● Live race intelligence · code BEL

Belmont Park

Wednesday, October 28, 2026.

Races
8
on the card
Feature
R7
Optional Claiming $80,000 · $108K
First post
1:10 PM
ET · race 1
Top model win %
36%
#5 Dia Por Dia

● Track conditions today

Belmont Park — today's signals

Surface read

No read

Not enough variant history for this track to gauge how much the surface moves day to day.

Weather

46° Mostly Sunny

Clean conditions — surface should run true to the listed condition. No weather adjustment to the model read.

Carryover pool

None today

No mandatory or jackpot carryover detected at this track. Standard pools today.

Do the model's percentages hold up?

Mostly

Across finished races the model's win chances mostly match how often its picks win, but its most confident picks win a few points less than it says. The morning-line favourite still wins more often than the model's top pick.

checked against 2,848 finished races · as of 2026-06-06

TRACK BIAS · WIN % BY POST

Best post #3 (19%) · Rail helps

Even by post — inside 12% / outside 8%. Bars show each post’s win rate vs the track average over 441 starts.

avg 11%5%112%219%36%417%517%613%712%813%96%100%110%120%130%14

Where the model is most sure

Three highest model win %.

The three races where the model's top pick has its highest win chance, with the morning line beside it. Most of these are the favourite too. Tap for the full race.

R6 · 6 Furlongs Dirt

#5 Dia Por Dia

Lezcano Jose · Rice Linda

Model win %
36%
Vs favourite
Agrees
M/L
2-1

R5 · 1 1/16 Miles Turf

#4 Old Time Rocknroll

Castellano J J · Rice Linda

Model win %
27%
Vs favourite
Agrees
M/L
3-1

R4 · 6 Furlongs Dirt

#7 Treaty Obligation

Marin Samuel · Rodriguez Rudy R

Model win %
22%
Vs favourite
Differs
M/L
3-1

Top connections on the card

Trainers + jockeys to watch.

Trainer leaderboard

  1. Rice Linda3 top picks
  2. Ribaudo Robert J2 top picks
  3. Lalman Dennis1 top picks
  4. Terranova John P Ii1 top picks
  5. Ferraro James W1 top picks

Jockey leaderboard

  1. Marin Samuel3 top picks
  2. Franco Manuel3 top picks
  3. Castellano J J2 top picks
  4. Pena Pedro1 top picks
  5. Zayas Edgard J1 top picks

Multi-race wagers

Today's sequences, leg by leg.

Every Daily Double and Pick 3/4/5/6 on today's card, with the model's top pick in each leg, or its top two or three when the leg is close. A Pick N is one pari-mutuel pool: you need the winner of every leg, and the pool is split among the tickets that have them all. This is analysis, not a ticket or a staking plan.

Early Pick 5Races 1–5
R1#7 Icy Legs · #4 Ur DesireClose: top 2
R2#1 Rapidly RoyalTop pick
R3#4 Daisy DooTop pick
R4#7 Treaty ObligationTop pick
R5#4 Old Time RocknrollTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 4Races 2–4 · 3 min
R2#1 Rapidly RoyalTop pick
R3#4 Daisy DooTop pick
R4#7 Treaty ObligationTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 6Races 3–8 · 6 min
R3#4 Daisy DooTop pick
R4#7 Treaty ObligationTop pick
R5#4 Old Time RocknrollTop pick
R6#5 Dia Por DiaTop pick
R7#1 Hill RoadTop pick
R8#4 Quell · #2 Addagirl Addie · #3 Copper CaduceusClose: top 3
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Late Pick 5Races 4–6 · 3 min
R4#7 Treaty ObligationTop pick
R5#4 Old Time RocknrollTop pick
R6#5 Dia Por DiaTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 4Races 5–8
R5#4 Old Time RocknrollTop pick
R6#5 Dia Por DiaTop pick
R7#1 Hill RoadTop pick
R8#4 Quell · #2 Addagirl Addie · #3 Copper CaduceusClose: top 3
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.

Today's races

Race-by-race with archetype.

Each race is tagged with pace archetype (TACTICAL · SPEED DUEL · LONE SPEED · CLOSERS' RACE · PACE VACUUM · PRESSED PACE). Click any row for the full Verdict, Pace Shape, Full Field, Workouts, and Wagers.

R01

1 1/16 Miles Dirt · Claiming $20,000

Purse $37,000 · 7 entered · Post 1:10 PM ET

SPEED DUEL

Model's top pick

#7 Icy Legs

Pena Pedro / Lalman Dennis

M/L

10-1

Model 13% · favourite is #4

VIEW →
R02

6 1/2 Furlongs Dirt · State-Bred Maiden Special Weight

Purse $100,000 · 7 entered · Post 1:41 PM ET

WIRE-TO-WIRE LIKELY

Model's top pick

#1 Rapidly Royal

Davis Katie / Ferraro James W

M/L

12-1

Model 18% · favourite is #3

VIEW →
R03

6 1/2 Furlongs Turf · State-Bred Maiden Special Weight

Purse $100,000 · 7 entered · Post 2:12 PM ET

SPEED DUEL

Model's top pick

#4 Daisy Doo

Castellano J J / Ribaudo Robert J

M/L

4-1

Model 21% · favourite is #6

VIEW →
R04

6 Furlongs Dirt · Claiming $16,000

Purse $44,000 · 8 entered · Post 2:43 PM ET

PRESSED PACE

Model's top pick

#7 Treaty Obligation

Marin Samuel / Rodriguez Rudy R

M/L

3-1

Model 22% · favourite is #4

VIEW →
R05

1 1/16 Miles Turf · Maiden Claiming $55,000

Purse $59,000 · 12 entered · Post 3:14 PM ET

SPEED DUEL

Model's top pick

#4 Old Time Rocknroll

Castellano J J / Rice Linda

M/L

3-1

Model 27% · agrees with the favourite

VIEW →
R06

6 Furlongs Dirt · Claiming $20,000

Purse $40,000 · 8 entered · Post 3:45 PM ET

CLOSERS' RACE

Model's top pick

#5 Dia Por Dia

Lezcano Jose / Rice Linda

M/L

2-1

Model 36% · agrees with the favourite

VIEW →
R07

1 5/16 Miles Turf · Optional Claiming $80,000

Purse $108,000 · 8 entered · Post 4:16 PM ET

PRESSED PACE

Model's top pick

#1 Hill Road

Franco Manuel / Beckman D Whitworth

M/L

9-2

Model 18% · favourite is #7

VIEW →
R08

7 Furlongs Turf · Maiden Claiming $50,000

Purse $56,000 · 15 entered · Post 4:47 PM ET

SPEED DUEL

Model's top pick

#4 Quell

Elliott Christopher / Ribaudo Robert J

M/L

30-1

Model 7% · favourite is #3

VIEW →
For information only — not financial or wagering advice. Must be 21+ to wager where required by law. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, help is available.