morning line.