SPECIAL WAGER POOL · RACE 3
UPCOMINGAllowance · $46,240 purse
Allowance, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up, that have not won a race other than maiden, claiming, or starter.
Allowance race — a step above claiming. No horses are for sale; written conditions limit the field to horses of similar experience.
The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.
Our number tops on #2 Plot (a closer, M/L 4-1). Recent figures: 74 · 77 · 78. Backup is #1 Max at 9-2. Use #11 Feeling Beachy in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Back after 129 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence. 6th last time, 3¼ lengths back, in a field of 10.
A step up in company: allowance before, allowance today. Ranks first in the field on Brisnet Prime Power.
Comes off a dirt start and tries the turf here. Freshened 488 days, longer than anything else in the field. Watch how its recent works look.
La Cruz Fernando De takes over from Jaime A Torres in the saddle. Figure of 87 on the record sits above the 79 par.
0 for 6 at today's distance. Drops from $50,000 claiming to allowance.
A step up in company: allowance before, allowance today. Finished 7th in a 10-horse allowance race at IND, beaten 3¾ lengths.
New trainer: Chasey Deville Pomier had it last time, Sarah E Shaffer now. 335 days since the last start, so it needs the works to say it's ready.
Has moved up each time out, 67 to 69 to 73. Beaten 1 length for 8th in a 10-horse allowance race at IND.
Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 67 against a 79 par. Comes in off a victory in a 10-horse maiden claiming $20,000 race at IND.
A longer trip: 5 furlongs last out, a mile today. Dropped in well back early last out, 4th of 5 at the first call.
Best recent figure is 68, well under the 79 par for this level. Raises its level, $12,500 claiming last time and allowance now.
Goes a mile after running 5 furlongs last time. Last out was 6th, 10 lengths behind the winner, in a 9-horse allowance race at IND.
At a glance
- Market favourite #10 SUSSUDIO (3-1) — our number has it ranked #4.
- #10 SUSSUDIO — our #4 number, about right at the windows (19.4% to their 19.2%).
- #2 PLOT — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (16.8% to their 15.4%).
- #1 MAX — our #2 number, about right at the windows (13.9% to their 14.0%).
Model vs the morning line
- The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #5 Mother Green; pressure from #8 Temple Temptress, #11 Feeling Beachy; the shape helps #1 Max, #3 Derry Girl, #4 Divvy; and works against #5 Mother Green.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
LEG 3 OF THE HORSESHOE TURF PICK 3
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta