WRD · RACE 6
UPCOMINGMaiden Claiming $10,000
Maiden Claiming, for 2-year-olds.
Maiden claiming — for horses that have never won, and every starter is also for sale at the claiming price. Typically the easiest class of race.
● Breed: Quarter Horse
● Track record at 400 Yards: 19.42
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #1 Special Cash Perks (a tactical type, M/L 20-1). Recent figures: 48 · 81 · 78. It needs to turn the form around after a flat last start. Backup is #2 Make A Toast at 10-1. Use #7 Im Jess Smoken in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Drops from maiden claiming $15,000 to maiden claiming $10,000. Ranks first in the field on Brisnet Prime Power.
Makes his first start with no form to go on, only the Durango Kid and The Free Corona breeding. It has been schooling from the gate (latest Oct 19).
Debut for this Jess Jones filly, whose dam is Smok'em Over. There is gate work on its record, the latest on Oct 21.
Tops the field on speed figures, an 84 against 81 for the next best. Last out was 7th, 4 lengths behind the winner, in a 9-horse maiden claiming $10,000 race at WRD.
Figures are climbing: 61, 69, 75 over its last three. Posted the fastest 1F work of the morning on Aug 13, in :11.80.
Raises its level, stakes last time and maiden claiming $10,000 now. 0 for 5 at today's distance.
Gets a new rider, Aram S Martinez replacing Roman Cruz. Beaten 3¾ lengths for 8th in a 10-horse maiden claiming $10,000 race at WRD.
8th last time, 4¼ lengths back, in a field of 10. Winless in 5 starts at this distance.
At a glance
- Market favourite #3 JC TAKE CHARGE FANCY (2-1) — our number has it ranked #4.
- #3 JC TAKE CHARGE FANCY — our #4 number, about right at the windows (24.4% to their 26.4%).
- #4 JESS A FLASHY HERO — our #6 number, about right at the windows (19.3% to their 19.8%).
- #7 IM JESS SMOKEN — our #3 number, about right at the windows (17.2% to their 15.8%).
Value read
- Longshot value: #1 SPECIAL CASH PERKS (20-1) — our fair 5.0% is above the morning line's 3.8%; supported by: trouble in 2 of last 4 (last: "Bumped hard at start") — chronically unlucky; the figures keep under-crediting a horse that never gets a clean run
Pace
Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.
and works against #1 Special Cash Perks, #2 Make A Toast, #3 Jc Take Charge Fancy.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — a soft pace can let a forward type loose — protect with a saver on top. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Place / Show
#1 Special Cash Perks · #2 Make A Toast · #7 Im Jess Smoken
Top trio is bunched — backing one to hit the board is sounder than a flat win bet.
Exacta — BOX
#1 Special Cash Perks · #2 Make A Toast · #7 Im Jess Smoken
Top three are close — a 3-horse box covers the likely 1-2 in any order.
Trifecta — BOX
#1 Special Cash Perks · #2 Make A Toast · #7 Im Jess Smoken
Box the top three for any 1-2-3 order; add a 4th only if the field is wide open.
Superfecta — KEY
#1 Special Cash Perks / #2 Make A Toast · #7 Im Jess Smoken · #3 Jc Take Charge Fancy · #6 Jess Mr Hocks / #2 Make A Toast · #7 Im Jess Smoken · #3 Jc Take Charge Fancy · #6 Jess Mr Hocks / ALL or #2 Make A Toast · #7 Im Jess Smoken · #3 Jc Take Charge Fancy · #6 Jess Mr Hocks
Deep enough field to spread a super — key the top, spread the next few, fill 4th wide.
Bet types offered at this track →
$2 EXACTA / (.50) TRIFECTA / (.10) SUPERFECTA / $2 DAILY DOUBLE
(.50) PICK 3 (RACES 6-7-8)