Trainer
Jonathan Thomas
5 starters today at Keeneland, BC, BCA, BCT
Today's starters
| Post (ET) | Race | Horse | M/L | Model win | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:05 PM | KEE R3 | #4 Observed | 8-1 | 7% | Luis Saez |
| 5:35 PM | BC R5 | #15 Popcorn | 20-1 | 4% | Manuel Franco |
| 5:35 PM | KEE R10 | #15 Popcorn | 20-1 | 4% | Manuel Franco |
| 8:35 PM | BCA R3 | #15 Popcorn | 20-1 | 4% | Manuel Franco |
| 8:35 PM | BCT R1 | #15 Popcorn | 20-1 | 4% | Manuel Franco |
Model win chance is the card model on each race page; the morning-line favourite wins more often than our top-ranked horse.
This meet
Keeneland
| Surface | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dirt | 0 | 1 | too few to rate |
| Turf | 0 | 2 | too few to rate |
| All surfaces | 0 | 3 | too few to rate |
Starts at the same track in the 45 days before today, the window the race pages call “this meet.” Under 8 starts we show the count only; under 30, rates move a lot and are tagged.
Last 12 months by race type
| Race type | Won | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graded stakes | 7 | 27 | 26% small sample | 52% |
| Other stakes | 7 | 12 | 58% small sample | 75% |
| Allowance / optional claiming | 6 | 19 | 32% small sample | 68% |
| Maiden special weight | 6 | 30 | 20% | 50% |
| Claiming $25,000+ | 1 | 7 | too few to rate | |
| Claiming under $25,000 | 0 | 3 | too few to rate | |
| Maiden claiming | 5 | 26 | 19% small sample | 62% |
| All | 32 | 124 | 26% | 56% |
Thoroughbred races in our results data, through Oct 29, 2026. Name matched on surname and first initial, so two people who share both can be merged.
By situation
| Situation | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Routes | 508 | 23% | 50% |
| On turf | 467 | 23% | 49% |
| Shipping in | 260 | 28% | 55% |
| Back from 46–90 days off | 155 | 21% | 55% |
| Won last time | 115 | 28% | 58% |
| Two-year-olds | 100 | 24% | 50% |
| Graded stakes | 94 | 20% | 40% |
| Ungraded stakes | 69 | 35% | 61% |
The trainer's record in each situation as printed with today's past performances (first-time starters, layoffs, surface and distance switches and so on).
With today's jockeys
| Jockey | Today | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Saez | Observed | 0 | 3 | too few to rate |
| Manuel Franco | Popcorn, Popcorn, Popcorn, Popcorn | 0 | 1 | too few to rate |
Starts together in the last 12 months, through Oct 29, 2026.
Recent starters
| Date | Race | Horse | Finish | M/L | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/23 | KEE R9 | Essential Lady | 10th of 10 | 8-1 | Jose Ortiz |
| 10/21 | KEE R3 | Lakeville Love | 5th of 10 | 5-1 | Jose Ortiz |
| 10/12 | SA R7 | Tirupati | Won of 8 | 5-2 | Jamie Spencer |
| 10/12 | IND R5 | Falling Creek | Won of 10 | 9-2 | Emmanuel Esquivel |
| 10/11 | SA R7 | Brawler | 7th of 9 | 4-1 | Jamie Spencer |
| 10/11 | LA R4 | She's Back | Won of 4 | 1-1 | Edgar Payeras |
| 10/4 | KEE R10 | Popcorn | 4th of 10 | 6-1 | Axel Concepcion |
| 10/3 | SA R5 | Fully Favorable | 9th of 9 | 30-1 | Julien Leparoux |
| 9/28 | IND R2 | Kaki | 5th of 6 | 5-1 | Yedsit Hazlewood |
| 9/27 | RP R12 | Zihnal | 2nd of 9 | 7-2 | John Velazquez |
The last 10 settled starts in our results data, through Oct 29, 2026. M/L is the morning line.