Trainer
Colby Williams
1 starter today at Churchill Downs
Today's starters
| Post (ET) | Race | Horse | M/L | Model win | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2:57 PM | CD R5 | #2 Final Thoughts | 6-1 | 12% | Walter A Rodriguez |
Model win chance is the card model on each race page; the morning-line favourite wins more often than our top-ranked horse.
This meet
Churchill Downs
| Surface | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dirt | 0 | 1 | too few to rate |
| All surfaces | 0 | 1 | too few to rate |
Starts at the same track in the 45 days before today, the window the race pages call “this meet.” Under 8 starts we show the count only; under 30, rates move a lot and are tagged.
Last 12 months by race type
| Race type | Won | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allowance / optional claiming | 4 | 20 | 20% small sample | 35% |
| Maiden special weight | 0 | 2 | too few to rate | |
| Claiming $25,000+ | 1 | 5 | too few to rate | |
| Claiming under $25,000 | 2 | 10 | 20% small sample | 30% |
| Maiden claiming | 0 | 16 | 0% small sample | 19% |
| All | 7 | 53 | 13% | 32% |
Thoroughbred races in our results data, through Oct 31, 2026. Name matched on surname and first initial, so two people who share both can be merged.
By situation
| Situation | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Routes | 62 | 13% | 37% |
| On dirt | 54 | 13% | 39% |
| Claiming races | 31 | 13% | 32% |
| First start after a claim | 25 | 4% small sample | 32% |
| Blinkers off | 1 | too few to rate |
The trainer's record in each situation as printed with today's past performances (first-time starters, layoffs, surface and distance switches and so on).
With today's jockeys
| Jockey | Today | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter A Rodriguez | Final Thoughts | 1 | 10 | 10% small sample |
Starts together in the last 12 months, through Oct 31, 2026.
Recent starters
| Date | Race | Horse | Finish | M/L | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/27 | IND R5 | The New Dixie | 7th of 8 | 12-1 | Walter Rodriguez |
| 10/27 | IND R4 | Justice Prevails | 3rd of 9 | 5-1 | Walter Rodriguez |
| 10/23 | KEE R1 | Most Probable | 4th of 8 | 15-1 | John McKee |
| 10/11 | KEE R2 | Hyperlink | 7th of 12 | 30-1 | Yedsit Hazlewood |
| 10/11 | KEE R1 | Bebedouro | 3rd of 6 | 6-1 | Yedsit Hazlewood |
| 10/3 | BTP R4 | Most Probable | 5th of 7 | 8-1 | John McKee |
| 10/2 | KEE R2 | Stolen Power | 6th of 10 | 8-1 | John McKee |
| 9/23 | CD R1 | Four Dimes | 6th of 6 | 12-1 | Walter Rodriguez |
| 9/17 | BTP R5 | Most Probable | 2nd of 4 | 5-2 | J.j. Meza |
| 9/10 | IND R7 | Stolen Power | 5th of 9 | 8-1 | John McKee |
The last 10 settled starts in our results data, through Oct 31, 2026. M/L is the morning line.