INDIANA DOWNS · RACE 7
UPCOMINGOptional Claiming $15,000
Claiming $15,000, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 1 Mile: 93.19
The shape is the story here: 4 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.
Our number tops on #2 Ziggzappa (a closer, M/L 20-1). Recent figures: 63 · 58 · 71. Backup is #10 Ce La Vi Charli at 6-1. Use #9 I Made It in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Beaten 19 lengths for 7th in an 8-horse optional claiming race at IND. Has won 9 of 18 going today's distance.
Last race was on the dirt; today it runs on the turf. Off 68 days since the last start.
Comes in off a victory in an 8-horse optional claiming race at IND. The Aug 27 work, 4F in :46.20, was the best time at that distance that morning.
A step up in company: optional claiming before, optional claiming today. Prime Power, the Brisnet rating, puts it on top of this field.
Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 70 against a 79 par. Raises its level, allowance last time and optional claiming now.
Jockey switch: Joseph D Ramos last out, Santo Sanjur today. Moves up from optional claiming to optional claiming.
Raises its level, optional claiming last time and optional claiming now. Axel Concepcion takes over from Evin A Roman in the saddle.
Returns from a 90-day break, the biggest in the field. 2nd of 18 at 4F on Jul 15, in :48.60.
Switches from dirt to turf. A 57-day gap since its last race.
Figures have slipped: 74, 70, 62 over its last three. Dropped in well back early last out, 8th of 9 at the first call.
Owns the highest recent figure here at 82. Went to the front early last out (early pace figure 73).
Last out was 5th, 10 lengths behind the winner, in an 8-horse optional claiming race at IND. 3 wins from 8 starts at this distance.
Comes off a dirt start and tries the turf here. 5 wins from 10 starts at this distance.
Best recent figure is 61, well under the 79 par for this level. Trending the wrong way on speed, 61 to 56 to 46.
At a glance
- Market favourite #9 I MADE IT (5-2) — our number has it ranked #3.
- #9 I MADE IT — our #3 number, about right at the windows (16.8% to their 17.5%).
- #13 BEACH DANCER — our #8 number, about right at the windows (14.2% to their 15.3%).
- #1 COLLECTED BOND — our #4 number, about right at the windows (10.0% to their 10.2%).
Value read
- Longshot value: #2 ZIGGZAPPA (20-1) — our fair 4.3% is above the morning line's 2.9%; supported by: top barn (32%) + jockey (34%) at 20-1 — proven edge band (ML 3+)
Pace
Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.
Likely leader: #3 Annie Express; pressure from #13 Beach Dancer, #9 I Made It; the shape helps #2 Ziggzappa, #4 Ziva, #7 Lucky Shore; and works against #3 Annie Express, #9 I Made It, #13 Beach Dancer.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — the projected speed duel sets up closers underneath — spread the exotics deeper. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Win
#2 Ziggzappa
Top of the field by a clear 14-pt IQ margin — the play stands alone to win.
Exacta — KEY
#2 Ziggzappa OVER #10 Ce La Vi Charli · #9 I Made It · #1 Collected Bond
Key #2 Ziggzappa on top over your contenders for the 2nd slot.
Trifecta — KEY/WHEEL
#2 Ziggzappa / #10 Ce La Vi Charli · #9 I Made It · #1 Collected Bond / #10 Ce La Vi Charli · #9 I Made It · #1 Collected Bond · #12 Cause Ima Rose
#2 Ziggzappa keyed 1st, your contenders filling 2nd–3rd.
Superfecta — KEY
#2 Ziggzappa / #10 Ce La Vi Charli · #9 I Made It · #1 Collected Bond · #12 Cause Ima Rose / #10 Ce La Vi Charli · #9 I Made It · #1 Collected Bond · #12 Cause Ima Rose / ALL or #10 Ce La Vi Charli · #9 I Made It · #1 Collected Bond · #12 Cause Ima Rose
Deep enough field to spread a super — key the top, spread the next few, fill 4th wide.
Bet types offered at this track →
$5 LATE THOROUGHBRED DAILY DOUBLE / EXACTA / TRIFECTA / 50 CENT TRIFECTA
SUPERFECTA / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA