Horse

Critical Threat

8-year-old bay gelding · By Mshawish out of My Town (by Speightstown)

Entered today: Delta Downs Race 2

Post time6:08 PM ET
Race type6 1/2 Furlongs Dirt · Claiming $4,000
Program / post#6 · post 6
Weight120 lb
Equipment / medicationLasix
Model win chance13%Fair odds 6-1 (model above the line)
Morning line6-111% once the line is scaled to 100%
Morning-line favourite?No

Tier A Form ▼▼ Big drop -8

Pick-sheet marks: notes from the past performances, not proven to beat the odds. How to read them is on the race page.

Model win chance is the card model shown on the race page. The morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse (see the record), so read it as a second opinion.

Last three races

DateTrkDistClassFinishSpeed figOddsEqTrip
10/14DED6½f DOC 8k8th/10 -5¼L687.3-1LShowed little
9/21LAD1m TOC 10k4th/5 -7L7619-1LSlow st;ins; no impact
9/8LAD6½f DOC 10k2nd/6 -1¼L812.7-1LTraffic 1/4;steerd out

Finish shows position, field size and beaten lengths. Odds are final odds; * = favourite. Trip notes are the chart caller's.

24 starts in our records: 8 won, 4 2nd, 2 3rd.

DateRaceDistanceTypeFieldPostFinishOddsJockeyTrainer
10/14/26Delta Downs R26 1/2 Furlongs DirtStarter optional claiming $8,0001068th10-1 MLHarry HernandezRuperto Urbina
9/21/26Louisiana Downs R31 Mile TurfStarter optional claiming $10,000554th30-1 MLJulio Ramirez Jr.Edgar Espinoza
9/8/26Louisiana Downs R66 1/2 Furlongs DirtStarter optional claiming $10,000672nd2-1 MLHarry HernandezEdgar Espinoza
8/3/26Louisiana Downs R61 Mile 70 Yards DirtAllowance optional claiming $15,000664th5-1 MLKelvin AranaEdgar Espinoza
7/11/26Evangeline Downs R61 Mile DirtStarter allowance852nd2-1 MLKelvin AranaEdgar Espinoza
7/2/26Evangeline Downs R61 Mile DirtStarter optional claiming $10,00077Won10-1 MLKelvin AranaEdgar Espinoza
6/4/26Evangeline Downs R61 Mile DirtStarter allowance622nd10-1 MLKelvin AranaEdgar Espinoza
5/22/26Evangeline Downs R26 1/2 Furlongs DirtClaiming $5,00082Won12-1 MLKelvin AranaEdgar Espinoza
4/25/26Oaklawn Park R111 1/16 Miles DirtClaiming $12,500131312th30-1 MLLuis FuenmayorEleuterio Altamirano
4/17/26Oaklawn Park R76 Furlongs DirtClaiming $12,5009119th30-1 MLLuis FuenmayorEleuterio Altamirano
4/2/26Oaklawn Park R51 1/16 Miles DirtClaiming $8,00010710th20-1 MLLuis FuenmayorEleuterio Altamirano
3/15/26Oaklawn Park R51 Mile DirtClaiming $12,500969th20-1 MLEmmanuel EsquivelEleuterio Altamirano
12/26/25Oaklawn Park R21 1/16 Miles DirtClaiming $12,5001127th10-1 MLTyler BaconTanner Tracy
11/29/25Fair Grounds R71 1/16 Miles DirtClaiming $30,000877th8-1 MLJareth LoveberryTanner Tracy
10/19/25Keeneland R11 1/16 Miles DirtClaiming $16,000910Won10-1 MLEmmanuel EsquivelJesus Esquivel
9/17/25Churchill Downs R41 Mile DirtClaiming $16,0009104th10-1 MLAdam BeschizzaJesus Esquivel
8/8/25Ellis Park R11 1/8 Miles DirtStarter optional claiming $16,000763rd5-1 MLRafael BejaranoJesus Esquivel
7/13/25Ellis Park R41 Mile DirtClaiming $7,50083Won10-1 MLRafael BejaranoJesus Esquivel
9/1/24Saratoga R57 Furlongs DirtClaiming $16,000115Won6-1 MLIrad Ortiz Jr.Robert Falcone Jr.
8/1/24Saratoga R16 Furlongs DirtClaiming $16,000543rd3-1 MLWesley HoGregory Diprima
7/19/24Saratoga R76 Furlongs DirtClaiming $12,50098Won6-1 MLLuis Rivera Jr.Robert Falcone Jr.
4/5/24Aqueduct R36 1/2 Furlongs DirtClaiming $25,00066Won5-1 MLLuis Rivera Jr.Robert Falcone Jr.
1/26/24Aqueduct R27 Furlongs DirtClaiming $12,50061Won7-5 MLGokhan KocakayaMertkan Kantarmaci
12/9/23Aqueduct R57 Furlongs DirtClaiming $12,500712nd, 2L3.0-1Manuel FrancoHoracio De Paz

From TBredIQ's own results records; may be incomplete before Jul 3, 2023. Matched on name, sire and dam. Finish shows lengths behind the winner where we have the chart; odds are final odds where we have the chart, otherwise the morning line (ML). Past race pages aren't kept on the site, so there's no result link for these races. 13 other entries in our records have no result (usually a scratch, or a race we have no chart for) and are not listed.

Speed figures

Best speed figure
Dirt, fast track89
Turf76
Wet track81
Today's distance on today's surface (last 3 tries in the data)83

Last figures, newest first: 68 · 76 · 81 · 72 — big drop -8 against the three before

Recent works

DateTrkDistTimeHowRank
12/19OP4f:49.00breezing11 of 46
11/6FG5f1:01.40breezing6 of 14
10/11CDT5f1:03.00breezing12 of 13
10/3CDT5f1:01.40breezing2 of 8
9/9CDT5f1:03.40breezing4 of 4

Rank = where the time placed among horses working the same distance at that track that day.

Record

Record
Career51 starts: 11 won, 7 2nd, 3 3rd · $310,018
This year14 starts: 2 won, 3 2nd, 0 3rd · $30,933
Last year11 starts: 2 won, 0 2nd, 1 3rd · $61,957
At Delta Downs1 starts: 0 won, 0 2nd, 0 3rd
At today's distance8 starts: 2 won, 3 2nd, 0 3rd · $66,042
Turf1 starts: 0 won, 0 2nd, 0 3rd · $660
Wet track5 starts: 2 won, 2 2nd, 0 3rd · $64,429

Owner: Eleuterio Jose Altmirano

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