1Betty SueA. Espinoza · R. BrynerEspinoza · BrynerC74 83 73▼-4@trip 7315-1Fair 8-111%
▼ Down -474 83 73@trip 73C1Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #1 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -4 · Best fig at today's trip 73 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 74 83 73
4 WORKS IN 30 DAYSRuns for $165,000 today after a $300,000 race last time. Ranks first in the field on Brisnet Prime Power.
EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.WORKS Average work schedule for this field (4 works in 30d, last 6d ago)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/12 CD 1m D Pocahnts G3 5th/7 -6½L 74 24-1 b Off slow;chsd 3p;tired 8/25 PRX 5½f D MSW Won/6 83 0.9-1 b Bid; drew off handily 7/31 ELP 7f D Moc50000 2nd/8 -1½L 73 9.4-1 b Slw st;climb;5p;bid3/8 2Girls Wear Pearls▼▲U. Rispoli · J. AntonucciRispoli · AntonucciC79 77 73▲+4≡12-1Fair 8-111%
▲ Up +4 · career best79 77 73 ≡C▼ Best fig 79 is 5+ under today's par 86▲ Rider upgrade (33% vs 21%) cutting back to a sprint2Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #2 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +4 · career best · ≡ Steady figures 73–79 · Last 3 figs 79 77 73
▼ Best fig 79 is 5+ under today's par 86▲ Rider upgrade (33% vs 21%) cutting back to a sprint★ FASTEST WORKLast out was 6th, 10 lengths behind the winner, in a 7-horse race at BEL. Has moved up each time out, 73 to 77 to 79.
EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 5F on Oct 21; 1 work in 30dLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/3 BEL 1m D Frizette G1 6th/7 -10L 79 41-1 b Near rail; gave way 8/22 DMR 5½f D MSW Won/10 77 12-1 b Ins;shook free;safely 7/24 SAR 5½f T MSW 5th/10 -1¼L 73 4.4-1 b Out;3-2path turn;wknd 3Master QueenJ. Torres · C. MunozTorres · MunozB83 60 83▲▲+128-1Fair 8-110%
▲▲ Big jump +12 · career best83 60 83B3Card model 10% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +12 · career best · Last 3 figs 83 60 83
★ FASTEST WORKGoes 7 furlongs after running 6 furlongs last time. Beaten ½ length for 2nd in a 7-horse allowance race at KEE.
EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 40d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/2 KEE 6f D Alw n2l 2nd/7 -½L 83 4.5-1 b 2wd btw;ins pair;game 8/30 KD 6½f T Untapable Stk 11th/11 -10L 60 20-1 b 2nd flight 4w;gave way 7/22 CNL 5f D MSW Won/8 83 20-1 b Rated3w;bid4w;driving 4Harmoniously▼J. Ortiz · C. DevauxOrtiz · DevauxB805-1Fair 8-110%
—80B▼ Best fig 80 is 5+ under today's par 86Card model 10% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #8 · Tier B · Last 3 figs 80
▼ Best fig 80 is 5+ under today's par 86Also today · Jockey R1: Highwaymen 6-1, R3: Booth 4-1, R4: Explora 4-1, R5: Possiblemente 12-1 +7 more · Trainer R1: Highwaymen 6-1, R1: Shock Value 12-1, R8: Englishman 4-5, R9: Brilliant Berti 30-1 +1 more60D LAYOFF4 WORKS IN 30 DAYS★ FASTEST WORKWON LASTA step up in company: maiden special weight before, allowance optional claiming today. Comes in off a victory in an 11-horse maiden special weight race at ELP.
PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 6)WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Oct 19 (4F in :48.00), 4 works in 30dLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 8/22 ELP 6f D MSW Won/11 80 9.1-1 Ins;dueled;game;lasted 5VirabhadrasanaF. Prat · K. LarosePrat · LaroseA81 85 78►7-2Fair 6-114%
► Steady81 85 78ACard model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #7 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · Last 3 figs 81 85 78
Also today · Jockey R1: Powerline 8-5, R3: Saudi Crown 5-2, R4: Ways And Means 7-5, R5: Yellow Card 8-1 +7 moreAn 85 top number against a 86 par, so it fits the level. A longer trip: 6 furlongs last out, 7 furlongs today.
PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 4)WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 2 works in 30d and the last 7 days agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/2 KEE 6f D Alw n2l 4th/7 -2½L 81 1.0-1 2-3p;5p1/4;willingly 8/29 SAR 6f D MSW Won/9 85 10-1 3p turn;lead1/4;clear 8/1 SAR 6f D MSW 4th/10 -10L 78 11-1 8-9w uppr; belatedly 6She's Toasty▼L. Saez · E. KenneallySaez · KenneallyA809-2Fair 7-112%
—80A▼ Best fig 80 is 5+ under today's par 86Card model 12% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #5 · Tier A · Last 3 figs 80
▼ Best fig 80 is 5+ under today's par 86Also today · Jockey R1: Overtime Bonus 12-1, R4: Evanescence 15-1, R5: Shisospicy 15-1, R6: Owen Almighty 10-1 +5 more · Trainer R4: Evanescence 15-13 WORKS IN 30 DAYSWON LASTWon last out in a 9-horse maiden special weight race at CD. Moves up from maiden special weight to allowance optional claiming.
PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 6)WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Sep 23 (3F in :35.00), 3 works in 30dLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/27 CD 6f D MSW Won/9 80 1.4-1 Vie 3p;drw off;rdn out 7Fizzypopberrytwist▼O. Mojica Jr. · P. McEnteeMojica Jr. · McEnteeC59 67 38▲+5↕30-1Fair 50-12%
▲ Up +559 67 38 ↕C▼ Best fig 80 is 5+ under today's par 86Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +5 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 38–67 · Last 3 figs 59 67 38
▼ Best fig 80 is 5+ under today's par 862nd of 19 at 3F on Oct 17, in :36.20. Raises its level, optional claiming last time and allowance optional claiming now.
EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 1 work in 30d, last one 13d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/1 IND 6f D OC 100k n1x 3rd/6 -11L 59 12-1 b Inside trip 9/1 IND 5½f D OC 100k n1x 2nd/6 by hd 67 36-1 b 4path;bid late;caught 7/10 PRM 5½f D PrGldLssiB100k 5th/5 -15L 38 36-1 b B Insde tn;no menace 8Don't Tell MomJ. Velazquez · B. LynchVelazquez · LynchB82 796-1Fair 8-111%
—82 79BCard model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Last 3 figs 82 79
Also today · Jockey R4: Praying 30-1, R5: Cy Fair 8-1, R6: Bracket Buster 7-2, R7: Gimme A Nother 10-1 +4 more · Trainer R6: Owen Almighty 10-14 WORKS IN 30 DAYSWON LASTJ R Velazquez takes over from Yedsit Hazlewood in the saddle. Last start was a win, in an 8-horse maiden special weight race at CD at 1.7-1.
EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.WORKS Routine prep: 4 works in 30d, last 6d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/20 CD 6½f D MSW Won/8 82 1.7-1 Prompt 2p;drove clr 8/22 ELP 6f D MSW 3rd/11 by hd 79 3.5-1 Wait ins;splt3/16;duel 9Right in Time▲J. Alvarado · R. MottAlvarado · MottA895-2Fair 5-117%
—89A▲ Last fig 89 at/above par 86Card model 17% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #6 · Tier A · Last 3 figs 89
▲ Last fig 89 at/above par 86Also today · Jockey R3: Steeze 8-1, R6: T Kraft 15-1, R10: Immersive 30-1, R12: Sovereignty 5-2 · Trainer R3: Steeze 8-1WON LASTOwns the highest recent figure here at 89. Led at the first call last time.
PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 6)WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (2 works in 30d, last 6d back)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/3 KEE 6f D MSW Won/12 89 6.7-1 Ins;inch free;held frm
▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (9 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.
How to read these marks
- 1 2 3
- Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
- Win %, Fair
- The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
- Tier A B C ?
- The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
- 71 60 72
- Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
- ▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
- Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
- ≡ ↕
- ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
- ★
- Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
- ▲ ▼ chips
- Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.
These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.
Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
BC2 · RACE 2
UPCOMINGOptional Claiming $100,000
Claiming $100,000, for fillies, 2-year-olds, that have not won a race other than maiden, claiming, or starter.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 7 Furlongs: 80.2
The shape is the story here: 4 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.
Our number tops on #1 Betty Sue (a presser/stalker, M/L 15-1). Recent figures: 74 · 83 · 73. Backup is #2 Girls Wear Pearls at 12-1. Use #3 Master Queen in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
At a glance: model vs the morning line
At a glance
- Market favourite #9 RIGHT IN TIME (5-2) — our number has it ranked #6.
- #9 RIGHT IN TIME — our #6 number, about right at the windows (22.2% to their 22.3%).
- #5 VIRABHADRASANA — our #7 number, about right at the windows (16.1% to their 17.3%).
- #6 SHE'S TOASTY — our #5 number, about right at the windows (13.4% to their 14.2%).
Model vs the morning line
- Longshot the model rates above its line: #1 BETTY SUE (15-1) — our fair 6.4% is above the morning line's 4.9%; needs the trip to fall right.
Pacewho goes to the front
Pace
Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.
Likely leader: #9 Right In Time; pressure from #5 Virabhadrasana, #4 Harmoniously; and works against #4 Harmoniously, #5 Virabhadrasana, #6 She's Toasty.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types offeredwager menu
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
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BET OPTIONS
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