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¼½FINISHSTART6 FURLONGS · DIRT · main1-turn · chute start

INDIANA DOWNS · RACE 2

UPCOMING

Optional Claiming $100,000

Field
8 runners
Purse
$46,240
Post
2:41 PM ET
Pace
Speed Duel
IQ top
#6 · 89
PANELPASS · lean #3 TRUE SILVER J P [STRONG]see full panel →

Claiming $100,000, for fillies, 2-year-olds, that have not won a race other than maiden, claiming, or starter.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 6 Furlongs: 67.59

The shape is the story here: 3 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.

Our number tops on #6 My Kid's Said No (early speed, M/L 8-5). Recent figures: 79 · 73 · 77. Backup is #2 Soul Of The Night at 2-1. Use #3 True Silver J P in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

The field, ranked

Our order, top to bottom.

Speed Duel: Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

1WIN
6My Kid's Said No
Jockey Silva Fausto Henrique Da 0-for-1 on dirt this meet · Trainer Tena Birdwell 22% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet
★ FASTEST WORK

Comes off a turf start and tries the dirt here. Tops the field on speed figures, an 87 against 84 for the next best.

PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 8)
WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on Sep 10; 1 work in 30d
M/L8-5
IQ89
TierTop
StyleE
Last5th · 24d
2PLACE
2Soul Of The Night
Jockey La Cruz Fernando De 10-for-77 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Brad H Cox 42% career 1-for-11 on dirt this meet (9%)
Also today · Jockey R1: Staymistyforme 7-2, R3: Rank Randy 5-2, R6: Brit's Wit 5-1, R7: Collective Beauty 3-1 +2 more · Trainer R7: Collective Beauty 3-1, R7: Dreaming Of Joy 5-2
WON LAST

Winner of an 11-horse maiden claiming $150,000 race at CD last time. Was running in maiden claiming $150,000; today's allowance optional claiming is an easier level on paper.

EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.
WORKS Routine prep: 2 works in 30d, last 9d ago
M/L2-1
IQ87
TierTop
StyleE/P
Last1st · 34d
3SHOW
3True Silver J P
Jockey Alex Achard 30% career 3-for-33 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer Israel Acevedo 22% career 1-for-2 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R4: Birkin Girl 5-1, R6: Navy Soul 10-1, R7: Cinquante Cinq 9-2
★ FASTEST WORK

Last race was on the turf; today it runs on the dirt. Back to 6 furlongs off a a mile race.

EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.
WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 39 days ago
M/L25-1
IQ73
TierLongshot
StyleP
Last7th · 31d
4EXOTICS
4Stella's Mischief
Jockey Marcelino Pedroza 8-for-64 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Tianna Richardville 23% career 3-for-23 on dirt this meet (13%)
Also today · Jockey R7: Let's Go Barbie 10-1 · Trainer R4: Birkin Girl 5-1
WON LAST3/3 board here

Figure of 84 on the record sits above the 79 par. Comes in off a victory in a 6-horse optional claiming race at IND.

EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.
WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 40 days ago
RECORD On the board in all 3 starts here (2 wins)
M/L5-1
IQ72
TierLive
StyleE/P
Last1st · 26d
5EXOTICS
8Liams Fancy
Jockey Walter A Rodriguez 34% career 1-for-4 on dirt this meet · Trainer Larry Rivelli 46% career 2-for-5 on dirt this meet ★ hot
Also today · Jockey R4: Justice Prevails 5-1, R5: The New Dixie 12-1

Figures are climbing: 61, 68, 82 over its last three. Led at the first call last time.

EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.
WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Jul 2 (4F in :48.20), 1 work in 30d
M/L8-1
IQ64
TierLive
StyleE/P
Last2nd · 26d
6
7Gin For Gem
Jockey Miguel Fernandez 29% career 1-for-3 on dirt this meet · Trainer Ian R Wilkes 27% career 1-for-2 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R4: Cool American 12-1
WON LAST

Carries 110 pounds, 5 less than last time. Last start was a win, in an 8-horse maiden special weight race at IND at 2.2-1.

PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 6)
WORKS Routine prep: 2 works in 30d, last 10d ago
M/L3-1
IQ51
TierLive
StyleE
Last1st · 33d
7
5C C's Gift
Jockey Victor Lara 26% career ★ 6-for-23 on dirt this meet (26%), #1 of 38 · Trainer Genaro Garcia 32% career 15-for-80 on dirt this meet (19%)

Runs for $46,240 today after a $102,400 race last time. An 84 in its last five clears the 79 par for this level.

PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 6)
TROUBLED TRIP 4p; bmp; checked3/16 last out; the speed figure already reflects it.
WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 34d ago
RECORD 1 win, 1 on the board from 3 starts here
M/L30-1
IQ36
TierOut
StyleE
Last5th · 27d
8
1Mo Town Foxy Brown
Jockey Amir Mendoza 19% career ★ 16-for-79 on dirt this meet (20%) · Trainer Genaro Garcia 32% career 15-for-80 on dirt this meet (19%)
Also today · Jockey R1: Higher Wish 5-1, R3: El Payasito 2-1, R6: Huevos D'Oro 30-1, R6: St. Armands Key 5-2 +2 more · Trainer R1: Higher Wish 5-1, R1: Delcap Alice 12-1, this race: C C's Gift 30-1, R3: El Payasito 2-1 +2 more
WON LAST

Won last out in a 6-horse maiden claiming $20,000 race at IND. Moves up from maiden claiming $20,000 to allowance optional claiming.

PACE HELPS Several horses want the lead, which is the early heat a closer is looking for.
WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 2 works in 30d and the last 5d back
M/L25-1
IQ28
TierOut
StyleS
Last1st · 46d

At a glance

  • Market favourite #6 MY KID'S SAID NO (8-5) — our number agrees.
  • #6 MY KID'S SAID NO — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (28.9% to their 28.4%).
  • #2 SOUL OF THE NIGHT — our #2 number, about right at the windows (25.5% to their 24.6%).
  • #7 GIN FOR GEM — our #6 number, about right at the windows (16.4% to their 18.5%).

Value read · analysis, not advice

Verdict: LONGSHOT-VALUE — #3 TRUE SILVER J P — convergence longshot: fair 3.8% over market 2.8% with PACE_FITS
  • Longshot value: #3 TRUE SILVER J P (25-1) — our fair 3.8% is above the morning line's 2.8%; supported by: 6-way speed duel up front — meltdown sets up the closer

Pace

Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

Likely leader: #6 My Kid's Said No; pressure from #5 C C's Gift, #7 Gin For Gem; the shape helps #1 Mo Town Foxy Brown; and works against #5 C C's Gift, #6 My Kid's Said No, #7 Gin For Gem.

Lead
6My Kid's Said No1135C C's Gift997Gin For Gem81
Press
8Liams Fancy964Stella's Mischief892Soul Of The Night86
Stalk
3True Silver J P86
Close
1Mo Town Foxy Brown80

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

6
My Kid's Said No
113
5
C C's Gift
99
8
Liams Fancy
96
4
Stella's Mischief
89
2
Soul Of The Night
86
3
True Silver J P
86
7
Gin For Gem
81

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

1
Mo Town Foxy Brown
17

How to play it

How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — the projected speed duel sets up closers underneath — spread the exotics deeper. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.

Place / Show

#6 My Kid's Said No · #2 Soul Of The Night · #3 True Silver J P

Top trio is bunched — backing one to hit the board is sounder than a flat win bet.

Exacta — BOX

#6 My Kid's Said No · #2 Soul Of The Night · #3 True Silver J P

Top three are close — a 3-horse box covers the likely 1-2 in any order.

Trifecta — BOX

#6 My Kid's Said No · #2 Soul Of The Night · #3 True Silver J P

Box the top three for any 1-2-3 order; add a 4th only if the field is wide open.

Superfecta — KEY

#6 My Kid's Said No / #2 Soul Of The Night · #3 True Silver J P · #4 Stella's Mischief · #8 Liams Fancy / #2 Soul Of The Night · #3 True Silver J P · #4 Stella's Mischief · #8 Liams Fancy / ALL or #2 Soul Of The Night · #3 True Silver J P · #4 Stella's Mischief · #8 Liams Fancy

Deep enough field to spread a super — key the top, spread the next few, fill 4th wide.

★ Value angle Live underneath: #1 Mo Town Foxy Brown — the pace setup fits this one; use it in the 3rd/4th slots of your exotics for price.
Bet types offered at this track →

DAILY DOUBLE / EXACTA / TRIFECTA / 50 CENT TRIFECTA / SUPERFECTA

10 CENT SUPERFECTA / 50 CENT PICK 3 (RACES 2-3-4) / $1 PICK 4 (RACES 2-3-4-5)

See the Wager Logic primer for takeout + hit-rate context on each bet type. We give the structure; the wagering decision and amount are yours.

For information only — not financial or wagering advice. Must be 21+ to wager where required by law. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, help is available.