FL · RACE 3

UPCOMING

Maiden Special Weight

Field

6 runners

Purse

$32,600

Post

1:53 PM ET

Pace

Pressed Pace

IQ top

#3 · 94

PANELPASS · lean #3 SUNSHINE BOBALOU [MAX]see full panel →

Maiden Special Weight, for 3-year-olds and up.

Maiden special weight — for horses that have never won a race. No horses are for sale; this is the higher-quality way to break a maiden.

● Track record at 1 Mile: 96.2

The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.

Our number tops on #3 Sunshine Bobalou (a tactical type, M/L 4-1). Recent figures: 74 · 59 · 64. Backup is #1 Wingo Starr at 5-1. Use #5 Shakeitforthebird in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

The field, ranked

Our order, top to bottom.

Pressed Pace: Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

1WIN

3Sunshine Bobalou

Jockey Joel Cruz 33% career 14-for-73 on dirt this meet (19%) · Trainer Jonathan B Buckley 34% career 8-for-49 on dirt this meet (16%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R4: Charging Aero 3-1, R6: Bustin Away 3-1, R7: Sanzio 20-1, R8: Western Wolf 5-1 · Trainer R5: Ride Share 4-1, R7: Not For Hire 5-1

★ FASTEST WORK

Tops the field on speed figures, a 74 against 73 for the next best. Stretches out from 6 furlongs to a mile.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 56 days ago

M/L4-1

IQ94

TierContender

StyleNA

Last6th · 20d

2PLACE

1Wingo Starr

Jockey Jacqueline A Davis 31% career 5-for-53 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer William H Bartlett 22% career 1-for-10 on dirt this meet (10%)

5/9 board here

Owns the highest recent figure here at 74. A longer trip: 6 furlongs last out, a mile today.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 121d ago

RECORD 0 wins, 5 on the board from 9 starts here

M/L5-1

IQ54

TierLive

StyleE/P

Last5th · 20d

3SHOW

5Shakeitforthebird

Jockey Keiber J Coa 35% career 11-for-76 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer M Anthony Ferraro 36% career 19-for-104 on dirt this meet (18%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R5: Boom Shocka Boom 5-2, R6: Pompous Prince 4-1, R7: Steam Powered 6-1 · Trainer R6: Pompous Prince 4-1, R6: Bustin Away 3-1, R7: Skyler's Starship 6-1, R7: Go Yoshida 4-1

★ FASTEST WORK6/9 board here

Winless in 4 starts at this distance. Still looking for the first win after 13 starts.

PACE CHALLENGE Pressured on the lead; getting clear early matters. (early-speed points: 8)

TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Drftd; took up into str), and the figure already reflects it.

WORKS SHARP 4f in :49.20 on Sep 28 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d

RECORD 0 wins, 6 on the board from 9 starts here

M/L2-1

IQ50

TierContender

StyleE

Last2nd · 21d

4EXOTICS

2Baby Meanie

Jockey Andre Shivnarine Worrie 35% career 15-for-81 on dirt this meet (19%) · Trainer Ralph D'Alessandro 34% career 4-for-32 on dirt this meet (12%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R1: A Maize Zing Dotie 2-1, R4: Burn Indy Burn 6-1, R6: Hay Hay Harry 6-1, R7: Skyler's Starship 6-1 +1 more · Trainer R2: Solo Flight 12-1, R2: King Solomon 7-2

2/4 board here

Finished 4th in a 7-horse maiden special weight race at FL, beaten 3 lengths. Gets a new rider, Andre Shivnarine Worrie replacing Christopher Elliott.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

TROUBLED TRIP 5w3/4; weakened insde last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Jun 24 (3F in :36.20), 1 work in 30d

RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 4 starts here

M/L6-1

IQ47

TierLive

StyleP

Last4th · 21d

5EXOTICS

6Batant

Jockey Leonardo Corujo 22% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet · Trainer George R Albright 26% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet

Moves up from maiden claiming $11,000 to maiden special weight. Maiden through 12 starts.

PACE CHALLENGE Has early speed but company on the front end. (early-speed points: 6)

WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 17d ago

M/L8-1

IQ29

TierLive

StyleE

Last2nd · 34d

4Striker Joe

Jockey L E Perez 32% career ★ 13-for-63 on dirt this meet (21%) · Trainer Michael Ferraro 36% career 19-for-104 on dirt this meet (18%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Private Speaker 6-1, R2: King Solomon 7-2, R6: King Nique 5-1, R7: Go Yoshida 4-1 · Trainer R2: Gemello 5-1

L E Perez takes over from O K Hernandez in the saddle. Last out was 3rd, 7 lengths behind the winner, in a 7-horse maiden special weight race at FL.

EVEN PACE With the front end pressed, the late run has something to run at.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 33d back)

M/L3-1

IQ28

TierContender

StyleS

Last3rd · 21d

At a glance

Market favourite #5 SHAKEITFORTHEBIRD (2-1) — our number has it ranked #3.
#5 SHAKEITFORTHEBIRD — our #3 number, about right at the windows (25.5% to their 27.7%).
#4 STRIKER JOE — our #6 number, about right at the windows (20.9% to their 20.8%).
#3 SUNSHINE BOBALOU — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (18.2% to their 16.6%).

Value read · analysis, not advice

Verdict: PASS — market efficient — no edge, pass

No price-band edge — the market looks efficient here.

Pace

Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

Likely leader: #5 Shakeitforthebird; pressure from #6 Batant, #1 Wingo Starr; the shape helps #1 Wingo Starr, #2 Baby Meanie; and works against #3 Sunshine Bobalou, #5 Shakeitforthebird, #6 Batant.

Lead

5Shakeitforthebird866Batant80

Press

1Wingo Starr87

Stalk

2Baby Meanie76

4Striker Joe77

No style yet

3Sunshine Bobalou84

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Wingo Starr

Shakeitforthebird

Batant

Baby Meanie

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Striker Joe

How to play it

How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — an honest, pressed pace rewards the best horse — key tickets fit. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.

Win

#3 Sunshine Bobalou

Top of the field by a clear 40-pt IQ margin — the play stands alone to win.

Exacta — KEY

#3 Sunshine Bobalou OVER #1 Wingo Starr · #5 Shakeitforthebird · #2 Baby Meanie

Key #3 Sunshine Bobalou on top over your contenders for the 2nd slot.

Trifecta — KEY/WHEEL

#3 Sunshine Bobalou / #1 Wingo Starr · #5 Shakeitforthebird · #2 Baby Meanie / #1 Wingo Starr · #5 Shakeitforthebird · #2 Baby Meanie · #6 Batant

#3 Sunshine Bobalou keyed 1st, your contenders filling 2nd–3rd.

★ Value angle Live underneath: #2 Baby Meanie — the pace setup fits this one; use it in the 3rd/4th slots of your exotics for price.

Bet types offered at this track →

EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 CENT MINIMUM) * DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 3-4) *

PICK 3 (50 CENT MINIMUM: RACES 3-4-5) * PICK 4 (50 CENT MINIMUM: RACES 3-4-5-6)

See the Wager Logic primer for takeout + hit-rate context on each bet type. We give the structure; the wagering decision and amount are yours.