CHURCHILL DOWNS · RACE 1
UPCOMINGClaiming $62,500
Claiming $62,500, for 3-year-olds and up.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 7 Furlongs: 80.44
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #9 Discotheque (a presser/stalker, M/L 9-5). Recent figures: 78 · 90 · 94. Backup is #2 Sleepingonfreedom at 5-1. Use #3 One More Freud in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Tops the field on speed figures, a 94 against 93 for the next best. Trending the wrong way on speed, 94 to 90 to 78.
Freshened 102 days. Watch how its recent works look. Last race was on the turf; today it runs on the dirt.
Finished 7th in a 7-horse race at DMR, beaten 13 lengths. Runs for $78,000 today after a $125,000 race last time.
Jordan Blair takes over the training from Norm W Casse. Worked 4F in :47.40 on Sep 11, 3rd of 63 at the distance.
Winner of a 5-horse $50,000 claiming race at ELP last time. Back to 7 furlongs off a a mile race.
185 days since the last start, the longest layoff in here, so it needs the works to say it's ready. Shortens up to 7 furlongs after going 1 1/16 miles.
New trainer: Lindsay Schultz had it last time, J Kent Sweezey now. Best recent figure of 91 sits right around the 90 par.
Moves up from optional claiming to $62,500 claiming. Stretches out from 5 furlongs to 7 furlongs.
Led at the first call last time. Fastest 5F work of its morning on Sep 9 (1:00.80), a sign it is training forwardly.
At a glance
- Market favourite #9 DISCOTHEQUE (9-5) — our number agrees.
- #9 DISCOTHEQUE — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (27.8% to their 27.7%).
- #2 SLEEPINGONFREEDOM — our #2 number, about right at the windows (14.2% to their 12.9%).
- #1 RISK IT — our #8 number, about right at the windows (14.0% to their 15.5%).
Model vs the morning line
- The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #5 Poppa Echo; pressure from #7 Six String Prince, #9 Discotheque; the shape helps #1 Risk It, #2 Sleepingonfreedom, #3 One More Freud; and works against #5 Poppa Echo, #7 Six String Prince.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
DAILY DOUBLE / EXACTA / TRIFECTA / SUPERFECTA / PICK 3 (RACES 1-2-3)
PICK 5 (RACES 1-5) / SUPER HI-5 / ODD VS EVEN
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta