Horse

Mission Improbable

4-year-old dark bay/brown gelding · By Improbable out of Pay Off (by Broken Vow)

Entered today: Belmont Park Race 10

Post time3:51 PM ET
Race type7 Furlongs Turf · Casa Creed Stakes
Program / post#16 · post 16
Weight122 lb
Equipment / medicationLasix off
Model win chance0%
Morning line20-13% once the line is scaled to 100%
Morning-line favourite?No

Tier C Form ► Steady ≡ Steady figures, 86–91

Pick-sheet marks: notes from the past performances, not proven to beat the odds. How to read them is on the race page.

Model win chance is the card model shown on the race page. The morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse (see the record), so read it as a second opinion.

Last three races

DateTrkDistClassFinishSpeed figOddsEqTrip
10/17BEL6f TAlw sWon/6 by 4872.3-1b LBmp;3w;surged;in time
9/7KD6½f TAlw n1xWon/12 by 3918.2-1b L3w-ins;6w1/4;splt;clsd
8/9SAR5½f TAlw n1x4th/10 -5¾L869.4-1b LClip heels erly;tkn up

Finish shows position, field size and beaten lengths. Odds are final odds; * = favourite. Trip notes are the chart caller's.

11 starts in our records: 5 won, 2 2nd, 2 3rd.

DateRaceDistanceTypeFieldPostFinishOddsJockeyTrainer
10/17/26Belmont Park R56 Furlongs TurfStarter allowance65Won9-2 MLEdgard ZayasRodolphe Brisset
9/7/26Kentucky Downs R56 1/2 Furlongs TurfAllowance127Won4-1 MLCristian TorresRodolphe Brisset
8/9/26Saratoga R115 1/2 Furlongs TurfAllowance1054th6-1 MLRicardo Santana Jr.Rodolphe Brisset
7/11/26Saratoga R85 1/2 Furlongs TurfAllowance1054th8-1 MLRicardo Santana Jr.Rodolphe Brisset
6/13/26Belmont At The Big A R106 Furlongs TurfStarter optional claiming $45,000112Won10-1 MLRicardo Santana Jr.Rodolphe Brisset
12/26/25Turfway Park R41 Mile DirtClaiming $30,0001192nd5-1 MLLuan MachadoRodolphe Brisset
11/13/25Churchill Downs R61 1/16 Miles TurfClaiming $80,000632nd12-1 MLAxel ConcepcionRodolphe Brisset
10/23/25Keeneland R41 1/16 Miles DirtStarter allowance973rd12-1 MLIrad Ortiz Jr.Rodolphe Brisset
8/25/25Horseshoe Indianapolis R61 Mile TurfClaiming $30,0001011Won15-1 MLMarcelino Pedroza Jr.Rodolphe Brisset
10/7/24Horseshoe Indianapolis R31 Mile TurfMaiden claiming $40,000117Won5-1 MLJose OrtizRodolphe Brisset
9/25/24Horseshoe Indianapolis R21 Mile DirtMaiden claiming $40,000733rd6-1 MLAlex AchardRodolphe Brisset

From TBredIQ's own results records; may be incomplete before Jul 3, 2023. Matched on name, sire and dam. Finish shows lengths behind the winner where we have the chart; odds are final odds where we have the chart, otherwise the morning line (ML). Past race pages aren't kept on the site, so there's no result link for these races. 5 other entries in our records have no result (usually a scratch, or a race we have no chart for) and are not listed.

Speed figures

Best speed figure
Dirt, fast track84
Turf91

Last figures, newest first: 87 · 91 · 86 · 86 — steady against the three before

Recent works

DateTrkDistTimeHowRank
10/10BEL4f:48.00breezing3 of 87
10/3BEL4f:48.00breezing1 of 74fastest of the day at the distance
9/25BEL4f:49.60breezing24 of 96
9/19BEL4f:48.60breezing5 of 85
8/22SAR4f:48.80breezing22 of 66

Rank = where the time placed among horses working the same distance at that track that day.

Record

Record
Career15 starts: 5 won, 2 2nd, 2 3rd · $292,917
This year5 starts: 3 won, 0 2nd, 0 3rd · $221,400
Last year6 starts: 1 won, 2 2nd, 1 3rd · $48,757
At Belmont Park1 starts: 1 won, 0 2nd, 0 3rd · $60,500
Turf10 starts: 5 won, 1 2nd, 0 3rd · $274,413

Owner: Storyteller Racing Reeder Richard L Schr

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