PARX RACING · RACE 4
UPCOMINGClaiming $7,500
Claiming $7,500, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up, that have not won four races lifetime.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 1 Mile: 94.51
The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.
Our number tops on #4 Sliver Of Sunshine (a presser/stalker, M/L 5-2). Recent figures: 69 · 66 · 65. It exits a win and is clearly doing well. Backup is #5 Sister Marjorie at 9-2. Use #1 Maddie's Garden in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Comes off a turf start and tries the dirt here. Winner of a 7-horse $5,000 claiming race at MED last time.
Alexis Romero takes over the training from Jose M Santaella-Calderon. Switches from turf to dirt.
Tops the field on speed figures, an 80 against 75 for the next best. Finished 7th in a 7-horse $7,500 claiming race at PRX, beaten 15 lengths.
Dropped in well back early last out, 6th of 6 at the first call. Worked 3F in :36.20 on Aug 31, 2nd of 26 at the distance.
6th last time, 4½ lengths back, in a field of 7. Best recent figure of 75 sits right around the 77 par.
Class relief: $12,000 claiming last time, $7,500 claiming today. Stretches out from 6 furlongs to a mile.
At a glance
- Market favourite #3 PATIENT FI (6-5) — our number has it ranked #5.
- #3 PATIENT FI — our #5 number, about right at the windows (31.7% to their 35.8%).
- #4 SLIVER OF SUNSHINE — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (24.8% to their 22.5%).
- #5 SISTER MARJORIE — our #2 number, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 16.9%, they've got 14.3%.
Value read
- #5 SISTER MARJORIE — we make it 16.9%, the morning line implies 14.3%. We're 18.2 points higher than the line — our opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds.
Pace
Tactical / Honest. Balanced shape: 1-2 speed, supporting pressers, closers in play. Trip wins out.
Likely leader: #3 Patient Fi; pressure from #4 Sliver Of Sunshine.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — a balanced pace makes it a trip race — moderate spreads. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Win / Place
#4 Sliver Of Sunshine (place saver: #5 Sister Marjorie)
#4 Sliver Of Sunshine rates the best; #5 Sister Marjorie the logical insurance if you want to be covered.
Exacta — BOX
#4 Sliver Of Sunshine · #5 Sister Marjorie
Two standouts with little between them — box #4 Sliver Of Sunshine and #5 Sister Marjorie both ways.
Trifecta — BOX
#4 Sliver Of Sunshine · #5 Sister Marjorie · #1 Maddie's Garden
Box the top three for any 1-2-3 order; add a 4th only if the field is wide open.
Bet types offered at this track →
DAILY DOUBLE / PICK 3 (RACES 4-5-6) / 50 CENT PICK 4 (RACES 4 -7) / EXACTA
50 CENT TRIFECTA / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA