Horse

Mystik Bayou

2-year-old dark bay/brown colt · By Wells Bayou out of Ma'am (by Colonel John)

Entered today: Kentucky Derby Future Wager Race 1

Post time7:00 PM ET
Race type1 1/4 Miles Dirt · Grade 1 Stakes · $5,000,000 purse
Program / post#23 · post 23
JockeyRider No
Weight126 lb
Equipment / medicationNo change
Model win chance2%Fair odds 50-1 (model above the line)
Morning line75-11% once the line is scaled to 100%
Morning-line favourite?No

Tier C Form ► Steady

Pick-sheet marks: notes from the past performances, not proven to beat the odds. How to read them is on the race page.

Model win chance is the card model shown on the race page. The morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse (see the record), so read it as a second opinion.

Last three races

DateTrkDistClassFinishSpeed figOddsEqTrip
10/25CD1 1/16 DStretSns G33rd/7 -2½L882.5-1Ins;traffc 1/4;mild 5p
10/3BEL1 1/16 DMSWWon/7926.3-1Out;2-3p;lead1/4;clear
9/5SAR7f DMSW3rd/7 -7L8313-12-3w upper; wknd late

Finish shows position, field size and beaten lengths. Odds are final odds; * = favourite. Trip notes are the chart caller's.

3 starts in our records: 1 won, 0 2nd, 2 3rd.

DateRaceDistanceTypeFieldPostFinishOddsJockeyTrainer
10/25/26Churchill Downs R101 1/16 Miles DirtGrade 3 stakes (Street Sense S.)743rd9-5 MLJose OrtizKenneth McPeek
10/3/26Belmont Park R11 1/16 Miles DirtMaiden special weight77Won4-1 MLRicardo Santana Jr.Kenneth McPeek
9/5/26Saratoga R17 Furlongs DirtMaiden special weight713rd8-1 MLChristopher ElliottKenneth McPeek

From TBredIQ's own results records; may be incomplete before Jul 3, 2023. Matched on name, sire and dam. Finish shows lengths behind the winner where we have the chart; odds are final odds where we have the chart, otherwise the morning line (ML). Past race pages aren't kept on the site, so there's no result link for these races.

Speed figures

Best speed figure
Dirt, fast track92

Last figures, newest first: 88 · 92 · 83 — steady against the three before

Recent works

DateTrkDistTimeHowRank
10/19CD5f1:01.20breezing6 of 11
9/30BEL3f:36.20breezing2 of 13
9/22BEL5f1:01.00breezing1 of 5fastest of the day at the distance
9/15BEL4f:49.60breezing12 of 28
8/29SAR5f:59.60breezing2 of 13

Rank = where the time placed among horses working the same distance at that track that day.

Record

Record
Career3 starts: 1 won, 0 2nd, 2 3rd · $83,500
This year3 starts: 1 won, 0 2nd, 2 3rd · $83,500

Owner: Four G Racing Llc Gasaway Lance And Hamb

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