Trainer
Riley Mott
5 starters today at Churchill Downs, Indiana Downs, Kentucky Derby Future Wager, Special wager pool
Today's starters
| Post (ET) | Race | Horse | M/L | Model win | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2:57 PM | CD R5 | #6 Dawn Dragon | 8-1 | 9% | Axel Concepcion |
| 4:25 PM | CD R8 | #6 Smokey Smokey | 6-1 | 7% | Jaime A Torres |
| 5:07 PM | IND R8 | #11 Feeling Beachy | 8-1 | 10% | Alex Achard |
| 7:00 PM | KDF R1 | #16 How's Al Today | 99-1 | 2% | Rider No |
| 8:07 PM | SWA R3 | #11 Feeling Beachy | 8-1 | 10% | Alex Achard |
Model win chance is the card model on each race page; the morning-line favourite wins more often than our top-ranked horse.
This meet
Churchill Downs
| Surface | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dirt | 0 | 5 | too few to rate |
| Turf | 2 | 5 | too few to rate |
| All surfaces | 2 | 10 | 20% small sample |
Indiana Downs
| Surface | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dirt | 2 | 7 | too few to rate |
| Turf | 4 | 13 | 31% small sample |
| All surfaces | 6 | 20 | 30% small sample |
Starts at the same track in the 45 days before today, the window the race pages call “this meet.” Under 8 starts we show the count only; under 30, rates move a lot and are tagged.
Last 12 months by race type
| Race type | Won | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graded stakes | 1 | 9 | 11% small sample | 44% |
| Other stakes | 5 | 17 | 29% small sample | 71% |
| Allowance / optional claiming | 11 | 65 | 17% | 51% |
| Maiden special weight | 18 | 127 | 14% | 39% |
| Claiming $25,000+ | 1 | 7 | too few to rate | |
| Claiming under $25,000 | 0 | 3 | too few to rate | |
| Maiden claiming | 7 | 31 | 23% | 42% |
| All | 43 | 259 | 17% | 46% |
Thoroughbred races in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. Name matched on surname and first initial, so two people who share both can be merged.
By situation
| Situation | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Routes | 601 | 15% | 39% |
| On dirt | 391 | 15% | 42% |
| On turf | 347 | 12% | 32% |
| Sprints | 331 | 15% | 42% |
| Two-year-olds | 251 | 13% | 36% |
| Allowance races | 249 | 14% | 41% |
| Shipping in | 239 | 16% | 41% |
| Back from 46–90 days off | 155 | 10% | 39% |
| Won last time | 115 | 22% | 45% |
| Back from 90+ days off | 91 | 13% | 36% |
| Dirt to turf | 69 | 7% | 26% |
| Third start off a layoff | 45 | 13% | 33% |
| Synthetic to turf | 43 | 9% | 28% |
| Beaten favourite last time | 40 | 32% | 52% |
| Turf to dirt | 40 | 25% | 45% |
| Graded stakes | 37 | 14% | 30% |
| First start for the barn | 35 | 9% | 40% |
The trainer's record in each situation as printed with today's past performances (first-time starters, layoffs, surface and distance switches and so on).
With today's jockeys
| Jockey | Today | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Concepcion | Dawn Dragon | 2 | 16 | 12% small sample |
| Jaime A Torres | Smokey Smokey | 9 | 78 | 12% |
| Alex Achard | Feeling Beachy, Feeling Beachy | 4 | 19 | 21% small sample |
| Rider No | How's Al Today | 0 | 0 | no starts |
Starts together in the last 12 months, through Oct 27, 2026.
Recent starters
| Date | Race | Horse | Finish | M/L | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/27 | IND R7 | Cinquante Cinq (IRE) | 3rd of 10 | 9-2 | Alex Achard |
| 10/25 | CD R5 | Bardstown | Won of 12 | 20-1 | Jaime Torres |
| 10/24 | BEL R7 | Fullcup | 8th of 8 | 6-1 | Junior Alvarado |
| 10/23 | KEE R10 | Draw | 3rd of 9 | 20-1 | Jaime Torres |
| 10/22 | KEE R6 | Lucerra | 6th of 7 | 9-2 | Jaime Torres |
| 10/22 | IND R5 | Luministic | 7th of 11 | 12-1 | Cesar Orantes |
| 10/22 | IND R5 | Moonlight Lil Luce | 10th of 11 | 10-1 | Alex Achard |
| 10/22 | KEE R4 | Golden Reserve | 2nd of 7 | 6-1 | Jaime Torres |
| 10/21 | KEE R8 | Sapphire Song | 5th of 11 | 30-1 | Jaime Torres |
| 10/21 | KEE R8 | Cyber Gal | 7th of 11 | 6-1 | Junior Alvarado |
The last 10 settled starts in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. M/L is the morning line.