Trainer
Michael W McCarthy
1 starter today at Churchill Downs
Today's starters
| Post (ET) | Race | Horse | M/L | Model win | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:29 PM | CD R2 | #6 Catch The Breeze | 5-1 | 13% | J R Velazquez |
Model win chance is the card model on each race page; the morning-line favourite wins more often than our top-ranked horse.
This meet
Churchill Downs
| Surface | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dirt | 1 | 8 | 12% small sample |
| Turf | 0 | 3 | too few to rate |
| All surfaces | 1 | 11 | 9% small sample |
Starts at the same track in the 45 days before today, the window the race pages call “this meet.” Under 8 starts we show the count only; under 30, rates move a lot and are tagged.
Last 12 months by race type
| Race type | Won | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graded stakes | 11 | 67 | 16% | 57% |
| Other stakes | 8 | 36 | 22% | 50% |
| Allowance / optional claiming | 12 | 89 | 13% | 51% |
| Maiden special weight | 25 | 161 | 16% | 42% |
| Claiming $25,000+ | 6 | 25 | 24% small sample | 60% |
| Claiming under $25,000 | 0 | 2 | too few to rate | |
| Maiden claiming | 11 | 62 | 18% | 55% |
| All | 73 | 442 | 17% | 49% |
Thoroughbred races in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. Name matched on surname and first initial, so two people who share both can be merged.
By situation
| Situation | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| On turf | 1011 | 15% | 37% |
| Back from 46–90 days off | 466 | 15% | 39% |
| Allowance races | 384 | 16% | 38% |
| Won last time | 254 | 19% | 44% |
The trainer's record in each situation as printed with today's past performances (first-time starters, layoffs, surface and distance switches and so on).
With today's jockeys
| Jockey | Today | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J R Velazquez | Catch The Breeze | 2 | 8 | 25% small sample |
Starts together in the last 12 months, through Oct 27, 2026.
Recent starters
| Date | Race | Horse | Finish | M/L | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | SA R9 | La Ville Lumiere | 7th of 9 | 30-1 | Kazushi Kimura |
| 10/25 | SA R5 | Omit | 11th of 11 | 12-1 | Emisael Jaramillo |
| 10/24 | SA R9 | Thirteen Kisses | 6th of 11 | 6-1 | Juan Hernandez |
| 10/24 | SA R9 | Aunt Tia | 8th of 11 | 20-1 | Ricardo Gonzalez |
| 10/24 | SA R4 | Malarchuk | 5th of 6 | 3-1 | Umberto Rispoli |
| 10/24 | KEE R3 | Mr. Tapps | Won of 8 | 6-1 | John Velazquez |
| 10/24 | SA R2 | Slice | 4th of 5 | 9-2 | Juan Hernandez |
| 10/24 | KEE R1 | Main Mischief | Won of 7 | 8-5 | Edgar Morales |
| 10/23 | KEE R7 | Brave Pilot | 7th of 10 | 5-1 | Irad Ortiz Jr. |
| 10/22 | IND R5 | Tumbling | 9th of 11 | 15-1 | Ben Curtis |
The last 10 settled starts in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. M/L is the morning line.