Trainer

Aaron M West

4 starters today at Churchill Downs, Indiana Downs, Special wager pool

Today's starters

Post (ET)RaceHorseM/LModel winJockey
2:27 PMCD R4#10 Triple Moon12-15%Luan Machado
2:32 PMIND R3#6 Royal Justice2-123%La Cruz Fernando De
4:35 PMIND R7#10 Watcher6-115%La Cruz Fernando De
5:32 PMSWA R1#6 Royal Justice2-122%La Cruz Fernando De

Model win chance is the card model on each race page; the morning-line favourite wins more often than our top-ranked horse.

This meet

Churchill Downs

SurfaceWonStartsWin rate
Turf01too few to rate
All surfaces01too few to rate

Indiana Downs

SurfaceWonStartsWin rate
Dirt71741% small sample
Turf06too few to rate
All surfaces72330% small sample

Starts at the same track in the 45 days before today, the window the race pages call “this meet.” Under 8 starts we show the count only; under 30, rates move a lot and are tagged.

Last 12 months by race type

Race typeWonStartsWin rate1st–3rd
Other stakes41625% small sample56%
Allowance / optional claiming74615%48%
Maiden special weight125024%52%
Claiming $25,000+02too few to rate
Claiming under $25,000124626%63%
Maiden claiming154732%72%
All5020724%58%

Thoroughbred races in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. Name matched on surname and first initial, so two people who share both can be merged.

By situation

SituationStartsWin rate1st–3rd
On dirt56723%52%
Sprints41621%48%
Routes32721%51%
Maiden claiming races17318%50%
Allowance races13621%45%
On turf11015%34%
Back from 90+ days off9320%47%
Second start off a layoff7925%52%
Beaten favourite last time5629%61%
Ungraded stakes4420%52%
First start for the barn3526%54%
Up one class166% small sample62%
Blinkers back on1436% small sample36%

The trainer's record in each situation as printed with today's past performances (first-time starters, layoffs, surface and distance switches and so on).

With today's jockeys

JockeyTodayWonStartsWin rate
Luan MachadoTriple Moon00no starts
La Cruz Fernando DeRoyal Justice, Watcher, Royal Justice197525%

Starts together in the last 12 months, through Oct 27, 2026.

Recent starters

DateRaceHorseFinishM/LJockey
10/27IND R8Easy EffortWon of 87-2Fernando De La Cruz
10/24IND R6Smokinghot Justice5th of 109-2Fernando De La Cruz
10/24IND R4I. C. U. Aggie5th of 92-1Mitchell Murrill
10/24IND R3Goodlookinjustice8th of 87-2Fernando De La Cruz
10/19IND R6Zealous Justice4th of 78-1Fernando De La Cruz
10/16KEE R2Steel Golden2nd of 515-1Mitchell Murrill
10/15KEE R8Hes Steelin Mylady3rd of 66-1Mitchell Murrill
10/14IND R5Star SaverWon of 73-1Fernando De La Cruz
10/14IND R3LourendaWon of 88-1Mitchell Murrill
10/13IND R1Anna B Express6th of 75-1Mitchell Murrill

The last 10 settled starts in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. M/L is the morning line.

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