Special wager pool

Friday, October 30, 2026 · 3 races · Card model

  1. R13:56 PMMaiden Special Weight1m Turf · 13 runners11Very Royal 5-1▼2nd10Hard Rocker 4-13rd9Gandy Dancer 6-1LS12Harwich Port 10-110Hard Rocker 4-1▼9Gandy Dancer 6-1▼12Harwich Port 10-1▼Wide open
  2. R25:06 PMState-Bred Allowance · $38,000 purse1m Turf · 16 runners6My Lunar Charm 5-12nd5Ready to Seize 8-13rd13Fogonero 4-1LS12Lookout Kid 12-1★ Dist16Zach 5-15Ready to Seize 8-113Fogonero 4-112Lookout Kid 12-1Wide open

    ★ Distance horse: #16 Zach has the best figure at the trip (81) and isn't in our top three.

  3. R35:42 PMMaiden Claiming $35,0001m Turf · 14 runners6Laythatpistoldown 7-2▼2nd12Union Rose 3-13rd9Risky Wave 4-1LS10Ability 10-112Union Rose 3-19Risky Wave 4-1★10Ability 10-1Wide open

Our top three by win chance, with the morning line beside each horse. Confidence = our top-rated horse's win chance: Strong 35%+, Medium 25-35%, Wide open under 25%. ▲/▼ angles, ★ best figure at the trip, LS = longshot read (8-1+ on the line, model rates it higher). Tap a race number for the full field and a name for the horse's page. These are notes from the past performances, not proven to beat the odds; the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top pick. Analysis only.

● Live race intelligence · code SWA

Special wager pool

Friday, October 30, 2026.

Races
3
on the card
Feature
R1
Maiden Special Weight · $44K
First post
3:56 PM
ET · race 1
Runners
43
avg field 14

● Track conditions today

Special wager pool — today's signals

Surface read

No read

Not enough variant history for this track to gauge how much the surface moves day to day.

Weather

Unavailable

No forecast for this track right now — surface read defaults to the listed condition.

Carryover pool

None today

No mandatory or jackpot carryover detected at this track. Standard pools today.

Do the model's percentages hold up?

Mostly

Across finished races the model's win chances mostly match how often its picks win, but its most confident picks win a few points less than it says. The morning-line favourite still wins more often than the model's top pick.

checked against 2,848 finished races · as of 2026-06-06

Top connections on the card

Trainers + jockeys to watch.

Trainer leaderboard

  1. Jose Luiz Aranha1 top picks
  2. Eoin Harty1 top picks
  3. Steve Fosdick1 top picks
  4. Michael Lauer1 top picks
  5. Chris Block1 top picks

Jockey leaderboard

  1. Marcelino Pedroza2 top picks
  2. Jane Elliott1 top picks
  3. Irving Moncada1 top picks
  4. Santo Sanjur1 top picks
  5. O Mojica1 top picks
For information only — not financial or wagering advice. Must be 21+ to wager where required by law. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, help is available.