Trainer
Brad H Cox
6 starters today at Churchill Downs, Kentucky Derby Future Wager
Today's starters
| Post (ET) | Race | Horse | M/L | Model win | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:58 PM | CD R3 | #4 Guns Allowed | 5-2 | 16% | Irad Ortiz Jr |
| 2:57 PM | CD R5 | #8 Vaporetti | 4-1 | 16% | Irad Ortiz Jr |
| 7:00 PM | KDF R1 | #12 Fools Rush In | 80-1 | 1% | Rider No |
| 7:00 PM | KDF R1 | #22 Lord Mischief | 75-1 | 1% | Rider No |
| 7:00 PM | KDF R1 | #29 Q B Rocket | 50-1 | 1% | Rider No |
| 7:00 PM | KDF R1 | #35 The Good Life | 50-1 | 1% | Rider No |
Model win chance is the card model on each race page; the morning-line favourite wins more often than our top-ranked horse.
This meet
Churchill Downs
| Surface | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dirt | 8 | 22 | 36% small sample |
| Turf | 0 | 7 | too few to rate |
| All surfaces | 8 | 29 | 28% small sample |
Starts at the same track in the 45 days before today, the window the race pages call “this meet.” Under 8 starts we show the count only; under 30, rates move a lot and are tagged.
Last 12 months by race type
| Race type | Won | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graded stakes | 36 | 134 | 27% | 61% |
| Other stakes | 30 | 100 | 30% | 65% |
| Allowance / optional claiming | 71 | 258 | 28% | 63% |
| Maiden special weight | 77 | 293 | 26% | 60% |
| Claiming $25,000+ | 20 | 48 | 42% | 79% |
| Claiming under $25,000 | 9 | 26 | 35% small sample | 77% |
| Maiden claiming | 31 | 96 | 32% | 66% |
| All | 274 | 955 | 29% | 64% |
Thoroughbred races in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. Name matched on surname and first initial, so two people who share both can be merged.
By situation
| Situation | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| On dirt | 2740 | 27% | 60% |
| Shipping in | 1105 | 26% | 59% |
| Back from 46–90 days off | 970 | 26% | 59% |
| Allowance races | 955 | 26% | 59% |
| Two-year-olds | 882 | 25% | 54% |
| Won last time | 878 | 29% | 60% |
| On turf | 862 | 22% | 52% |
| Graded stakes | 529 | 23% | 56% |
| Back from 90+ days off | 383 | 28% | 62% |
| Maiden claiming races | 366 | 28% | 60% |
| Maiden winner last time | 354 | 28% | 62% |
| First time at a route | 260 | 29% | 59% |
| Sprint to route | 224 | 32% | 59% |
| First time in a maiden claimer | 176 | 29% | 60% |
| Maiden special weight to maiden claiming | 166 | 28% | 58% |
| Third start off a layoff | 160 | 33% | 63% |
| Turf to dirt | 142 | 27% | 62% |
| Second route race | 59 | 31% | 58% |
The trainer's record in each situation as printed with today's past performances (first-time starters, layoffs, surface and distance switches and so on).
With today's jockeys
| Jockey | Today | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irad Ortiz Jr | Guns Allowed, Vaporetti | 85 | 278 | 31% |
| Rider No | Fools Rush In, Lord Mischief, Q B Rocket, The Good Life | 0 | 0 | no starts |
Starts together in the last 12 months, through Oct 27, 2026.
Recent starters
| Date | Race | Horse | Finish | M/L | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/27 | IND R7 | Collective Beauty | Won of 10 | 3-1 | Fernando De La Cruz |
| 10/27 | IND R2 | Soul Of The Night | 3rd of 6 | 2-1 | Fernando De La Cruz |
| 10/26 | IND R2 | Holly Blue | 2nd of 6 | 3-1 | Fernando De La Cruz |
| 10/25 | CD R11 | Fools Rush In | Won of 12 | 3-1 | Irad Ortiz Jr. |
| 10/25 | CD R9 | First Laugh | 3rd of 7 | 7-2 | Irad Ortiz Jr. |
| 10/25 | CD R7 | Luxdomina | 12th of 12 | 5-1 | Irad Ortiz Jr. |
| 10/25 | CD R6 | Lord Mischief | Won of 10 | 4-1 | Irad Ortiz Jr. |
| 10/25 | CD R4 | Nauti Talk | 4th of 11 | 7-2 | Irad Ortiz Jr. |
| 10/25 | CD R2 | Special Butterfly | 6th of 11 | 6-1 | Irad Ortiz Jr. |
| 10/25 | CD R1 | Broadway Girl | Won of 8 | 8-5 | Irad Ortiz Jr. |
The last 10 settled starts in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. M/L is the morning line.