WRD · RACE 6
UPCOMINGClaiming $15,000
Claiming $15,000, for 2-year-olds, that have not won two races lifetime.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Breed: Quarter Horse
● Track record at 300 Yards: 15.13
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #7 Summer Chance (a tactical type, M/L 15-1). Recent figures: 84 · 81 · 73. It exits a win and is clearly doing well. Backup is #3 Hott Partner at 4-1. Use #1 Card Playing Gal in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Has moved up each time out, 73 to 81 to 84. Moves up from maiden claiming $10,000 to $15,000 claiming.
Worked 1F in :12.60 on May 22, 3rd of 18 at the distance. Finished 6th in a 10-horse $15,000 claiming race at WRD, beaten 2 lengths.
Comes in off a victory in a 10-horse maiden claiming $10,000 race at WRD. Moves up from maiden claiming $10,000 to $15,000 claiming.
Fernando Fonseca-Soto takes over from Randy Vega in the saddle. Last out was 4th, 1½ lengths behind the winner, in a 10-horse $15,000 claiming race at WRD.
Figures are climbing: 55, 76, 88 over its last three. Winner of a 9-horse maiden claiming $15,000 race at WRD last time.
A step up in company: $10,000 claiming before, $15,000 claiming today. Last out was 6th, 2½ lengths behind the winner, in a 7-horse $10,000 claiming race at WRD.
Owns the highest recent figure here at 93. Class relief: allowance last time, $15,000 claiming today.
At a glance
- Market favourite #5 KARTEL KASH (2-1) — our number has it ranked #5.
- #5 KARTEL KASH — our #5 number, about right at the windows (24.8% to their 27.4%).
- #6 LETS GO FANCY — our #6 number, about right at the windows (20.6% to their 20.6%).
- #3 HOTT PARTNER — our #2 number, about right at the windows (17.6% to their 16.5%).
Value read
- Longshot value: #7 SUMMER CHANCE (15-1) — our fair 6.2% is above the morning line's 5.1%; supported by: figures trending up 73→81→84 (project ~81)
Pace
Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.
and works against #1 Card Playing Gal, #2 Rippin Lindy, #3 Hott Partner.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — a soft pace can let a forward type loose — protect with a saver on top. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Win / Place
#7 Summer Chance (place saver: #3 Hott Partner)
#7 Summer Chance rates the best; #3 Hott Partner the logical insurance if you want to be covered.
Exacta — BOX
#7 Summer Chance · #3 Hott Partner
Two standouts with little between them — box #7 Summer Chance and #3 Hott Partner both ways.
Trifecta — BOX
#7 Summer Chance · #3 Hott Partner · #1 Card Playing Gal
Box the top three for any 1-2-3 order; add a 4th only if the field is wide open.
Bet types offered at this track →
$2 EXACTA / (.50) TRIFECTA / (.10) SUPERFECTA / $2 DAILY DOUBLE
(.50) PICK 3 (RACES 6-7-8)