Horse

Little Shance

4-year-old dark bay/brown gelding · By Shancelot out of Moon Date (by Malibu Moon)

Entered today: Mahoning Valley Race 4

Post time1:39 PM ET
Race type6 Furlongs Dirt · Claiming $15,000
Program / post#10 · post 10
Weight126 lb
Equipment / medicationLasix
Model win chance12%Fair odds 8-1
Morning line4-115% once the line is scaled to 100%
Morning-line favourite?No

Tier A Form ▲ Up +5

Pick-sheet marks: notes from the past performances, not proven to beat the odds. How to read them is on the race page.

Model win chance is the card model shown on the race page. The morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse (see the record), so read it as a second opinion.

Last three races

DateTrkDistClassFinishSpeed figOddsEqTrip
10/8TDN6f DsClm7500n4l2nd/6 -3L710.3-1LChased; clear 2nd
9/29TDN5½f DsClm7500n3lWon/6711.1-1L3-2w;move;drew off
9/9TDN5½f DsClm12500n2lWon/7700.5-1LPerfect trip; drew off

Finish shows position, field size and beaten lengths. Odds are final odds; * = favourite. Trip notes are the chart caller's.

11 starts in our records: 3 won, 4 2nd, 0 3rd.

DateRaceDistanceTypeFieldPostFinishOddsJockeyTrainer
10/8/26Thistledown R86 Furlongs DirtClaiming $7,500612nd7-2 MLRicardo FelicianoJevon Crumley
9/29/26Thistledown R45 1/2 Furlongs DirtClaiming $7,50064Won9-5 MLRicardo FelicianoJevon Crumley
9/9/26Thistledown R85 1/2 Furlongs DirtClaiming $12,50077Won7-2 MLRicardo FelicianoJevon Crumley
8/12/26Thistledown R55 1/2 Furlongs DirtAllowance624th5-1 MLRicardo FelicianoJevon Crumley
7/6/26Thistledown R16 Furlongs DirtAllowance675th8-1 MLRicardo FelicianoJevon Crumley
6/6/26Thistledown R36 Furlongs DirtAllowance787th9-2 MLBailey WeatherlyEric Reed
5/11/26Thistledown R66 Furlongs DirtAllowance772nd7-2 MLBailey WeatherlyEric Reed
4/21/26Thistledown R25 1/2 Furlongs DirtAllowance752nd8-1 MLBailey WeatherlyEric Reed
4/9/26Mahoning Valley R76 Furlongs DirtAllowance756th10-1 MLCharle OliverosEric Reed
4/22/25Thistledown R86 Furlongs DirtAllowance932nd5-2 MLAlexander ChavezJevon Crumley
3/30/25Mahoning Valley R26 Furlongs DirtMaiden special weight61Won4-5 MLAlexander ChavezJevon Crumley

From TBredIQ's own results records; may be incomplete before Jul 3, 2023. Matched on name, sire and dam. Finish shows lengths behind the winner where we have the chart; odds are final odds where we have the chart, otherwise the morning line (ML). Past race pages aren't kept on the site, so there's no result link for these races. 4 other entries in our records have no result (usually a scratch, or a race we have no chart for) and are not listed.

Speed figures

Best speed figure
Dirt, fast track74
Wet track63
Today's distance on today's surface (last 6 tries in the data)74

Last figures, newest first: 71 · 71 · 70 · 58 — up +5 against the three before

Recent works

DateTrkDistTimeHowRank
9/1TDN5f1:02.40breezing2 of 4
5/8MNR3f:37.00breezing1 of 3fastest of the day at the distance
4/3MER5f1:04.20breezing2 of 4
2/25MER5f1:04.20breezing2 of 2
12/26MVR4f:50.80breezing11 of 14

Rank = where the time placed among horses working the same distance at that track that day.

Record

Record
Career14 starts: 3 won, 4 2nd, 0 3rd · $73,294
This year10 starts: 2 won, 3 2nd, 0 3rd · $44,944
Last year4 starts: 1 won, 1 2nd, 0 3rd · $28,350
At Mahoning Valley3 starts: 1 won, 0 2nd, 0 3rd · $20,442
At today's distance9 starts: 1 won, 3 2nd, 0 3rd · $41,644
Wet track3 starts: 1 won, 0 2nd, 0 3rd · $21,165

Owner: Crumley Racing And Matthew Kosco

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