Trainer
Thomas D Vance
1 starter today at Churchill Downs
Today's starters
| Post (ET) | Race | Horse | M/L | Model win | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2:57 PM | CD R5 | #1 Bagg O Time | 20-1 | 4% | Miguel Fernandez |
Model win chance is the card model on each race page; the morning-line favourite wins more often than our top-ranked horse.
This meet
Churchill Downs
| Surface | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dirt | 0 | 7 | too few to rate |
| All surfaces | 0 | 7 | too few to rate |
Starts at the same track in the 45 days before today, the window the race pages call “this meet.” Under 8 starts we show the count only; under 30, rates move a lot and are tagged.
Last 12 months by race type
| Race type | Won | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other stakes | 0 | 2 | too few to rate | |
| Allowance / optional claiming | 3 | 19 | 16% small sample | 37% |
| Maiden special weight | 0 | 7 | too few to rate | |
| Claiming $25,000+ | 2 | 8 | 25% small sample | 25% |
| Claiming under $25,000 | 1 | 18 | 6% small sample | 39% |
| Maiden claiming | 3 | 33 | 9% | 42% |
| All | 9 | 87 | 10% | 37% |
Thoroughbred races in our results data, through Oct 31, 2026. Name matched on surname and first initial, so two people who share both can be merged.
By situation
| Situation | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| On dirt | 441 | 10% | 36% |
| Routes | 142 | 7% | 35% |
| Claiming races | 130 | 11% | 38% |
The trainer's record in each situation as printed with today's past performances (first-time starters, layoffs, surface and distance switches and so on).
With today's jockeys
| Jockey | Today | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Fernandez | Bagg O Time | 0 | 1 | too few to rate |
Starts together in the last 12 months, through Oct 31, 2026.
Recent starters
| Date | Race | Horse | Finish | M/L | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/29 | CD R7 | Dr Fenn | 5th of 7 | 20-1 | Danny Sheehy |
| 10/29 | CD R5 | Bride | 5th of 9 | 30-1 | Miguel Fernandez |
| 10/10 | KEE R2 | Bride | 7th of 10 | 12-1 | Jaime Torres |
| 10/9 | KEE R2 | Honor And Courage | 5th of 10 | 10-1 | Adam Beschizza |
| 9/26 | CD R1 | Vinno Ronnie | 5th of 8 | 8-1 | Walter Rodriguez |
| 9/24 | CD R5 | Drummer Bill | 7th of 9 | 20-1 | William Antongeorgi Iii |
| 9/23 | CD R4 | Dr Fenn | 5th of 7 | 15-1 | Danny Sheehy |
| 9/20 | CD R5 | Bagg O Time | 3rd of 8 | 4-1 | Brian Hernandez Jr. |
| 9/17 | CD R3 | Speight Her Size | 12th of 12 | 12-1 | Adam Beschizza |
| 9/16 | CD R3 | Honor And Courage | 2nd of 5 | 15-1 | Adam Beschizza |
The last 10 settled starts in our results data, through Oct 31, 2026. M/L is the morning line.