Trainer
Michael A Tomlinson
4 starters today at Churchill Downs
Today's starters
| Post (ET) | Race | Horse | M/L | Model win | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:00 PM | CD R1 | #4 Feral | 15-1 | 6% | Ben Curtis |
| 2:27 PM | CD R4 | #6 Riyah Al Nil | 12-1 | 6% | Axel Concepcion |
| 2:27 PM | CD R4 | #11 Enticing Moves | 8-1 | 7% | Jaime A Torres |
| 4:55 PM | CD R9 | #1 Market Strategy | 10-1 | 8% | Jaime A Torres |
Model win chance is the card model on each race page; the morning-line favourite wins more often than our top-ranked horse.
This meet
Churchill Downs
| Surface | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dirt | 0 | 4 | too few to rate |
| All surfaces | 0 | 4 | too few to rate |
Starts at the same track in the 45 days before today, the window the race pages call “this meet.” Under 8 starts we show the count only; under 30, rates move a lot and are tagged.
Last 12 months by race type
| Race type | Won | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graded stakes | 1 | 2 | too few to rate | |
| Other stakes | 1 | 3 | too few to rate | |
| Allowance / optional claiming | 5 | 28 | 18% small sample | 46% |
| Maiden special weight | 0 | 12 | 0% small sample | 42% |
| Claiming $25,000+ | 1 | 8 | 12% small sample | 75% |
| Claiming under $25,000 | 2 | 12 | 17% small sample | 67% |
| Maiden claiming | 5 | 38 | 13% | 50% |
| All | 15 | 103 | 15% | 52% |
Thoroughbred races in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. Name matched on surname and first initial, so two people who share both can be merged.
By situation
| Situation | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sprints | 338 | 12% | 39% |
| On dirt | 330 | 15% | 41% |
| Maiden claiming races | 190 | 9% | 34% |
| Claiming races | 130 | 19% | 47% |
| Back from 46–90 days off | 105 | 14% | 42% |
| Shipping in | 88 | 17% | 44% |
| Back from 90+ days off | 70 | 10% | 34% |
| Won last time | 67 | 15% | 34% |
| Maiden special weight to maiden claiming | 27 | 4% small sample | 44% |
| First start for the barn | 9 | 33% small sample | 33% |
| Claiming again soon after a claim | 5 | too few to rate |
The trainer's record in each situation as printed with today's past performances (first-time starters, layoffs, surface and distance switches and so on).
With today's jockeys
| Jockey | Today | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Curtis | Feral | 1 | 1 | too few to rate |
| Axel Concepcion | Riyah Al Nil | 6 | 43 | 14% |
| Jaime A Torres | Enticing Moves, Market Strategy | 0 | 7 | too few to rate |
Starts together in the last 12 months, through Oct 27, 2026.
Recent starters
| Date | Race | Horse | Finish | M/L | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | CD R10 | Blessed Flyer | 4th of 7 | 7-2 | Brian Hernandez Jr. |
| 10/24 | KEE R5 | By La Rina | 5th of 10 | 7-2 | Axel Concepcion |
| 10/22 | KEE R3 | Consequential | 4th of 8 | 6-1 | Miguel Fernandez |
| 10/21 | IND R6 | Baytown Parfait | 2nd of 7 | 4-1 | Orlando Mojica |
| 10/15 | KEE R1 | Truly Legit | 7th of 7 | 15-1 | Axel Concepcion |
| 10/7 | IND R4 | Baytown Parfait | Won of 8 | 6-1 | Fernando De La Cruz |
| 10/7 | KEE R3 | Velvet Devil | Won of 6 | 5-1 | Axel Concepcion |
| 10/4 | KEE R1 | Keep On Moving | 5th of 8 | 10-1 | Axel Concepcion |
| 9/24 | CD R2 | By La Rina | 2nd of 7 | 9-5 | Axel Concepcion |
| 9/13 | CD R10 | Flick | 5th of 11 | 6-1 | Gabriel Saez |
The last 10 settled starts in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. M/L is the morning line.