Pick sheet

Race 52:57 PM Clm 30000n2l

1 1/16 Mi · Dirt · 10 entered. Our model's top pick, Culprit, is 35% to win (morning line implies 26%). Pace: fast and contested (5 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

Top pick #6 Culprit ML 2-1 Fair 9-5 Model #1 ▼▼ Big drop -22 ★ Best at 1 1/16 dirt: 86 ↕ Up and down 55–81

Jockey T. Gaffalione · Trainer D. Jacobson · KEE 5: 1-0-1 · Dist 3: 1-0-0 · best fig at 1 1/16 dirt 86 · 18 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/14	KEE	1 1/16 D	Clm 62k n2l	7th/7 -11L	55	7.5-1	L	2p-ins;ins pair;caved
9/23	CD	1m D	Alw s	4th/6 -½L	81	8.0-1	L	Ins trio turn;yld 1/16
8/21	ELP	1m D	Clm 50k n2l	4th/5 -3½L	78	2.3-1	L	Ins;headd 1/2;chs;fade

Case: Last out 7th/7 -11L in the Clm62500n2l at KEE. Last Brisnet figures 55-81-78. Best at today's distance 86. 1-for-3 at the distance. 1-for-5 at Churchill Downs. D. Jacobson / T. Gaffalione.

Knock: Nothing glaring on paper.

Contender #7 Greers Ferry ML 3-1 Fair 5-1 Model #2 ► Steady

Jockey J. Torres · Trainer C. Santamaria · KEE 5: 0-0-2 · Dist 9: 0-2-1 · best fig at 1 1/16 dirt 75 · 35 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/27	CD	7f D	Clm 30k n2l	5th/7 -6½L	77	9.7-1	L	Bmpd btw;2p;shift out
8/7	ELP	6f D	Clm 30k n2l	4th/8 -5½L	78	14-1	L	3-5p;stayed on;left ld
9/28	CD	1m D	Alw s	8th/8 -5¾L	71	67-1	L	Ins-2p; outrun

Case: Last out 5th/7 -6½L in the Clm30000n2l at CD. Last Brisnet figures 77-78-71. Best at today's distance 75. 0-for-9 at the distance. 0-for-5 at Churchill Downs. C. Santamaria / J. Torres.

Knock: 0-for-9 at the distance. Our model rates this one below its morning line.

Use #8 Executor ML 5-1 Fair 6-1 Model #3 ▼▼ Big drop -10 1st-time blinkers Last out 8th/11 -6¼L in the Clm50000n2l at CD. Last Brisnet figures 71-77-86. Best at today's distance 77. 0-for-1 at the distance. R. Morse / B. Hernandez Jr.. Knock: Never raced at Churchill Downs. 0-for-1 at the distance.

Jockey B. Hernandez Jr. · Trainer R. Morse · Dist 1: 0-1-0 · best fig at 1 1/16 dirt 75 · 49 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/13	CD	1 1/16 T	Clm 50k n2l	8th/11 -6¼L	71	7.9-1	L	Early bobble;5w 2nd
8/23	ELP	1 1/16 T	Clm 30k n2lc	4th/7 -1½L	77	1.2-1	L	Ins;bid 2w;vie btw;yld
7/30	IND	1m T	Alw n1x	3rd/8 -3L	86	4.5-1	L	Awk;4p;late rally

Narrowing the field: A #4, #6, #8 · B #1, #2, #7 · C #3, #5, #9, #10

Angles: #5 Best fig 68 is 5+ under today's par 83 · #9 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (63 vs 73)

R5 Churchill Downs · Claiming $30,000

2:57 PM ET · 1 1/16 Miles Dirt · $62,000 · 10 runners2:57 PM · 1 1/16m Dirt · 10 runners

Official $62K · Claiming $30,000

Card modelCard model MediumFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1Bagg O TimeRan 8thM. Fernandez · T. VanceFernandez · VanceB80 59 77▲▲+9↕@trip 8020-1Fair 30-14%▲▲ Big jump +9 · career best80 59 77 ↕@trip 80B

Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #8 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +9 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 59–80 · Best fig at today's trip 80 (6 tries) · Last 3 figs 80 59 77

Jockey Miguel Fernandez 29% career 0-for-5 on dirt this meet · Trainer Thomas D Vance 22% career 0-for-7 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R2: Shanett 12-1, R3: Chief Ball 50-1, R4: Mambo Man 15-1, R6: Ghosts Lil Secret 20-1 +1 more

CLASS DROP3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS4/8 board here

A step up in company: $16,000 claiming before, $30,000 claiming today. Prime Power, the Brisnet rating, puts it on top of this field.

EVEN PACE The shape is neutral for this one.

TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Ins 5/16; 6w 1/8; mvd up), and the figure already reflects it.

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 3 works in 30d, last 8d ago

RECORD 0 wins, 4 on the board from 8 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/20	CD	1 1/16 D	Clm 16k n2l	3rd/8 -4½L	80	7.2-1	b L	Ins 5/16;6w 1/8;mvd up
8/7	ELP	1m D	Clm 30k n2l	5th/6 -13L	59	7.5-1	b L	Off slow;ins;no impact
6/25	CD	1m D	Clm 20k n2l	3rd/8 -7½L	77	7.5-1	b L	Lag;7p1/4;rlly;mss plc

2Final ThoughtsRan 1stW. Rodriguez · C. WilliamsRodriguez · WilliamsB75 85 70▲+5↕@trip 856-1Fair 8-112%▲ Up +575 85 70 ↕@trip 85B

Card model 12% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +5 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 56–85 · Best fig at today's trip 85 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 75 85 70

Jockey Walter A Rodriguez 34% career 1-for-14 on dirt this meet (7%) · Trainer Colby Williams 31% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R4: Faraz 30-1, R9: Naxian 20-1

★ FASTEST WORK

Changes barns, from Berg Thomas L Van to Colby Williams. Last out was 4th, 5½ lengths behind the winner, in a 9-horse $20,000 claiming race at KEE.

EVEN PACE Balanced pace: trip and tactical speed decide it, with no strong setup advantage.

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 5F on Sep 11; 1 work in 30d

RECORD Walter A Rodriguez from post 2 here: 2 wins, 6 top-3 in 22 rides · 12% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/8	KEE	1 1/16 D	Clm 20k n2lc	4th/9 -5½L	75	2.9-1	b L	Ins;3p3/16;stay mildly
9/20	CD	1 1/16 D	Clm 16k n2lc	2nd/8 -2L	85	2.5-1	L	Track ins;angl 5w;game
8/18	IND	1 1/16 D	MCL 10k	Won/7 by 2	70	2.2-1	L	Stalk;bid1/8;mild drv

3AnglicanRan 7thD. Sheehy · M. LovellSheehy · LovellC78 68 66▲+6@trip 7615-1Fair 30-14%▲ Up +678 68 66@trip 76C

Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +6 · Best fig at today's trip 76 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 78 68 66

Jockey Danny Sheehy 22% career 3-for-19 on dirt this meet (16%) · Trainer Michelle Lovell 25% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Midnight Commander 4-1 · Trainer R7: Stargazzers Dream 30-1

180D+ LAYOFFCLASS DROP3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

Returns from a 247-day break, the biggest in the field. Has moved up each time out, 66 to 68 to 78.

EVEN PACE Balanced pace: trip and tactical speed decide it, with no strong setup advantage.

WORKS Routine prep: 3 works in 30d, last 11d ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
2/27	TP	1m D	Clm 30k n2l	4th/8 -3L	78	9.2-1	b L	Ins;2-3p3/16;chs evnly
12/11	TP	1m D	Clm 50k n2l	10th/12 -8½L	68	20-1	b L	Failed to threaten
11/16	CD	1 1/16 D	Alw s	8th/11 -9L	66	61-1	b L	Bob/bmp st;2p;btw;fade

4Surfin' MRan 10thE. Morales · E. WestMorales · WestA79 81 33▲▲+16↕@trip 798-1Fair 12-18%▲▲ Big jump +1679 81 33 ↕@trip 79A

Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #5 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +16 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 33–81 · Best fig at today's trip 79 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 79 81 33

Jockey Edgar Morales 32% career 5-for-29 on dirt this meet (17%) · Trainer Ethan W West 36% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R3: Take Charge Beach 8-1, R4: Army Run 20-1, R9: Kiss The Medal 15-1

★ FASTEST WORK2/3 board here

New trainer: Aaron Shorter had it last time, Ethan W West now. Moves up from $20,000 claiming to $30,000 claiming.

EVEN PACE Balanced pace: trip and tactical speed decide it, with no strong setup advantage.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 59 days ago

RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 3 starts here

RECORD Edgar Morales from post 4 here: 11 wins, 39 top-3 in 121 rides · 10% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/8	KEE	1 1/16 D	Clm 20k n2lc	3rd/9 -3½L	79	3.2-1	b L	Ins winner;best of rst
9/16	CD	1m D	Clm 20k n2l	2nd/7 -1½L	81	17-1	b L	Pace;no match; kept on
7/11	ELP	1m D	Clm 50k n2l	6th/6 -17L	33	12-1	b L	Vied 2wbtw;wkn3/8;easd

5Triple Max▼Ran 4thR. Grisales · N. AlvarezGrisales · AlvarezC66 66 66►≡30-1Fair 50-12%► Steady66 66 66 ≡C▼ Best fig 68 is 5+ under today's par 83

Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 66–68 · Last 3 figs 66 66 66

▼ Best fig 68 is 5+ under today's par 83

Jockey Rave Danilo Grisales 0-for-4 on dirt this meet · Trainer Nery Alvarez 25% career

A 68 is the high figure lately, short of the 83 par. Raises its level, $7,500 claiming last time and $30,000 claiming now.

EVEN PACE Balanced pace: trip and tactical speed decide it, with no strong setup advantage.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 2 works in 30d and the last 8 days ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/2	BTP	1m D	Clm 7k n2l	2nd/5 -3L	66	2.7-1	b L	3p;range up1/4;kept on
9/19	BTP	1m D	MCL 5k	Won/5	66	0.1-1	b L	Bid 3w 1/4;drew clear
8/31	PID	6f D	MCL 7k	3rd/7 -6L	66	2.3-1	b L	Belated bid;late gain

6Culprit★Ran 9thT. Gaffalione · D. JacobsonGaffalione · JacobsonA55 81 78▼▼-22↕@trip 862-1Fair 2-134%▼▼ Big drop -2255 81 78 ↕@trip 86A★ Best at the trip 861

Card model 34% · Fair odds 2-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -22 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 55–81 · Best fig at today's trip 86 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 55 81 78

★ Best at the trip 86

Jockey Tyler Gaffalione 36% career ★ 11-for-54 on dirt this meet (20%) · Trainer David Jacobson 32% career 2-for-13 on dirt this meet (15%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R1: Jackies Einor 5-1, R3: Fire Marshal 10-1, R6: The Look 9-5, R8: Kaykay 2-1 +1 more

5 WORKS IN 30 DAYSJky 40/153 from post 6

7th last time, 11 lengths back, in a field of 7. A big drop, $62,500 claiming to $30,000 claiming, and worth asking why.

EVEN PACE The shape is neutral for this one.

WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 5 works in 30d and the last 3d back

RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 5 starts here

RECORD Tyler Gaffalione from post 6 here: 40 wins, 82 top-3 in 153 rides · 18% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/14	KEE	1 1/16 D	Clm 62k n2l	7th/7 -11L	55	7.5-1	L	2p-ins;ins pair;caved
9/23	CD	1m D	Alw s	4th/6 -½L	81	8.0-1	L	Ins trio turn;yld 1/16
8/21	ELP	1m D	Clm 50k n2l	4th/5 -3½L	78	2.3-1	L	Ins;headd 1/2;chs;fade

7Greers FerryRan 2ndJ. Torres · C. SantamariaTorres · SantamariaB77 78 71►@trip 753-1Fair 5-116%► Steady77 78 71@trip 75B2

Card model 16% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #2 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 75 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 77 78 71

Jockey Jaime A Torres 32% career 3-for-33 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer Carlos Santamaria 15% career 1-for-5 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R6: Valedora 15-1, R8: Feasible 20-1, R9: Timelapse 8-1

★ FASTEST WORK2/4 board here

Stretches out from 7 furlongs to 1 1/16 miles. Winless in 9 starts at this distance.

EVEN PACE The shape is neutral for this one.

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on Oct 21; 2 works in 30d

RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 4 starts here

RECORD Jaime A Torres from post 7 here: 7 wins, 26 top-3 in 63 rides · 9% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/27	CD	7f D	Clm 30k n2l	5th/7 -6½L	77	9.7-1	L	Bmpd btw;2p;shift out
8/7	ELP	6f D	Clm 30k n2l	4th/8 -5½L	78	14-1	L	3-5p;stayed on;left ld
9/28	CD	1m D	Alw s	8th/8 -5¾L	71	67-1	L	Ins-2p; outrun

8ExecutorRan 6thB. Hernandez Jr. · R. MorseHernandez Jr. · MorseA71 77 86▼▼-10@trip 755-1Fair 6-114%▼▼ Big drop -1071 77 86@trip 75A3

Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -10 · Best fig at today's trip 75 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 71 77 86

Jockey B J Jr Hernandez 38% career ★ 9-for-35 on dirt this meet (26%), #3 of 25 · Trainer Randy L Morse 26% career 0-for-7 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R2: Diagram 7-2, R3: Kalapaki Point 15-1, R6: Copycat 8-1, R8: Ready Comete 7-2 · Trainer R1: Down Time 2-1, R4: Good Hand 4-1, R7: League Of Legends 15-1

CLASS UP

Comes off a turf start and tries the dirt here. Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 86, with 85 next best.

EVEN PACE No pace advantage either way, so this comes down to trip and class.

TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Early bobble; 5w 2nd. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 2 works in 30d, last one 14d ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/13	CD	1 1/16 T	Clm 50k n2l	8th/11 -6¼L	71	7.9-1	L	Early bobble;5w 2nd
8/23	ELP	1 1/16 T	Clm 30k n2lc	4th/7 -1½L	77	1.2-1	L	Ins;bid 2w;vie btw;yld
7/30	IND	1m T	Alw n1x	3rd/8 -3L	86	4.5-1	L	Awk;4p;late rally

9Strummin▼Ran 3rdG. Corrales · J. SweezeyCorrales · SweezeyC63 73 78▼▼-8@trip 7810-1Fair 15-16%▼▼ Big drop -863 73 78@trip 78C▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (63 vs 73)

Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -8 · Best fig at today's trip 78 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 63 73 78

▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (63 vs 73)

Jockey Gerardo Corrales 37% career 1-for-15 on dirt this meet (7%) · Trainer J Kent Sweezey 29% career 0-for-5 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R3: Rupp 6-1

2/4 board here

Figures have slipped: 78, 73, 63 over its last three. Goes 1 1/16 miles after running 6 furlongs last time.

EVEN PACE Balanced pace: trip and tactical speed decide it, with no strong setup advantage.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 26 days ago

RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 4 starts here

RECORD Gerardo Corrales from post 9 here: 2 wins, 11 top-3 in 33 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/17	KEE	6f D	Clm 20k n2lc	8th/10 -9¼L	63	6.1-1	L	Rail bid; no rally
12/18	TP	1m D	Clm 30k n2l	10th/10 -8¼L	73	17-1		Stopped; badly eqb amb
10/31	CD	1 1/16 D	Clm 30k n2l	3rd/9 -4L	78	29-1		Ins;bmp 4p3/16;wllngly

10ImpavidoRan 5thA. Cedillo · D. HeathCedillo · HeathC65 67 59►20-1Fair 50-12%► Steady65 67 59C

Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · Last 3 figs 65 67 59

Jockey Abel Cedillo 28% career 1-for-5 on dirt this meet · Trainer Destin G Heath 20% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Down Time 2-1, R2: Ashkenazi 10-1

2/4 board here

Switches from turf to dirt. Went to the front early last out (early pace figure 80).

EVEN PACE No pace advantage either way, so this comes down to trip and class.

WORKS Average work schedule for this field (2 works in 30d, last 7d ago)

RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 4 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/30	IND	1m T	Clm 20k n2x	2nd/10	65	26-1	L	Clear;couldn't last
9/11	CD	6½f D	Clm 16k n2l	6th/12 -6¾L	67	12-1	L	3-5w turn;8w upper str
8/7	ELP	6f D	Clm 30k n2l	7th/8 -9½L	59	15-1	b L	Chsd 4p;faded 3/8;wknd

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (5 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

● Official result

$2 payoffs · our pre-race read is unchanged below

Our top pick, #6 Culprit, finished 9th.

1st2Final ThoughtsWin$25.80Place$9.66Show$6.32Our #4

2nd7Greers FerryWin—Place$5.98Show$4.10Our #2

3rd9StrumminWin—Place—Show$10.44Our #6

4th5Triple MaxOur #10

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

CHURCHILL DOWNS · RACE 5

OFFICIAL

Claiming $30,000

Field

10 runners

Purse

$62,000

Post

2:57 PM ET

Pace

Tactical / Honest

Card model top pick

#6 · 34%

Claiming $30,000, for 3-year-olds and up, that have not won two races lifetime.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 1 1/16 Miles: 100.66

The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.

Our number tops on #6 Culprit (a presser/stalker, M/L 2-1). Recent figures: 55 · 81 · 78. Backup is #7 Greers Ferry at 3-1. Use #8 Executor in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

● OUTCOME · OUT

Final Thoughts won (our #4) · top pick Culprit ran 9th

What didn't

✗ Top pick off the board (9th)
✗ Winner was outside our top 3 (our #4)
✗ Our top 3 finished 9th, 2nd, 6th

TBredIQ ranking → finish

#1	#6 CULPRIT	9th
#2	#7 GREERS FERRY	2nd
#3	#8 EXECUTOR	6th
#4	#2 FINAL THOUGHTS	1st
#5	#4 SURFIN' M	10th

Actual finish

1st	#2 Final Thoughts	our #4
2nd	#7 Greers Ferry	our #2
3rd	#9 Strummin	our #6
4th	#5 Triple Max	our #10
5th	#10 Impavido	our #9

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #6 CULPRIT (2-1) — our number agrees.
#6 CULPRIT — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (27.3% to their 25.9%).
#7 GREERS FERRY — our #2 number, about right at the windows (19.6% to their 19.5%).
#8 EXECUTOR — our #3 number, about right at the windows (13.6% to their 13.0%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Tactical / Honest. Balanced shape: 1-2 speed, supporting pressers, closers in play. Trip wins out.

Likely leader: #6 Culprit; pressure from #4 Surfin' M, #10 Impavido.

Lead

none

Press

6Culprit884Surfin' M8110Impavido802Final Thoughts788Executor74

Stalk

5Triple Max78

9Strummin831Bagg O Time803Anglican807Greers Ferry79

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Culprit

Surfin' M

Impavido

Final Thoughts

Triple Max

Executor

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Anglican

Bagg O Time

Strummin

Greers Ferry

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Bet types

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