WRD · RACE 5

UPCOMING

Allowance · $19,200 purse

Field

8 runners

Purse

$19,200

Post

2:52 PM ET

Pace

Pace Vacuum

IQ top

#6 · 91

PANELPASS · lean #8 JUSK A DYNASTY [MAX]see full panel →

Allowance, for 2-year-olds, that have not won two races lifetime.

Allowance race — a step above claiming. No horses are for sale; written conditions limit the field to horses of similar experience.

● Breed: Quarter Horse

● Track record at 300 Yards: 15.13

The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.

Our number tops on #6 Fdd Cleatsbabydoll (a tactical type, M/L 2-1). Recent figures: 88 · 95 · 88. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #3 Pollitical Drama at 5-1. Use #7 Blood Carver in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

The field, ranked

Our order, top to bottom.

Pace Vacuum: No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.

1WIN

6Fdd Cleatsbabydoll

Jockey Randy Vega 27% career 2-for-54 on dirt this meet (4%) · Trainer David Ridgeway 14% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Zoeys Louie V 5-1, R6: Im Jess Smoken 4-1

Last start: 2nd in a 9-horse allowance race at WRD.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 0 works in 30d, last 38d ago

M/L2-1

IQ91

TierTop

StyleNA

Last2nd · 22d

2PLACE

3Pollitical Drama

Jockey Giovany Estrada 24% career 1-for-8 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Manuel Mojica Campos 28% career 1-for-8 on dirt this meet (12%)

Also today · Jockey R7: Mitey High 12-1 · Trainer R7: Mitey High 12-1

Raises its level, allowance last time and allowance now. Finished 4th last time in a 6-horse allowance race at PRM.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

WORKS Average work schedule for this field (0 works in 30d, last 148d ago)

M/L5-1

IQ80

TierContender

StyleNA

Last4th · 44d

3SHOW

7Blood Carver

Jockey Cody Rodger Smith 31% career 11-for-98 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer Matt E Whitekiller 34% career 4-for-37 on dirt this meet (11%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Manhattan At Sunset 2-1, R3: Gold Medalist 8-1, R4: Fancy Byrd 5-1 · Trainer R1: Manhattan At Sunset 2-1, R1: Zoeys Louie V 5-1

Worked 1F in :11.40 on Aug 18, 3rd of 24 at the distance. Figures are climbing: 82, 83, 90 over its last three.

PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 0 works in 30d, last 70d back

M/L4-1

IQ78

TierContender

StyleNA

Last3rd · 22d

4EXOTICS

1Cybersunday Favorite

Jockey Cordarelton J Benn 35% career 10-for-92 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer Maria Elisa A Rodriguez 33% career 3-for-7 on dirt this meet ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R1: Ima Favorite Captain 10-1, R2: Our Quick Cash 12-1, R4: Cyber Affair 5-2, R6: Special Cash Perks 20-1 +1 more · Trainer R1: Ima Favorite Captain 10-1

WON LAST

Comes in off a victory in a 9-horse maiden special weight race at WRD. Tops the field on speed figures, a 96 against 95 for the next best.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 0 works in 30d, last 36d ago

M/L3-1

IQ71

TierContender

StyleNA

Last1st · 28d

5EXOTICS

8Jusk A Dynasty

Jockey Mario Delgado 32% career 14-for-97 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Hernesto Ramirez 32% career 2-for-38 on dirt this meet (5%)

Also today · Jockey R2: El Astno El Buchan 20-1, R3: Seaductive Pursuit 2-1, R7: Jess Down Candy 4-1 · Trainer R2: El Astno El Buchan 20-1, R6: Make A Toast 10-1, R6: Espresso Concierge 15-1

Beaten 2¼ lengths for 7th in a 10-horse allowance race at WRD.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS Average work schedule for this field (0 works in 30d, last 49d ago)

M/L20-1

IQ61

TierLongshot

StyleNA

Last7th · 35d

2Rr Favorite Jewel

Jockey Bryan Candanosa 36% career ★ 4-for-20 on dirt this meet (20%) · Trainer Kash Reed 31% career 2-for-11 on dirt this meet (18%) ★ hot

Moves up from stakes to allowance. Jockey switch: Francisco Calderon last out, Bryan Candanosa today.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 0 works in 30d, last 90d back

M/L15-1

IQ39

TierLongshot

StyleNA

Last5th · 38d

5Biggie Small

Jockey Roman Cruz 33% career ★ 28-for-123 on dirt this meet (23%), #3 of 36 · Trainer Jesus Ruben Ruiz 30% career 8-for-89 on dirt this meet (9%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R2: Lilmissmadeyalook 15-1, R3: Reds A Blaze 5-1, R4: Eagles Hero 4-1, R6: Jc Take Charge Fancy 2-1 +1 more · Trainer R3: Reds A Blaze 5-1, R4: Eagles Hero 4-1, R6: Jess Mr Hocks 5-1, R8: Lorenzo Gold 15-1

Figures are climbing: 71, 76, 87 over its last three. Purse drops from $30,000 to $19,200 against its last start.

PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

WORKS Average work schedule for this field (0 works in 30d, last 71d ago)

M/L8-1

IQ39

TierLongshot

StyleNA

LastDebut · 29d

4Political Dime Piece

Jockey Aram S Martinez 33% career 7-for-45 on dirt this meet (16%) · Trainer Rodrigo Covarrubias 25% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Mz Jayhawk 6-1, R2: Destinyofthenile Bc 3-1, R3: Cyberville 6-1, R6: Separate Star Bc 8-1 +2 more · Trainer R7: Splendid Pilot 6-1, R8: Down To Chill 15-1

WON LAST

Rodrigo Covarrubias takes over the training from Jorge Gonzalez. Has moved up each time out, 80 to 82 to 94.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS Average work schedule for this field (0 works in 30d, last 57d ago)

M/L10-1

IQ28

TierLongshot

StyleNA

Last1st · 28d

At a glance

Market favourite #6 FDD CLEATSBABYDOLL (2-1) — our number agrees.
#6 FDD CLEATSBABYDOLL — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (25.6% to their 26.4%).
#1 CYBERSUNDAY FAVORITE — our #4 number, about right at the windows (20.0% to their 19.8%).
#7 BLOOD CARVER — our #3 number, about right at the windows (16.8% to their 15.8%).

Value read · analysis, not advice

Verdict: PASS — market efficient — no edge, pass

No price-band edge — the market looks efficient here.

Pace

Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.

and works against #1 Cybersunday Favorite, #2 Rr Favorite Jewel, #3 Pollitical Drama.

Lead

none

Press

none

Stalk

none

No style yet

1Cybersunday Favorite2Rr Favorite Jewel3Pollitical Drama4Political Dime Piece5Biggie Small6Fdd Cleatsbabydoll7Blood Carver8Jusk A Dynasty

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Pollitical Drama

Cybersunday Favorite

Rr Favorite Jewel

Political Dime Piece

Biggie Small

Fdd Cleatsbabydoll

Blood Carver

Jusk A Dynasty

How to play it

How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — a soft pace can let a forward type loose — protect with a saver on top. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.

Win

#6 Fdd Cleatsbabydoll

Top of the field by a clear 11-pt IQ margin — the play stands alone to win.

Exacta — KEY

#6 Fdd Cleatsbabydoll OVER #3 Pollitical Drama · #7 Blood Carver · #1 Cybersunday Favorite

Key #6 Fdd Cleatsbabydoll on top over your contenders for the 2nd slot.

Trifecta — KEY/WHEEL

#6 Fdd Cleatsbabydoll / #3 Pollitical Drama · #7 Blood Carver · #1 Cybersunday Favorite / #3 Pollitical Drama · #7 Blood Carver · #1 Cybersunday Favorite · #8 Jusk A Dynasty

#6 Fdd Cleatsbabydoll keyed 1st, your contenders filling 2nd–3rd.

Superfecta — KEY

#6 Fdd Cleatsbabydoll / #3 Pollitical Drama · #7 Blood Carver · #1 Cybersunday Favorite · #8 Jusk A Dynasty / #3 Pollitical Drama · #7 Blood Carver · #1 Cybersunday Favorite · #8 Jusk A Dynasty / ALL or #3 Pollitical Drama · #7 Blood Carver · #1 Cybersunday Favorite · #8 Jusk A Dynasty

Deep enough field to spread a super — key the top, spread the next few, fill 4th wide.

Bet types offered at this track →

$2 EXACTA / (.50) TRIFECTA / (.10) SUPERFECTA / $2 DAILY DOUBLE

(.50) PICK 3 (RACES 5-6-7) / (.50) PICK 4 (RACES 5-6-7-8)

See the Wager Logic primer for takeout + hit-rate context on each bet type. We give the structure; the wagering decision and amount are yours.