PARX RACING · RACE 1
UPCOMINGClaiming $12,500
Claiming $12,500, for 3-year-olds and up, that have not won two races lifetime.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 6 1/2 Furlongs: 74.39
The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.
Our number tops on #5 King Of The Cross (a presser/stalker, M/L 9-2). Recent figures: 61 · 72 · 77. Backup is #6 Alastar at 5-1. Use #3 Chilling Zensation in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Figures have slipped: 77, 72, 61 over its last three. The Jul 11 work, 3F in :36.20, was the best time at that distance that morning.
Moves up from $7,500 claiming to $12,500 claiming. Julio Rodriguez takes over the training from Irving Rodriguez.
Beaten 7 lengths for 4th in an 8-horse $12,500 claiming race at PRX. Best recent figure of 73 sits right around the 80 par.
Tops the field on speed figures, a 79 against 77 for the next best. Trending the wrong way on speed, 75 to 61 to 15.
A step up in company: $7,500 claiming before, $12,500 claiming today. Finished 3rd in a 9-horse $7,500 claiming race at PRX, beaten ½ length.
Shortens up to 6½ furlongs after going 1 1/16 miles. Turns back in 10 days.
New trainer: Flores Tony Perez had it last time, Pedro Mercedes now. Back to 6½ furlongs off a 1 1/16 miles race.
At a glance
- Market favourite #7 AMERICA'S POINT (3-1) — our number has it ranked #6.
- #7 AMERICA'S POINT — our #6 number, about right at the windows (18.4% to their 20.5%).
- #3 CHILLING ZENSATION — our #3 number, about right at the windows (17.6% to their 16.4%).
- #5 KING OF THE CROSS — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (16.5% to their 14.9%).
Value read
- No price-band edge — the market looks efficient here.
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #3 Chilling Zensation; pressure from #1 Duke Of Suggins, #5 King Of The Cross; the shape helps #1 Duke Of Suggins, #2 Hephepcutdownnets, #4 Willisau; and works against #3 Chilling Zensation.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — an honest, pressed pace rewards the best horse — key tickets fit. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Win / Place
#5 King Of The Cross (place saver: #6 Alastar)
#5 King Of The Cross rates the best; #6 Alastar the logical insurance if you want to be covered.
Exacta — BOX
#5 King Of The Cross · #6 Alastar
Two standouts with little between them — box #5 King Of The Cross and #6 Alastar both ways.
Trifecta — BOX
#5 King Of The Cross · #6 Alastar · #3 Chilling Zensation
Box the top three for any 1-2-3 order; add a 4th only if the field is wide open.
Bet types offered at this track →
DAILY DOUBLE / PICK 3 (RACES 1-2-3)
EXACTA / 50 CENT TRIFECTA / 50 CENT PICK 4 (RACES 1-4) / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA