FL · RACE 8
UPCOMINGClaiming $5,000
Claiming $5,000, for 3-year-olds and up, that have not won two races lifetime.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 6 Furlongs: 68.2
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #4 Divine Peace (a presser/stalker, M/L 4-1). Recent figures: 55 · 62 · 45. Backup is #1 Luceo Non Uro at 12-1. Use #2 Western Wolf in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Class relief: $11,000 claiming last time, $5,000 claiming today. Owns the highest recent figure here at 77.
Shortens up to 6 furlongs after going 1 1/16 miles. Best recent figure is 63, well under the 75 par for this level.
Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 67 against a 75 par. Beaten 9 lengths for 5th in a 7-horse $5,000 claiming race at FL.
Trending the wrong way on speed, 65 to 63 to 57. Gets a new rider, J M Rohena replacing Andre Shivnarine Worrie.
Andre Shivnarine Worrie takes over from Jose Baez in the saddle. Last out was 5th, 3 lengths behind the winner, in a 6-horse claiming race at FL.
Finished 7th in a 9-horse $5,000 claiming race at FL, beaten 5½ lengths. A 69 top number against a 75 par, so it fits the level.
Back to 6 furlongs off a 1 1/16 miles race. 6th last time, 12 lengths back, in a field of 8.
At a glance
- Market favourite #7 ROCKED OUT (3-1) — our number has it ranked #5.
- #7 ROCKED OUT — our #5 number, about right at the windows (20.7% to their 20.9%).
- #3 LIV HAS RIZZ — our #4 number, about right at the windows (18.9% to their 18.6%).
- #4 DIVINE PEACE — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (18.0% to their 16.8%).
Value read
- No price-band edge — the market looks efficient here.
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #2 Western Wolf; pressure from #6 Reside, #7 Rocked Out; the shape helps #1 Luceo Non Uro, #3 Liv Has Rizz, #4 Divine Peace; and works against #2 Western Wolf, #6 Reside.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — an honest, pressed pace rewards the best horse — key tickets fit. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Win
#4 Divine Peace
Top of the field by a clear 18-pt IQ margin — the play stands alone to win.
Exacta — KEY
#4 Divine Peace OVER #1 Luceo Non Uro · #2 Western Wolf · #3 Liv Has Rizz
Key #4 Divine Peace on top over your contenders for the 2nd slot.
Trifecta — KEY/WHEEL
#4 Divine Peace / #1 Luceo Non Uro · #2 Western Wolf · #3 Liv Has Rizz / #1 Luceo Non Uro · #2 Western Wolf · #3 Liv Has Rizz · #7 Rocked Out
#4 Divine Peace keyed 1st, your contenders filling 2nd–3rd.
Bet types offered at this track →
EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 CENT MINIMUM)