Trainer
Cameron Milligan
1 starter today at Churchill Downs
Today's starters
| Post (ET) | Race | Horse | M/L | Model win | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4:55 PM | CD R9 | #7 Nyad | 8-1 | 6% | Axel Concepcion |
Model win chance is the card model on each race page; the morning-line favourite wins more often than our top-ranked horse.
This meet
Churchill Downs
| Surface | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dirt | 1 | 1 | too few to rate |
| All surfaces | 1 | 1 | too few to rate |
Starts at the same track in the 45 days before today, the window the race pages call “this meet.” Under 8 starts we show the count only; under 30, rates move a lot and are tagged.
Last 12 months by race type
| Race type | Won | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allowance / optional claiming | 3 | 15 | 20% small sample | 40% |
| Maiden special weight | 0 | 1 | too few to rate | |
| Claiming $25,000+ | 1 | 4 | too few to rate | |
| Claiming under $25,000 | 7 | 15 | 47% small sample | 73% |
| Maiden claiming | 1 | 18 | 6% small sample | 56% |
| All | 12 | 53 | 23% | 55% |
Thoroughbred races in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. Name matched on surname and first initial, so two people who share both can be merged.
By situation
| Situation | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| On dirt | 87 | 18% | 43% |
| Sprints | 57 | 16% | 40% |
| Maiden claiming races | 33 | 6% | 36% |
| Shipping in | 22 | 14% small sample | 50% |
| Back from 90+ days off | 8 | 0% small sample | 50% |
| Down two or more classes | 3 | too few to rate |
The trainer's record in each situation as printed with today's past performances (first-time starters, layoffs, surface and distance switches and so on).
With today's jockeys
| Jockey | Today | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Concepcion | Nyad | 0 | 0 | no starts |
Starts together in the last 12 months, through Oct 27, 2026.
Recent starters
| Date | Race | Horse | Finish | M/L | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/17 | KEE R3 | Lord Majesty | 4th of 9 | 6-1 | Francisco Arrieta |
| 10/14 | KEE R3 | Lucky Shot | Won of 7 | 6-1 | Adam Beschizza |
| 10/4 | KEE R4 | Stadion | 8th of 11 | 30-1 | Francisco Arrieta |
| 10/4 | KEE R1 | Trouble Ahead | 7th of 8 | 20-1 | Emmanuel Esquivel |
| 9/17 | CD R1 | Gallo De Fuego | Won of 8 | 8-1 | Gabriel Saez |
| 9/11 | CD R8 | Trouble Ahead | 7th of 11 | 15-1 | Emmanuel Esquivel |
| 8/23 | ELP R3 | Can't Stop Willis | 4th of 7 | 4-1 | Francisco Arrieta |
| 8/23 | ELP R2 | Problem Solved | 2nd of 7 | 3-1 | Francisco Arrieta |
| 8/22 | ELP R7 | Trouble Ahead | 8th of 9 | 7-2 | Danny Sheehy |
| 8/22 | ELP R3 | Lord Majesty | Won of 7 | 6-5 | Gabriel Saez |
The last 10 settled starts in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. M/L is the morning line.