FL · RACE 5

UPCOMING

Claiming $5,000

Field

8 runners

Purse

$13,700

Post

2:51 PM ET

Pace

Speed Duel

IQ top

#3 · 91

PANELVALUE · lean #3 YAHEARMENOW [MAX]see full panel →

Claiming $5,000, for 3-year-olds and up, that have not won two races lifetime.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 6 Furlongs: 68.2

The shape is the story here: 3 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.

Our number tops on #3 Yahearmenow (a presser/stalker, M/L 5-1). Recent figures: 66 · 52 · 19. It exits a win and is clearly doing well. Backup is #7 Boom Shocka Boom at 5-2. Use #4 Renew The Blue in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

The field, ranked

Our order, top to bottom.

Speed Duel: Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

1WIN

3Yahearmenow

Jockey O K Hernandez 38% career ★ 7-for-31 on dirt this meet (23%), #2 of 25 · Trainer Paul Barrow 32% career ★ 15-for-74 on dirt this meet (20%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R2: Gemello 5-1, R6: Sir Kartrite 8-1 · Trainer R2: Charlie My Boy 8-5, R2: Big Ego 5-2, R4: My Cool Hand Luke 5-1, R7: Specialagentjonson 8-1 +1 more

CLASS DROPWON LAST

Last start was a win, in a 9-horse maiden claiming $5,000 race at FL at 12-1. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 66 against a 75 par.

EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

WORKS Routine prep: 0 works in 30d, last 60d ago

M/L5-1

IQ91

TierContender

StyleP

Last1st · 13d

2PLACE

7Boom Shocka Boom

Jockey Keiber J Coa 35% career 11-for-76 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Troy Smith 32% career 1-for-5 on dirt this meet ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R3: Shakeitforthebird 2-1, R6: Pompous Prince 4-1, R7: Steam Powered 6-1

CLASS UP

Class relief: $10,000 claiming last time, $5,000 claiming today. Jockey switch: Reylu Gutierrez last out, Keiber J Coa today.

PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 8)

WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 0 works in 30d, last 57d back

M/L5-2

IQ81

TierContender

StyleE

Last4th · 26d

3SHOW

4Renew The Blue

Jockey Jose Baez 21% career 4-for-31 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Dana Saul 26% career 3-for-26 on dirt this meet (12%)

Also today · Jockey R4: Sutton Breeze 4-1, R6: Canyouhearmerunnin 8-1 · Trainer R6: Canyouhearmerunnin 8-1, R8: Rocked Out 3-1

Cuts back from a mile to 6 furlongs. Jose Baez takes over from Steven Fret in the saddle.

PACE HELPS Several horses want the lead, which is the early heat a closer is looking for.

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on May 2 (4F in :49.20), 1 work in 30d

RECORD 0 wins, 4 on the board from 9 starts here

M/L6-1

IQ77

TierLive

StyleS

Last5th · 34d

4EXOTICS

5Anmolo

Jockey Diego Emanuel De 11-for-63 on dirt this meet (17%) · Trainer Nirka Huertas 21% career 1-for-10 on dirt this meet (10%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Rachel's Rock 5-2, R4: Solo's Fury 6-1

8/10 board here

Winless in 4 starts at this distance. Best recent figure is 66, well under the 75 par for this level.

PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 5)

WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 0 works in 30d, last 107d back

RECORD 1 win, 8 on the board from 10 starts here

M/L7-2

IQ54

TierLive

StyleE

Last3rd · 14d

5EXOTICS

1Ride Share

Jockey Kevin Navarro 29% career 5-for-46 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer Jonathan B Buckley 34% career 8-for-49 on dirt this meet (16%)

Also today · Jockey R7: Not For Hire 5-1 · Trainer R3: Sunshine Bobalou 4-1, R7: Not For Hire 5-1

Was running in $11,000 claiming; today's $5,000 claiming is an easier level on paper. A 66 is the high figure lately, short of the 75 par.

PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 4)

WORKS Average work schedule for this field (0 works in 30d, last 194d ago)

RECORD 1 win, 4 on the board from 10 starts here

M/L4-1

IQ53

TierLive

StyleE

Last8th · 40d

8Just A Guy

Jockey Jeremias Flores 32% career 9-for-46 on dirt this meet (20%) · Trainer Donna Bireta 18% career 0-for-6 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R2: Charlie My Boy 8-5 · Trainer R8: Ragtime Prankster 5-1

Was 5th of 6 at the first call last time. Beaten 8 lengths for 2nd in a 6-horse $5,000 claiming race at FL.

PACE HELPS Hot early fractions are likely, and that sets up a late run.

WORKS Average work schedule for this field (0 works in 30d, last 47d ago)

RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 10 starts here

M/L8-1

IQ52

TierLive

StyleS

Last2nd · 14d

6Eight Sunset Drive

Jockey C Russell 39% career 1-for-33 on dirt this meet (3%) · Trainer Robert W Cook 25% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R2: Solo Flight 12-1

0/10 board here

A 59 is the high figure lately, short of the 75 par. Finished 4th in a 6-horse $5,000 claiming race at FL, beaten 7 lengths.

EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.

WORKS Routine prep: 0 works in 30d, last 104d ago

RECORD Never on the board here in 10 starts

M/L10-1

IQ50

TierLongshot

StyleP

Last4th · 14d

2Midnight Musume

Jockey Ben S Joseph 0-for-22 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer Rachel Sells 23% career 5-for-38 on dirt this meet (13%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Joe G Twentythree 15-1, R4: Two Thirty A. M. 10-1 · Trainer R1: Rachel's Rock 5-2

Figures are climbing: 45, 46, 62 over its last three. A big drop, $11,000 claiming to $5,000 claiming, and worth asking why.

EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.

WORKS Average work schedule for this field (0 works in 30d, last 194d ago)

RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 10 starts here

M/L15-1

IQ28

TierLongshot

StyleE/P

Last5th · 12d

At a glance

Market favourite #7 BOOM SHOCKA BOOM (5-2) — our number has it ranked #2.
#7 BOOM SHOCKA BOOM — our #2 number, about right at the windows (22.2% to their 22.3%).
#5 ANMOLO — our #4 number, about right at the windows (16.1% to their 17.3%).
#3 YAHEARMENOW — our top number on the card, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 15.7%, they've got 13.0%.

Value read · analysis, not advice

Verdict: VALUE — #3 YAHEARMENOW — anchored 15.7% vs market 13.0% (+20.5% edge, LIVE band)

#3 YAHEARMENOW — we make it 15.7%, the morning line implies 13.0%. We're 20.5 points higher than the line — our opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds.

Pace

Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

Likely leader: #7 Boom Shocka Boom; pressure from #5 Anmolo, #1 Ride Share; the shape helps #4 Renew The Blue, #8 Just A Guy; and works against #1 Ride Share, #5 Anmolo, #7 Boom Shocka Boom.

Lead

7Boom Shocka Boom885Anmolo861Ride Share80

Press

2Midnight Musume80

Stalk

3Yahearmenow896Eight Sunset Drive84

8Just A Guy784Renew The Blue76

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Yahearmenow

Boom Shocka Boom

Anmolo

Eight Sunset Drive

Ride Share

Midnight Musume

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Renew The Blue

Just A Guy

How to play it

How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — the projected speed duel sets up closers underneath — spread the exotics deeper. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.

Win

#3 Yahearmenow

Top of the field by a clear 10-pt IQ margin — the play stands alone to win.

Exacta — KEY

#3 Yahearmenow OVER #7 Boom Shocka Boom · #4 Renew The Blue · #5 Anmolo

Key #3 Yahearmenow on top over your contenders for the 2nd slot.

Trifecta — KEY/WHEEL

#3 Yahearmenow / #7 Boom Shocka Boom · #4 Renew The Blue · #5 Anmolo / #7 Boom Shocka Boom · #4 Renew The Blue · #5 Anmolo · #1 Ride Share

#3 Yahearmenow keyed 1st, your contenders filling 2nd–3rd.

Superfecta — KEY

#3 Yahearmenow / #7 Boom Shocka Boom · #4 Renew The Blue · #5 Anmolo · #1 Ride Share / #7 Boom Shocka Boom · #4 Renew The Blue · #5 Anmolo · #1 Ride Share / ALL or #7 Boom Shocka Boom · #4 Renew The Blue · #5 Anmolo · #1 Ride Share

Deep enough field to spread a super — key the top, spread the next few, fill 4th wide.

★ Value angle Live underneath: #8 Just A Guy — the pace setup fits this one; use it in the 3rd/4th slots of your exotics for price.

Bet types offered at this track →

EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 CENT MINIMUM) * DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 5-6) *

LATE PICK 4 (50 CENT MINIMUM: RACES 5-6-7-8)

See the Wager Logic primer for takeout + hit-rate context on each bet type. We give the structure; the wagering decision and amount are yours.