INDIANA DOWNS · RACE 9
UPCOMINGState-Bred Allowance · $19,500 purse
Allowance, for 3-year-olds and up, restricted to state-bred (registered) horses, that have not won two races lifetime.
Allowance race — a step above claiming. No horses are for sale; written conditions limit the field to horses of similar experience.
● Breed: Quarter Horse
● Track record at 400 Yards: 19.32
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #3 Queenvn Chic (a tactical type, M/L 7-5). Recent figures: 76 · 85 · 103. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #8 Hf Firecracker at 12-1. Use #1 One Sweet Wagon in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Tops the field on speed figures, a 103 against 92 for the next best. Trending the wrong way on speed, 103 to 85 to 76.
Trending the wrong way on speed, 88 to 84 to 76. 2nd of 7 at 1F on Apr 2, in :11.20.
Purse drops from $30,000 to $19,500 against its last start. Figures have slipped: 86, 85, 72 over its last three.
Figures have slipped: 92, 91, 81 over its last three. 3rd of 28 at 1F on Mar 20, in :11.20.
8th last time, 1 length back, in a field of 10. Worked 1F in :11.80 on Mar 30, 3rd of 6 at the distance.
Finished 4th last time in a 9-horse allowance race at IND.
Beaten ¾ length for 2nd in a 10-horse allowance race at IND. Carries 126 pounds, 5 less than last time.
Returns from a 90-day break, the biggest in the field. The Mar 28 work, 1F in :11.20, was the best time at that distance that morning.
At a glance
- Market favourite #3 QUEENVN CHIC (7-5) — our number agrees.
- #3 QUEENVN CHIC — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (32.8% to their 35.1%).
- #1 ONE SWEET WAGON — our #3 number, about right at the windows (18.5% to their 16.8%).
- #2 AE KING JB — our #7 number, about right at the windows (14.0% to their 15.3%).
Value read
- Longshot value: #8 HF FIRECRACKER (12-1) — our fair 7.7% is above the morning line's 6.5%; needs the trip to fall right.
Pace
Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.
and works against #1 One Sweet Wagon, #2 Ae King Jb, #3 Queenvn Chic.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — a soft pace can let a forward type loose — protect with a saver on top. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Win
#3 Queenvn Chic
Top of the field by a clear 11-pt IQ margin — the play stands alone to win.
Exacta — KEY
#3 Queenvn Chic OVER #8 Hf Firecracker · #1 One Sweet Wagon · #4 Beach Feature
Key #3 Queenvn Chic on top over your contenders for the 2nd slot.
Trifecta — KEY/WHEEL
#3 Queenvn Chic / #8 Hf Firecracker · #1 One Sweet Wagon · #4 Beach Feature / #8 Hf Firecracker · #1 One Sweet Wagon · #4 Beach Feature · #6 Lb Favorite Delight
#3 Queenvn Chic keyed 1st, your contenders filling 2nd–3rd.
Superfecta — KEY
#3 Queenvn Chic / #8 Hf Firecracker · #1 One Sweet Wagon · #4 Beach Feature · #6 Lb Favorite Delight / #8 Hf Firecracker · #1 One Sweet Wagon · #4 Beach Feature · #6 Lb Favorite Delight / ALL or #8 Hf Firecracker · #1 One Sweet Wagon · #4 Beach Feature · #6 Lb Favorite Delight
Deep enough field to spread a super — key the top, spread the next few, fill 4th wide.
Bet types offered at this track →
EXACTA / TRIFECTA / 50 CENT TRIFECTA / SUPERFECTA / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA
10 CENT QH ONLY GRAND HIGH 5 (PENTAFECTA - SEPARATE CARRYOVER)