● Live race intelligence · code MVR

Mahoning Valley

Wednesday, October 28, 2026.

Races
8
on the card
Feature
R1
Claiming $10,000 · $24K
First post
12:15 PM
ET · race 1
Top model win %
25%
#3 Our Last Song

● Track conditions today

Mahoning Valley — today's signals

Surface read

±0.79s STEADY

Surface holds steady day to day — final times read true off the page, so our speed figures need little adjustment here.

day-to-day swing · 49 race-days sampled

Weather

Unavailable

No forecast for this track right now — surface read defaults to the listed condition.

Carryover pool

None today

No mandatory or jackpot carryover detected at this track. Standard pools today.

Do the model's percentages hold up?

Mostly

Across finished races the model's win chances mostly match how often its picks win, but its most confident picks win a few points less than it says. The morning-line favourite still wins more often than the model's top pick.

checked against 2,848 finished races · as of 2026-06-06

TRACK BIAS · WIN % BY POST

Best post #3 (13%) · Rail helps

Even by post — inside 12% / outside 10%. Bars show each post’s win rate vs the track average over 21,264 starts.

avg 11%12%110%213%312%412%512%611%710%89%910%108%11

Where the model is most sure

Three highest model win %.

The three races where the model's top pick has its highest win chance, with the morning line beside it. Most of these are the favourite too. Tap for the full race.

R1 · 1 Mile Dirt

#3 Our Last Song

Sosa Laureano · Hamm Timothy

Model win %
25%
Vs favourite
Differs
M/L
4-1

R4 · 6 Furlongs Dirt

#4 Orfano

Bracho Jose A · Estvanko Richard

Model win %
21%
Vs favourite
Differs
M/L
5-1

R2 · 6 Furlongs Dirt

#3 Ask Arthur

Terraza German · Martinez Kelli

Model win %
20%
Vs favourite
Differs
M/L
4-1

Top connections on the card

Trainers + jockeys to watch.

Trainer leaderboard

  1. Radosevich Jeff2 top picks
  2. Juarez-Mendoza Rey2 top picks
  3. Hamm Timothy1 top picks
  4. Holden Darragh1 top picks
  5. Martinez Kelli1 top picks

Jockey leaderboard

  1. Parker D L2 top picks
  2. Rivera L R2 top picks
  3. Salazar Becerra Fernando2 top picks
  4. Bracho Jose A2 top picks
  5. Sosa Laureano1 top picks

Multi-race wagers

Today's sequences, leg by leg.

Every Daily Double and Pick 3/4/5/6 on today's card, with the model's top pick in each leg, or its top two or three when the leg is close. A Pick N is one pari-mutuel pool: you need the winner of every leg, and the pool is split among the tickets that have them all. This is analysis, not a ticket or a staking plan.

Pick 3Races 1–3 · 50 CENT min
R1#3 Our Last Song · #6 Electric MelodyClose: top 2
R2#3 Ask Arthur · #1 Good Directions · #9 Hightail FoxClose: top 3
R3#8 Star Entertainer · #3 All My Life · #2 HandsoffthegoodsClose: top 3
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 5Races 1–5 · 50 CENT min
R1#3 Our Last Song · #6 Electric MelodyClose: top 2
R2#3 Ask Arthur · #1 Good Directions · #9 Hightail FoxClose: top 3
R3#8 Star Entertainer · #3 All My Life · #2 HandsoffthegoodsClose: top 3
R4#4 OrfanoTop pick
R5#8 Paint The Town · #4 Hite · #2 That's The WayClose: top 3
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 3Races 2–4 · 50 CENT min
R2#3 Ask Arthur · #1 Good Directions · #9 Hightail FoxClose: top 3
R3#8 Star Entertainer · #3 All My Life · #2 HandsoffthegoodsClose: top 3
R4#4 OrfanoTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 3Races 3–5 · 50 CENT min
R3#8 Star Entertainer · #3 All My Life · #2 HandsoffthegoodsClose: top 3
R4#4 OrfanoTop pick
R5#8 Paint The Town · #4 Hite · #2 That's The WayClose: top 3
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 6Races 3–8 · 20 CENT min
R3#8 Star Entertainer · #3 All My Life · #2 HandsoffthegoodsClose: top 3
R4#4 OrfanoTop pick
R5#8 Paint The Town · #4 Hite · #2 That's The WayClose: top 3
R6#9 Florida Gal · #6 Honor And Obay · #2 GleefulClose: top 3
R7#3 Puff'smagicdragon · #4 General IssueClose: top 2
R8#1 Ocean Windows · #5 Socialbutterflytam · #6 Overly DramaticClose: top 3
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 3Races 4–6 · 50 CENT min
R4#4 OrfanoTop pick
R5#8 Paint The Town · #4 Hite · #2 That's The WayClose: top 3
R6#9 Florida Gal · #6 Honor And Obay · #2 GleefulClose: top 3
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 5Races 4–8 · 50 CENT min
R4#4 OrfanoTop pick
R5#8 Paint The Town · #4 Hite · #2 That's The WayClose: top 3
R6#9 Florida Gal · #6 Honor And Obay · #2 GleefulClose: top 3
R7#3 Puff'smagicdragon · #4 General IssueClose: top 2
R8#1 Ocean Windows · #5 Socialbutterflytam · #6 Overly DramaticClose: top 3
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 3Races 5–7 · 50 CENT min
R5#8 Paint The Town · #4 Hite · #2 That's The WayClose: top 3
R6#9 Florida Gal · #6 Honor And Obay · #2 GleefulClose: top 3
R7#3 Puff'smagicdragon · #4 General IssueClose: top 2
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 4Races 5–8 · 50 CENT min
R5#8 Paint The Town · #4 Hite · #2 That's The WayClose: top 3
R6#9 Florida Gal · #6 Honor And Obay · #2 GleefulClose: top 3
R7#3 Puff'smagicdragon · #4 General IssueClose: top 2
R8#1 Ocean Windows · #5 Socialbutterflytam · #6 Overly DramaticClose: top 3
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 3Races 6–8 · 50 CENT min
R6#9 Florida Gal · #6 Honor And Obay · #2 GleefulClose: top 3
R7#3 Puff'smagicdragon · #4 General IssueClose: top 2
R8#1 Ocean Windows · #5 Socialbutterflytam · #6 Overly DramaticClose: top 3
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.

Today's races

Race-by-race with archetype.

Each race is tagged with pace archetype (TACTICAL · SPEED DUEL · LONE SPEED · CLOSERS' RACE · PACE VACUUM · PRESSED PACE). Click any row for the full Verdict, Pace Shape, Full Field, Workouts, and Wagers.

R01

1 Mile Dirt · Claiming $10,000

Purse $24,300 · 6 entered · Post 12:15 PM ET

PRESSED PACE

Model's top pick

#3 Our Last Song

Sosa Laureano / Hamm Timothy

M/L

4-1

Model 25% · favourite is #2

VIEW →
R02

6 Furlongs Dirt · Claiming $5,000

Purse $12,200 · 9 entered · Post 12:43 PM ET

SPEED DUEL

Model's top pick

#3 Ask Arthur

Terraza German / Martinez Kelli

M/L

4-1

Model 20% · favourite is #1

VIEW →
R03

1 Mile Dirt · Claiming $5,000

Purse $12,800 · 10 entered · Post 1:11 PM ET

SPEED DUEL

Model's top pick

#8 Star Entertainer

Rivera L R / Radosevich Jeff

M/L

4-1

Model 18% · favourite is #5

VIEW →
R04

6 Furlongs Dirt · Claiming $15,000

Purse $21,500 · 11 entered · Post 1:39 PM ET

PRESSED PACE

Model's top pick

#4 Orfano

Bracho Jose A / Estvanko Richard

M/L

5-1

Model 21% · favourite is #6

VIEW →
R05

1 Mile Dirt · Claiming $10,000

Purse $24,300 · 10 entered · Post 2:07 PM ET

PRESSED PACE

Model's top pick

#8 Paint The Town

Simpson Jason / Bailey Ricardo

M/L

12-1

Model 10% · favourite is #2

VIEW →
R06

5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt · Claiming $7,500

Purse $14,600 · 9 entered · Post 2:35 PM ET

SPEED DUEL

Model's top pick

#9 Florida Gal

Fernandez Victor R / Juarez-Mendoza Rey

M/L

4-1

Model 17% · favourite is #1

VIEW →
R07

1 Mile 70 Yards Dirt · State-Bred Allowance · $17,600 purse

Purse $17,600 · 8 entered · Post 3:03 PM ET

TACTICAL / HONEST

Model's top pick

#3 Puff'smagicdragon

Rivera L R / Radosevich Jeff

M/L

9-2

Model 19% · favourite is #4

VIEW →
R08

6 Furlongs Dirt · RHP 40-55

Purse $20,000 · 9 entered · Post 3:31 PM ET

PRESSED PACE

Model's top pick

#1 Ocean Windows

Gonzalez Santiago / Jarvis Kathy

M/L

4-1

Model 17% · favourite is #6

VIEW →
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