Trainer
Chad C Brown
7 starters today at Belmont Park, Kentucky Derby Future Wager
Today's starters
| Post (ET) | Race | Horse | M/L | Model win | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3:14 PM | BEL R5 | #9 Cost Effective | 10-1 | 6% | Flavien Prat |
| 4:16 PM | BEL R7 | #6 Market Timing | 4-1 | 12% | Dylan Davis |
| 4:16 PM | BEL R7 | #7 Arkhipov | 3-1 | 19% | Flavien Prat |
| 7:00 PM | KDF R1 | #2 Card Man | 99-1 | 1% | Rider No |
| 7:00 PM | KDF R1 | #13 Gaudreau | 40-1 | 2% | Rider No |
| 7:00 PM | KDF R1 | #25 Nevada | 80-1 | 2% | Rider No |
| 7:00 PM | KDF R1 | #34 Tap Our Way | 99-1 | 1% | Rider No |
Model win chance is the card model on each race page; the morning-line favourite wins more often than our top-ranked horse.
This meet
Belmont Park
| Surface | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dirt | 8 | 43 | 19% |
| Turf | 17 | 61 | 28% |
| All surfaces | 25 | 104 | 24% |
Starts at the same track in the 45 days before today, the window the race pages call “this meet.” Under 8 starts we show the count only; under 30, rates move a lot and are tagged.
Last 12 months by race type
| Race type | Won | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graded stakes | 31 | 128 | 24% | 60% |
| Other stakes | 12 | 50 | 24% | 64% |
| Allowance / optional claiming | 71 | 242 | 29% | 65% |
| Maiden special weight | 84 | 314 | 27% | 66% |
| Claiming $25,000+ | 2 | 11 | 18% small sample | 45% |
| Claiming under $25,000 | 0 | 4 | too few to rate | |
| Maiden claiming | 6 | 51 | 12% | 55% |
| All | 206 | 800 | 26% | 64% |
Thoroughbred races in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. Name matched on surname and first initial, so two people who share both can be merged.
By situation
| Situation | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| On turf | 1931 | 23% | 54% |
| On dirt | 1504 | 23% | 59% |
| Back from 46–90 days off | 959 | 23% | 58% |
| Allowance races | 914 | 23% | 59% |
| Won last time | 710 | 24% | 55% |
| Graded stakes | 669 | 21% | 50% |
| Two-year-olds | 517 | 19% | 51% |
| Maiden winner last time | 305 | 23% | 52% |
| Beaten favourite last time | 285 | 27% | 65% |
| Maiden claiming races | 177 | 20% | 54% |
| Dirt to turf | 136 | 18% | 40% |
| First time on turf | 110 | 21% | 45% |
| Blinkers off | 54 | 24% | 61% |
| Second route race | 32 | 31% | 69% |
The trainer's record in each situation as printed with today's past performances (first-time starters, layoffs, surface and distance switches and so on).
With today's jockeys
| Jockey | Today | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flavien Prat | Cost Effective, Arkhipov | 90 | 308 | 29% |
| Dylan Davis | Market Timing | 15 | 69 | 22% |
| Rider No | Card Man, Gaudreau, Nevada, Tap Our Way | 0 | 0 | no starts |
Starts together in the last 12 months, through Oct 27, 2026.
Recent starters
| Date | Race | Horse | Finish | M/L | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | CD R10 | Card Man | 5th of 7 | 5-2 | Flavien Prat |
| 10/25 | BEL R8 | Amicable Farce | 10th of 11 | 6-1 | Ricardo Santana Jr. |
| 10/25 | BEL R7 | Material Girl | Won of 8 | 2-1 | Manuel Franco |
| 10/25 | BEL R4 | Romala | 7th of 7 | 8-1 | Samuel Marin |
| 10/25 | BEL R2 | Col De La Loze | 5th of 9 | 7-2 | Manuel Franco |
| 10/25 | BEL R1 | Minute By Minute | 2nd of 6 | 9-2 | Manuel Franco |
| 10/25 | BEL R1 | Limes Don't Lie | 3rd of 6 | 3-1 | Dylan Davis |
| 10/24 | BEL R11 | Nonna Lynne | 4th of 10 | 12-1 | Dylan Davis |
| 10/24 | BEL R7 | Inalienable | 5th of 8 | 8-1 | Ricardo Santana Jr. |
| 10/24 | BEL R5 | Spirit Of St Louis | 3rd of 6 | 9-5 | Manuel Franco |
The last 10 settled starts in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. M/L is the morning line.