WRD · RACE 8
UPCOMINGMaiden Special Weight
Maiden Special Weight, for 2-year-olds.
Maiden special weight — for horses that have never won a race. No horses are for sale; this is the higher-quality way to break a maiden.
● Breed: Quarter Horse
● Track record at 250 Yards: 13.0
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #7 Hurrikane Harvey (a tactical type, M/L 4-1). Recent figures: 87. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #1 Jt Country Boy at 2-1. Use #2 Corona Moon Prize in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Beaten a head for 3rd in a 10-horse maiden claiming $15,000 race at WRD.
Tops the field on speed figures, a 96 against 95 for the next best. Last out was 2nd, a head behind the winner, in a 9-horse maiden special weight race at WRD.
162 days since the last start, the longest layoff in here, so it needs the works to say it's ready. Runs for $18,500 today after a $100,000 race last time.
Purse drops from $30,000 to $18,500 against its last start. Ryder Olmstead takes over from Javier Hernandez-Gallardo in the saddle.
Unraced, but on Sep 16 it was 3rd of 10 at 1F (:12.60). First career start, by Speed Dynasty out of Ynot Now.
Finished 5th in a 9-horse maiden special weight race at WRD, beaten ½ length. Fastest 1F work of its morning on Aug 5 (:12.40), a sign it is training forwardly.
Debut for this Lyles Jess filly, whose dam is Dashingly Royal. It has been schooling from the gate (latest Sep 21).
0 for 6 at today's distance. Maiden through 6 starts.
Changes barns, from Dee Keener to Michael Moss. Gets a new rider, Ramiro Haro Garcia replacing Roman Cruz.
Jockey switch: Roman Cruz last out, Christian Esqueda today. 7th last time, 4½ lengths back, in a field of 9.
At a glance
- Market favourite #1 JT COUNTRY BOY (2-1) — our number has it ranked #2.
- #1 JT COUNTRY BOY — our #2 number, about right at the windows (24.3% to their 26.1%).
- #2 CORONA MOON PRIZE — our #3 number, about right at the windows (18.4% to their 17.4%).
- #7 HURRIKANE HARVEY — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (17.2% to their 15.7%).
Value read
- No price-band edge — the market looks efficient here.
Pace
Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.
and works against #1 Jt Country Boy, #2 Corona Moon Prize, #3 Dashes Royal Jess.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — a soft pace can let a forward type loose — protect with a saver on top. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Win / Place
#7 Hurrikane Harvey (place saver: #1 Jt Country Boy)
#7 Hurrikane Harvey rates the best; #1 Jt Country Boy the logical insurance if you want to be covered.
Exacta — BOX
#7 Hurrikane Harvey · #1 Jt Country Boy
Two standouts with little between them — box #7 Hurrikane Harvey and #1 Jt Country Boy both ways.
Trifecta — BOX
#7 Hurrikane Harvey · #1 Jt Country Boy · #2 Corona Moon Prize
Box the top three for any 1-2-3 order; add a 4th only if the field is wide open.
Superfecta — KEY
#7 Hurrikane Harvey / #1 Jt Country Boy · #2 Corona Moon Prize · #6 Cyber Command · #5 Sayy Whenn / #1 Jt Country Boy · #2 Corona Moon Prize · #6 Cyber Command · #5 Sayy Whenn / ALL or #1 Jt Country Boy · #2 Corona Moon Prize · #6 Cyber Command · #5 Sayy Whenn
Deep enough field to spread a super — key the top, spread the next few, fill 4th wide.
Bet types offered at this track →
$2 EXACTA / (.50) TRIFECTA / (.10) SUPERFECTA