WRD · RACE 4
UPCOMINGClaiming $25,000
Claiming $25,000, for 2-year-olds, that have not won two races lifetime.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Breed: Quarter Horse
● Track record at 350 Yards: 16.98
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #2 Tell The Truth (a tactical type, M/L 2-1). Recent figures: 78 · 77 · 90. It needs to turn the form around after a flat last start. Backup is #5 Cyber Affair at 5-2. Use #1 Tasmanian Devil in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Returns from a 100-day break, the biggest in the field. Changes barns, from Kyle Dahlke to Joe M Davis.
Owns the highest recent figure here at 95. Purse drops from $43,945 to $17,500 against its last start.
Moves up from $15,000 claiming to $25,000 claiming. Ranks first in the field on Brisnet Prime Power.
3rd of 9 at 1F on Feb 13, in :12.20. Beaten 1¾ lengths for 6th in a 10-horse allowance race at WRD.
Last start was a win, in an 8-horse maiden claiming $10,000 race at PRM at 3.6-1. Raises its level, maiden claiming $10,000 last time and $25,000 claiming now.
3rd last time, 1¾ lengths back, in a field of 8.
At a glance
- Market favourite #2 TELL THE TRUTH (2-1) — our number agrees.
- #2 TELL THE TRUTH — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (28.8% to their 28.0%).
- #5 CYBER AFFAIR — our #2 number, about right at the windows (25.1% to their 24.0%).
- #3 EAGLES HERO — our #6 number, about right at the windows (15.4% to their 16.8%).
Value read
- No price-band edge — the market looks efficient here.
Pace
Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.
and works against #1 Tasmanian Devil, #2 Tell The Truth, #3 Eagles Hero.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — a soft pace can let a forward type loose — protect with a saver on top. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Win
#2 Tell The Truth
Top of the field by a clear 10-pt IQ margin — the play stands alone to win.
Exacta — KEY
#2 Tell The Truth OVER #5 Cyber Affair · #1 Tasmanian Devil · #6 Fancy Byrd
Key #2 Tell The Truth on top over your contenders for the 2nd slot.
Trifecta — KEY/WHEEL
#2 Tell The Truth / #5 Cyber Affair · #1 Tasmanian Devil · #6 Fancy Byrd / #5 Cyber Affair · #1 Tasmanian Devil · #6 Fancy Byrd · #4 Notlikealltheotters
#2 Tell The Truth keyed 1st, your contenders filling 2nd–3rd.
Bet types offered at this track →
$2 EXACTA / (.50) TRIFECTA / (.10) SUPERFECTA / $2 DAILY DOUBLE
(.50) PICK 3 (RACES 4-5-6)