Horse

Tall Paul

5-year-old dark bay/brown gelding · By Frosted out of Ananda (by Scat Daddy)

Entered today: Belmont Park Race 2

Post time12:15 PM ET
Race type7 Furlongs Turf · Optional Claiming $45,000
Program / post#6 · post 6
Weight124 lb
Equipment / medicationLasix
Model win chance4%Fair odds 20-1 (model above the line)
Morning line20-14% once the line is scaled to 100%
Morning-line favourite?No

Tier C Form ▼ Down -5 ≡ Steady figures, 71–77

Pick-sheet marks: notes from the past performances, not proven to beat the odds. How to read them is on the race page.

Model win chance is the card model shown on the race page. The morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse (see the record), so read it as a second opinion.

Last three races

DateTrkDistClassFinishSpeed figOddsEqTrip
4/24AQU6f TAlw n1x8th/8 -6L7115-1b LChased 2-3w; weakened
2/11AQU1m DsOC45000n2x6th/8 -9L779.7-1b LLst footing st;ins trn
12/10AQU6½f DsOC45000n2x6th/7 -6½L753.2-1b L4-5p turn;6p1/4;empty

Finish shows position, field size and beaten lengths. Odds are final odds; * = favourite. Trip notes are the chart caller's.

9 starts in our records: 2 won, 1 2nd, 2 3rd.

DateRaceDistanceTypeFieldPostFinishOddsJockeyTrainer
4/24/26Aqueduct R76 Furlongs TurfAllowance11108th10-1 MLManuel FrancoJohn Terranova Ii
12/10/25Aqueduct R76 1/2 Furlongs DirtAllowance optional claiming $45,000776th3-1 MLFlavien PratJohn Terranova Ii
8/24/25Del Mar R86 Furlongs DirtAllowance optional claiming $100,0008108th12-1 MLDrayden Van DykeBob Baffert
11/10/24Aqueduct R46 Furlongs TurfAllowance optional claiming $45,0001199th4-1 MLDylan DavisJohn Terranova Ii
10/5/24Belmont At The Big A R116 Furlongs TurfAllowance optional claiming $45,0001352nd6-1 MLDylan DavisBob Baffert
9/14/24Belmont At The Big A R67 Furlongs DirtAllowance85Won2-1 MLDylan DavisBob Baffert
9/25/23Finger Lakes R45 1/2 Furlongs DirtStakes (Aspirant S.)643rd, 0.2L1.0-1Irad Ortiz Jr.Bob Baffert
8/12/23Saratoga R16 Furlongs DirtMaiden special weight75Won0.8-1Joel RosarioBob Baffert
7/23/23Del Mar R85 Furlongs DirtMaiden special weight923rd, 2.8L2.7-1Umberto RispoliBob Baffert

From TBredIQ's own results records; may be incomplete before Jul 3, 2023. Matched on name, sire and dam. Finish shows lengths behind the winner where we have the chart; odds are final odds where we have the chart, otherwise the morning line (ML). Past race pages aren't kept on the site, so there's no result link for these races. 5 other entries in our records have no result (usually a scratch, or a race we have no chart for) and are not listed.

Speed figures

Best speed figure
Dirt, fast track83
Turf87
Wet track82

Last figures, newest first: 71 · 77 · 75 · 76 — down -5 against the three before

Recent works

DateTrkDistTimeHowRank
10/23BEL5f1:00.20breezing1 of 3fastest of the day at the distance
10/16BEL5f1:01.80breezing1 of 6fastest of the day at the distance
10/10BEL4f:47.60breezing3 of 34
10/3BEL4f:48.20breezing6 of 29
9/25BEL4f:49.20breezing23 of 32

Rank = where the time placed among horses working the same distance at that track that day.

Record

Record
Career11 starts: 2 won, 1 2nd, 2 3rd · $141,242
This year2 starts: 0 won, 0 2nd, 0 3rd · $1,620
Last year2 starts: 0 won, 0 2nd, 0 3rd · $1,730
Turf3 starts: 0 won, 1 2nd, 0 3rd · $18,466
Wet track2 starts: 0 won, 0 2nd, 1 3rd · $18,016

Owner: Pegram Michael E Watson Karl And Weitman

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