WRD · RACE 3
UPCOMINGState-Bred Allowance · $26,200 purse
Allowance, for 3-year-olds and up, restricted to state-bred (registered) horses.
Allowance race — a step above claiming. No horses are for sale; written conditions limit the field to horses of similar experience.
● Breed: Quarter Horse
● Track record at 350 Yards: 16.98
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #4 Church Spire (a tactical type, M/L 2-1). Recent figures: 96 · 104 · 100. Backup is #2 Rebelutionary at 5-2. Use #1 Dash For Power in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Tops the field on speed figures, a 104 against 99 for the next best. Runs for $26,200 today after a $250,000 race last time.
Purse drops from $50,000 to $26,200 against its last start. 3rd of 8 at 1F on May 6, in :12.60.
Beaten ½ length for 2nd in a 7-horse allowance race at WRD. Prime Power, the Brisnet rating, puts it on top of this field.
Trending the wrong way on speed, 99 to 90 to 89. 11 wins from 22 starts at this distance.
124 days since the last start, the longest layoff in here, so it needs the works to say it's ready. Comes in off a victory in a 7-horse allowance race at FMT.
Freshened 113 days. Watch how its recent works look. A step up in company: allowance before, allowance today.
At a glance
- Market favourite #4 CHURCH SPIRE (2-1) — our number agrees.
- #4 CHURCH SPIRE — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (28.1% to their 27.8%).
- #2 REBELUTIONARY — our #2 number, about right at the windows (23.5% to their 23.8%).
- #1 DASH FOR POWER — our #3 number, about right at the windows (21.3% to their 20.8%).
Value read
- No price-band edge — the market looks efficient here.
Pace
Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.
and works against #1 Dash For Power, #2 Rebelutionary, #3 Flying Nova 123.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — a soft pace can let a forward type loose — protect with a saver on top. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Win
#4 Church Spire
Top of the field by a clear 11-pt IQ margin — the play stands alone to win.
Exacta — KEY
#4 Church Spire OVER #2 Rebelutionary · #1 Dash For Power · #3 Flying Nova 123
Key #4 Church Spire on top over your contenders for the 2nd slot.
Trifecta — KEY/WHEEL
#4 Church Spire / #2 Rebelutionary · #1 Dash For Power · #3 Flying Nova 123 / #2 Rebelutionary · #1 Dash For Power · #3 Flying Nova 123 · #5 Eyesa Candy Guy
#4 Church Spire keyed 1st, your contenders filling 2nd–3rd.
Bet types offered at this track →
$2 EXACTA / (.50) TRIFECTA / (.10) SUPERFECTA / $2 DAILY DOUBLE
(.50) PICK 3 (RACES 3-4-5)