Jockey
Axel Concepcion
3 mounts today at Churchill Downs
Today's mounts
| Post (ET) | Race | Horse | M/L | Model win | Trainer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2:27 PM | CD R4 | #6 Riyah Al Nil | 12-1 | 6% | Michael A Tomlinson |
| 2:57 PM | CD R5 | #6 Dawn Dragon | 8-1 | 9% | Riley Mott |
| 4:55 PM | CD R9 | #7 Nyad | 8-1 | 6% | Cameron Milligan |
Model win chance is the card model on each race page; the morning-line favourite wins more often than our top-ranked horse.
This meet
Churchill Downs
| Surface | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dirt | 2 | 32 | 6% |
| Turf | 3 | 14 | 21% small sample |
| All surfaces | 5 | 46 | 11% |
Starts at the same track in the 45 days before today, the window the race pages call “this meet.” Under 8 starts we show the count only; under 30, rates move a lot and are tagged.
Last 12 months by race type
| Race type | Won | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graded stakes | 0 | 25 | 0% small sample | 32% |
| Other stakes | 13 | 55 | 24% | 60% |
| Allowance / optional claiming | 36 | 218 | 17% | 52% |
| Maiden special weight | 31 | 226 | 14% | 48% |
| Claiming $25,000+ | 9 | 51 | 18% | 55% |
| Claiming under $25,000 | 16 | 60 | 27% | 73% |
| Maiden claiming | 12 | 110 | 11% | 42% |
| All | 117 | 745 | 16% | 51% |
Thoroughbred races in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. Name matched on surname and first initial, so two people who share both can be merged.
At today's trip
| Trip | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sprints | 41 | 302 | 14% |
| Turf | 30 | 265 | 11% |
The rider's record at the trip type of today's races, as printed with today's past performances.
With today's trainers
| Trainer | Today | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael A Tomlinson | Riyah Al Nil | 6 | 43 | 14% |
| Riley Mott | Dawn Dragon | 2 | 16 | 12% small sample |
| Cameron Milligan | Nyad | 0 | 0 | no starts |
Starts together in the last 12 months, through Oct 27, 2026.
Recent rides
| Date | Race | Horse | Finish | M/L | Trainer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/26 | IND R7 | Ranch Life | 3rd of 11 | 8-1 | Nicholas Vaccarezza |
| 10/26 | IND R2 | Dixieland | 3rd of 6 | 4-1 | William Walden |
| 10/25 | CD R11 | Ramp In | 9th of 12 | 6-1 | Albert Stall Jr. |
| 10/25 | CD R8 | Gal Pal | 4th of 9 | 6-1 | George Arnold Ii |
| 10/25 | CD R2 | Doozie Do | 10th of 11 | 20-1 | Kelsey Danner |
| 10/25 | CD R1 | Tess Me Not | 2nd of 8 | 9-2 | Albert Stall Jr. |
| 10/24 | KEE R9 | Blinging It Back | 4th of 12 | 20-1 | Mark Casse |
| 10/24 | KEE R5 | By La Rina | 5th of 10 | 7-2 | Michael Tomlinson |
| 10/23 | KEE R5 | South Bend Tom | 4th of 9 | 5-1 | Albert Stall Jr. |
| 10/23 | KEE R3 | Upside Out | 4th of 12 | 6-1 | Mark Casse |
The last 10 settled starts in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. M/L is the morning line.