Trainer
Matt Williams
1 starter today at Churchill Downs
Today's starters
| Post (ET) | Race | Horse | M/L | Model win | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3:26 PM | CD R6 | #1 She's Not A Joke | 10-1 | 7% | Francisco Arrieta |
Model win chance is the card model on each race page; the morning-line favourite wins more often than our top-ranked horse.
This meet
Churchill Downs
| Surface | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dirt | 0 | 5 | too few to rate |
| All surfaces | 0 | 5 | too few to rate |
Starts at the same track in the 45 days before today, the window the race pages call “this meet.” Under 8 starts we show the count only; under 30, rates move a lot and are tagged.
Last 12 months by race type
| Race type | Won | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other stakes | 0 | 4 | too few to rate | |
| Allowance / optional claiming | 0 | 29 | 0% small sample | 28% |
| Maiden special weight | 1 | 10 | 10% small sample | 30% |
| Claiming $25,000+ | 3 | 17 | 18% small sample | 47% |
| Claiming under $25,000 | 4 | 16 | 25% small sample | 56% |
| Maiden claiming | 4 | 10 | 40% small sample | 60% |
| All | 12 | 86 | 14% | 42% |
Thoroughbred races in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. Name matched on surname and first initial, so two people who share both can be merged.
By situation
| Situation | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| On dirt | 320 | 16% | 45% |
| Sprints | 265 | 18% | 47% |
| Shipping in | 101 | 17% | 53% |
| Back from 90+ days off | 17 | 24% small sample | 35% |
The trainer's record in each situation as printed with today's past performances (first-time starters, layoffs, surface and distance switches and so on).
With today's jockeys
| Jockey | Today | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Arrieta | She's Not A Joke | 4 | 16 | 25% small sample |
Starts together in the last 12 months, through Oct 27, 2026.
Recent starters
| Date | Race | Horse | Finish | M/L | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/16 | KEE R7 | Avie Mo | 8th of 10 | 20-1 | Francisco Arrieta |
| 10/15 | KEE R5 | Lux Aeterna | 7th of 12 | 15-1 | Assael Espinoza |
| 10/14 | KEE R7 | Magicstrikesagain | 6th of 7 | 30-1 | Jaime Torres |
| 10/8 | KEE R6 | Bet The Gray | 4th of 8 | 9-2 | John Velazquez |
| 10/8 | KEE R2 | Mitole Joe | 4th of 10 | 30-1 | Francisco Arrieta |
| 10/2 | KEE R10 | Highly Connected | 7th of 12 | 15-1 | Francisco Arrieta |
| 9/25 | CD R3 | No Time Left | 3rd of 5 | 6-1 | Jaime Torres |
| 9/20 | CD R4 | Cold Case | 4th of 6 | 8-1 | Francisco Arrieta |
| 9/19 | CD R2 | Ritornello | 3rd of 7 | 20-1 | Gabriel Saez |
| 9/17 | CD R3 | Avie Mo | 7th of 12 | 15-1 | Cristian Torres |
The last 10 settled starts in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. M/L is the morning line.