WRD · RACE 7
UPCOMINGClaiming $7,500
Claiming $7,500, for 3-year-olds and up.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Breed: Quarter Horse
● Track record at 300 Yards: 15.13
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #6 One Famous Candidate (a tactical type, M/L 15-1). Recent figures: 65 · 84 · 89. It needs to turn the form around after a flat last start. Backup is #4 Fancy Jessie at 5-1. Use #3 Jessies Blue Wagon in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Figures have slipped: 89, 84, 65 over its last three. Gets a new rider, Cordarelton J Benn replacing Gonzalo Gutierrez.
Owns the highest recent figure here at 91. Comes in off a victory in a 10-horse $10,000 claiming race at WRD.
Turns back in 8 days. Drops from $10,000 claiming to $7,500 claiming.
Class relief: $15,000 claiming last time, $7,500 claiming today. Ranks first in the field on Brisnet Prime Power.
Last start was a win, in a 10-horse $10,000 claiming race at WRD at 1.6-1. Tops the field on speed figures, a 91 against 90 for the next best.
Winner of a 6-horse $7,500 claiming race at WRD last time. Angel O Ramirez takes over from Roman Cruz in the saddle.
Was running in $15,000 claiming; today's $7,500 claiming is an easier level on paper. Has moved up each time out, 52 to 70 to 83.
Back to 300 yards off a 870 yards race. Finished 6th in a 6-horse allowance race at WRD, beaten 6½ lengths.
Returns from a 108-day break, the biggest in the field. Jockey switch: Aram S Martinez last out, Randy Vega today.
At a glance
- Market favourite #7 TRES FESS (2-1) — our number has it ranked #5.
- #7 TRES FESS — our #5 number, about right at the windows (25.4% to their 27.7%).
- #9 DYNA BEA — our #6 number, about right at the windows (20.5% to their 20.8%).
- #4 FANCY JESSIE — our #2 number, about right at the windows (14.5% to their 13.9%).
Value read
- Longshot value: #6 ONE FAMOUS CANDIDATE (15-1) — our fair 6.3% is above the morning line's 5.2%; needs the trip to fall right.
Pace
Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.
and works against #1 Striking Breeze, #2 Cc Marfa Moon, #3 Jessies Blue Wagon.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — a soft pace can let a forward type loose — protect with a saver on top. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Win / Place
#6 One Famous Candidate (place saver: #4 Fancy Jessie)
#6 One Famous Candidate rates the best; #4 Fancy Jessie the logical insurance if you want to be covered.
Exacta — BOX
#6 One Famous Candidate · #4 Fancy Jessie
Two standouts with little between them — box #6 One Famous Candidate and #4 Fancy Jessie both ways.
Trifecta — BOX
#6 One Famous Candidate · #4 Fancy Jessie · #3 Jessies Blue Wagon
Box the top three for any 1-2-3 order; add a 4th only if the field is wide open.
Superfecta — KEY
#6 One Famous Candidate / #4 Fancy Jessie · #3 Jessies Blue Wagon · #1 Striking Breeze · #7 Tres Fess / #4 Fancy Jessie · #3 Jessies Blue Wagon · #1 Striking Breeze · #7 Tres Fess / ALL or #4 Fancy Jessie · #3 Jessies Blue Wagon · #1 Striking Breeze · #7 Tres Fess
Deep enough field to spread a super — key the top, spread the next few, fill 4th wide.
Bet types offered at this track →
$2 EXACTA / (.50) TRIFECTA / (.10) SUPERFECTA / $2 DAILY DOUBLE