R2 Belmont Park · Optional Claiming $45,000

1. 1TacticalityA. Fresu · R. RodriguezFresu · RodriguezB80 75 92►8-1Fair 12-18%► Steady80 75 92B

   Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · Last 3 figs 80 75 92

   Jockey Antonio Fresu 34% career 11-for-89 on turf this meet (12%) · Trainer Rudy R Rodriguez 33% career 0-for-20 on turf this meet (0%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R3: Pink Carats 5-2, R4: Hot Night 8-1, R5: Fire Angel 6-1, R6: Princess Attitude 8-1 +4 more · Trainer R5: Freshly Minted 15-1

   CLASS UP

   Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 92, with 88 next best. Prime Power, the Brisnet rating, puts it on top of this field.

   PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

   WORKS Routine prep: 2 works in 30d, last 6d ago

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/4	BEL	6f T	OC 45k	3rd/11 -5L	80	12-1	L	Hit gate st; belatedly
   9/6	SAR	1m D	Clm 20k bc	5th/10	75	0.9-1	L	Dueled ins; weakened
   5/24	MTH	1 1/16 D	OC 20k n1x	Won/5	92	3.5-1	L	Stalked; bid; drew clr

2. 2Moment's NoticeJ. Rodriguez · J. SharpRodriguez · SharpB81 87 84▼-5≡6-1Fair 7-113%▼ Down -581 87 84 ≡B2

   Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #2 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -5 · ≡ Steady figures 81–88 · Last 3 figs 81 87 84

   Jockey Jamie Rodriguez 34% career · Trainer Joe Sharp 40% career 2-for-14 on turf this meet (14%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R4: Goodproblemtohave 7-2, R5: Mass Confusion 8-1, R6: Storm Miami 3-1, R7: Hundreds 15-1 +3 more · Trainer R6: Ontario 8-1, R6: Miwa 7-2, R9: Queen Juno 20-1

   Last out was 2nd, 3¼ lengths behind the winner, in an 11-horse optional claiming race at BEL. Stretches out from 6 furlongs to 7 furlongs.

   PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 7 days ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/4	BEL	6f T	OC 45k	2nd/11 -3¼L	81	6.4-1	b L	8w upper; mild kick
   9/18	BEL	6½f D	Alw s	4th/12 -4½L	87	12-1	b L	4p turn;chsd;miss 3rd
   8/19	SAR	7f D	Alw s	4th/7 -3L	84	7.0-1	b L	Hit gate;bmp;ins-2p;4p

3. 3Hamilton's WayLSR. Santana Jr. · M. MakerSantana Jr. · MakerC69 83 65▼▼-8↕8-1Fair 10-110%▼▼ Big drop -869 83 65 ↕CLS

   Card model 10% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #4 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -8 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 65–83 · Last 3 figs 69 83 65

   LS

   Longshot read: 8-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 10% against a line of 9%. A read, not a bet.

   Jockey Ricardo Jr Santana 16-for-106 on turf this meet (15%) · Trainer Michael J Maker 36% career 1-for-26 on turf this meet (4%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Legal Gambit 3-1, R3: Quell 4-1, R4: Buzzer Beater 5-1, R5: Double Max 7-2 +5 more

   180D+ LAYOFF3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

   Returns from a 258-day break, the biggest in the field. New trainer: Nicholas J Tomlinson had it last time, Michael J Maker now.

   EVEN PACE Real pressure up front should bring the pace back to it.

   WORKS Routine prep: 3 works in 30d, last 10d ago

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   2/14	GP	1m T	Clm 35k bc	8th/9 -8¼L	69	8.2-1	L	Btwn1st;2-3p;tired str
   1/18	GP	1 1/16 D	Clm 35k bc	6th/9 -3½L	83	7.9-1	L	No menace inside
   12/11	AQU	1⅛m D	Alw s	8th/9 -15L	65	4.1-1	L	Bmp br;4-5p;eased;wlkd

4. 4Catch a Tiger▲K. Davis · N. ZitoDavis · ZitoC86 72 76▲▲+1020-1Fair 30-14%▲▲ Big jump +10 · career best86 72 76C▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 83

   Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +10 · career best · Last 3 figs 86 72 76

   ▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 83

   Jockey Katie Davis 31% career 2-for-38 on turf this meet (5%) · Trainer Nicholas P Zito 23% career

   Also today · Jockey R3: Angie's Angel 30-1, R7: First To Engage 5-1, R8: First Call Bob 12-1, R9: One More Guitar 20-1 · Trainer R7: Bellissimo D'Oro 20-1, R8: Luz De Guia 15-1, R10: A I Nation 15-1

   60D LAYOFFCLASS DROP

   A step up in company: $11,000 claiming before, optional claiming today. Comes off a dirt start and tries the turf here.

   PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

   WORKS Routine prep: 2 works in 30d, last 6d ago

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   8/24	FL	5½f D	Clm 11k n3l	2nd/6 -1½L	86	4.2-1	b L	Dkd out slmd fo start
   7/23	SAR	6f D	Clm 20k n3l	9th/10 -6L	72	16-1	b L	Ins-2p;lost crop 3/16
   2/20	GP	1m T	Clm 17k bc	4th/6 -1L	76	3.4-1	b L	Rail; pace; weakened

5. 5Counter MoveS. Marin · G. WeaverMarin · WeaverA82 74 82►@trip 823-1Fair 9-218%► Steady82 74 82@trip 82A3

   Card model 18% · Fair odds 9-2 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 82 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 82 74 82

   Jockey Samuel Marin 33% career 10-for-71 on turf this meet (14%) · Trainer George Weaver 37% career 6-for-32 on turf this meet (19%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R1: Sir Duke 8-5, R3: Tiffany's Gem 6-1, R4: Quoted 9-2, R5: Say Wallahi Bro 3-1 +5 more · Trainer R5: Fire Angel 6-1, R7: Bubble Market 4-1

   WON LAST

   Winner of an 11-horse allowance race at BEL last time. 3rd of 23 at 4F on Oct 24, in :47.20.

   PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

   WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 2 works in 30d, last 6d back

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/24	BEL	7f T	sAlw50000s	Won/11	82	11-1	L	Out;3p turn;clr;held
   7/9	SAR	5½f T	OC 45k	7th/11 -11L	74	5.1-1	L	3-2path turn;no rally
   6/13	BAQ	6f T	OC 45k	3rd/11 by hd	82	3.3-1	L	Ins turn;outfinished

6. 6Tall PaulJ. Lezcano · J. TerranovaLezcano · TerranovaC71 77 75▼-5≡20-1Fair 20-14%▼ Down -571 77 75 ≡C

   Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -5 · ≡ Steady figures 71–77 · Last 3 figs 71 77 75

   Jockey Jose Lezcano 33% career 5-for-77 on turf this meet (6%) · Trainer John P Ii Terranova 0-for-10 on turf this meet (0%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Originality 2-1, R3: Sparks Will Fly 2-1, R5: Early And Often 8-1, R6: Starship Athena 8-1 +3 more · Trainer R5: Surprise Audit 8-1, R7: Hundreds 15-1

   180D+ LAYOFF4 WORKS IN 30 DAYS★ FASTEST WORK

   Freshened 189 days. Watch how its recent works look. A longer trip: 6 furlongs last out, 7 furlongs today.

   PACE CHALLENGE Has early speed but company on the front end. (early-speed points: 3)

   WORKS SHARP 5f in 1:01.80 on Oct 16 was the best time at that distance that morning; 4 works in 30d

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   4/24	AQU	6f T	Alw n1x	8th/8 -6L	71	15-1	b L	Chased 2-3w; weakened
   2/11	AQU	1m D	sOC45000n2x	6th/8 -9L	77	9.7-1	b L	Lst footing st;ins trn
   12/10	AQU	6½f D	sOC45000n2x	6th/7 -6½L	75	3.2-1	b L	4-5p turn;6p1/4;empty

7. 7PinelandC. Elliott · R. DutrowElliott · DutrowA78 78 79►≡4-1Fair 7-113%► Steady78 78 79 ≡A

   Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #6 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 78–84 · Last 3 figs 78 78 79

   Jockey Christopher Elliott 35% career 0-for-31 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Richard E Dutrow 22% career 1-for-20 on turf this meet (5%)

   Also today · Jockey R3: Fire Baton 6-1, R5: Freshly Minted 15-1, R7: Like A Rock 10-1, R8: Tapwrits Temper 10-1 +3 more · Trainer R8: Tapwrits Temper 10-1, R8: Into The Light 10-1

   Shortens up to 7 furlongs after going 1 1/16 miles. An 84 top number against a 83 par, so it fits the level.

   PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

   WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (2 works in 30d, last 9d back)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/7	BEL	1 1/16 T	OC 45k	9th/11 -3L	78	5.1-1	b L	Bmpd st; stalk2p; wknd
   8/9	SAR	1 1/16 T	OC 45k c	5th/9 -½L	78	7.2-1	b L	4w upper; outfinished
   6/28	WO	7½f T	OC 50k n2x	6th/8 -3L	79	2.5-1	b L	Hound pace outs;wilted

8. 8Bridle a Butterfly▲L. Rivera Jr. · B. CoxRivera Jr. · CoxA83 86 80►≡9-2Fair 7-113%► Steady83 86 80 ≡A▲ Last fig 83 at/above par 83

   Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #5 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 80–86 · Last 3 figs 83 86 80

   ▲ Last fig 83 at/above par 83

   Jockey Luis Raul Jr Rivera 34% career 1-for-16 on turf this meet (6%) · Trainer Brad H Cox 42% career 4-for-12 on turf this meet (33%), #2 of 48 ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R4: Vekoma Dream 8-1, R5: Surprise Audit 8-1, R8: Sequential 5-2, R9: Bette Davis Eyes 20-1

   60D LAYOFF4 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

   Brad H Cox takes over the training from Oscar S Iii Barrera. Figure of 88 on the record sits above the 83 par.

   PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

   WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 4 works in 30d and the last 5d back

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   8/7	SAR	5½f T	OC 45k c	3rd/9 -4½L	83	7.8-1	b L	2-3p;wait1/4;mvd out
   7/9	SAR	5½f T	OC 45k c	4th/11 -5½L	86	3.2-1	L	Ins turn;2p1/4;mvd out
   6/7	SAR	1 1/16 T	OC 45k c	5th/12 -3¼L	80	11-1	L	3w upper; improved

9. 9Neigh Baby▲A. Cruz · J. EnglehartCruz · EnglehartB87 86 82▲▲+10↕10-1Fair 8-111%▲▲ Big jump +10 · career best87 86 82 ↕B▲ Last fig 87 at/above par 831

   Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #1 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +10 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 64–87 · Last 3 figs 87 86 82

   ▲ Last fig 87 at/above par 83

   Jockey Angel Cruz 33% career · Trainer Jeremiah C Englehart 34% career 0-for-8 on turf this meet (0%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R6: Mischief In Motion 4-1, R9: Code 12-1 · Trainer R8: Holding Power 20-1

   3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS★ FASTEST WORK

   Switches from dirt to turf. Drops from allowance to optional claiming.

   EVEN PACE With the front end pressed, the late run has something to run at.

   WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Oct 7 (4F in :47.80), 3 works in 30d

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/18	BEL	6½f D	Alw s	5th/12 -5½L	87	10-1	b L	1/2 step slw;3-4p;7p2F
   8/14	SAR	7f D	Clm 55k n2l	3rd/7 -2½L	86	9.2-1	b L	Steadied st; mild kick
   7/5	SAR	6½f D	MSW	Won/6 by 1½	82	15-1	b L	2-3p turn;rally;up1/16

10. 10Razorcat▼D. Davis · L. SchultzDavis · SchultzC76 73 36▲▲+14↕10-1Fair 15-16%▲▲ Big jump +1476 73 36 ↕C▼ Best fig 78 is 5+ under today's par 83

    Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +14 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 36–78 · Last 3 figs 76 73 36

    ▼ Best fig 78 is 5+ under today's par 83

    Jockey Dylan Davis 31% career 4-for-81 on turf this meet (5%) · Trainer Lindsay Schultz 31% career 0-for-8 on turf this meet (0%)

    Also today · Jockey R1: Jack Riley 8-1, R4: Scottish Brittany 5-2, R5: Luna Dancer 4-1, R6: Ontario 8-1 +3 more

    Figures are climbing: 36, 73, 76 over its last three. Last race was on the dirt; today it runs on the turf.

    PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

    WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (2 works in 30d, last 7d back)

    RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

    Last three races

    Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
    10/11	BEL	6f D	Clm 40k n2l	3rd/9 -2¼L	76	9.6-1	b L	Chsd ins;rallied;game
    8/16	MTH	-5½f T	Clm 40k n2l	4th/6 -5½L	73	4.4-1	b L	Belatedly outside
    6/20	CD	1m T	Clm 80k n2l	12th/12 -24L	36	25-1	b L	3p;falter btw1/2;eased

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (4 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.