WRD · RACE 7
UPCOMINGAllowance · $19,800 purse
Allowance, for 3-year-olds and up, that have not won three races lifetime.
Allowance race — a step above claiming. No horses are for sale; written conditions limit the field to horses of similar experience.
● Breed: Quarter Horse
● Track record at 350 Yards: 16.98
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #3 Mitey High (a tactical type, M/L 12-1). Recent figures: 68 · 87 · 85. Backup is #7 Runaway Scooter at 8-1. Use #9 Paint Me Flying in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Purse drops from $70,000 to $19,800 against its last start. Jockey switch: Luis Luna Ramirez last out, Giovany Estrada today.
Has won 2 of 4 going today's distance. Last start was a win, in an 8-horse allowance race at WRD at 3.2-1.
Runs for $19,800 today after a $119,900 race last time. Gets a new rider, Miguel Josue Ramirez replacing Angel O Ramirez.
Last start was a win, in a 10-horse $15,000 claiming race at WRD at 9.2-1. The Jun 12 work, 1F in :12.00, was the best time at that distance that morning.
Winner of a 7-horse $25,000 claiming race at WRD last time.
Tops the field on speed figures, a 96 against 95 for the next best. Runs for $19,800 today after a $30,000 race last time.
Finished 3rd in a 6-horse allowance race at WRD, beaten ½ length. Prime Power, the Brisnet rating, puts it on top of this field.
Figures are climbing: 88, 92, 95 over its last three. 2nd last time, ½ length back, in a field of 9.
Rodrigo Covarrubias takes over the training from Jorge Gonzalez. Has moved up each time out, 72 to 86 to 92.
At a glance
- Market favourite #2 IBA PAS BOY (2-1) — our number has it ranked #8.
- #2 IBA PAS BOY — our #8 number, about right at the windows (24.8% to their 25.9%).
- #1 NAUGHTY CUBAN COWBOY — our #7 number, about right at the windows (15.7% to their 17.3%).
- #4 JESS DOWN CANDY — our #6 number, about right at the windows (14.4% to their 15.5%).
Value read
- Longshot value: #9 PAINT ME FLYING (20-1) — our fair 4.8% is above the morning line's 3.7%; needs the trip to fall right.
Pace
Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.
and works against #1 Naughty Cuban Cowboy, #2 Iba Pas Boy, #3 Mitey High.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — a soft pace can let a forward type loose — protect with a saver on top. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Win
#3 Mitey High
Top of the field by a clear 13-pt IQ margin — the play stands alone to win.
Exacta — KEY
#3 Mitey High OVER #7 Runaway Scooter · #9 Paint Me Flying · #5 Recio
Key #3 Mitey High on top over your contenders for the 2nd slot.
Trifecta — KEY/WHEEL
#3 Mitey High / #7 Runaway Scooter · #9 Paint Me Flying · #5 Recio / #7 Runaway Scooter · #9 Paint Me Flying · #5 Recio · #6 Pyc Fancy Wagon
#3 Mitey High keyed 1st, your contenders filling 2nd–3rd.
Superfecta — KEY
#3 Mitey High / #7 Runaway Scooter · #9 Paint Me Flying · #5 Recio · #6 Pyc Fancy Wagon / #7 Runaway Scooter · #9 Paint Me Flying · #5 Recio · #6 Pyc Fancy Wagon / ALL or #7 Runaway Scooter · #9 Paint Me Flying · #5 Recio · #6 Pyc Fancy Wagon
Deep enough field to spread a super — key the top, spread the next few, fill 4th wide.
Bet types offered at this track →
$2 EXACTA / (.50) TRIFECTA / (.10) SUPERFECTA / $2 DAILY DOUBLE