INDIANA DOWNS · RACE 4

UPCOMING

Claiming $30,000

Field

10 runners

Purse

$38,080

Post

3:43 PM ET

Pace

Pressed Pace

IQ top

#6 · 91

PANELVALUE · lean #6 BIRKIN GIRL [MAX]see full panel →

Claiming $30,000, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up, that have not won two races other than maiden, claiming, or starter.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 1 Mile: 93.19

The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.

Our number tops on #6 Birkin Girl (a closer, M/L 5-1). Recent figures: 64 · 78 · 87. Backup is #5 In For A Spin at 15-1. Use #7 Cool American in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

The field, ranked

Our order, top to bottom.

Pressed Pace: Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

1WIN

6Birkin Girl

Jockey Alex Achard 30% career ★ 11-for-45 on turf this meet (24%), #2 of 29 · Trainer Tianna Richardville 23% career 1-for-7 on turf this meet

Also today · Jockey R2: True Silver J P 25-1, R6: Navy Soul 10-1, R7: Cinquante Cinq 9-2 · Trainer R2: Stella's Mischief 5-1

CLASS UP2/3 board here

Figures have slipped: 87, 78, 64 over its last three. Moves up from $20,000 claiming to $30,000 claiming.

EVEN PACE Honest early fractions give a closer a fair shot late.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 33 days ago

RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 3 starts here

M/L5-1

IQ91

TierContender

StyleS

Last7th · 22d

2PLACE

5In For A Spin

Jockey Victor R Carrasco 27% career 0-for-10 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Caio Caramori 30% career 0-for-2 on turf this meet

★ FASTEST WORK

Was running in allowance; today's $30,000 claiming is an easier level on paper. Tops the field on speed figures, a 90 against 87 for the next best.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

WORKS SHARP 4f in :47.00 on Jul 16 was the best time at that distance that morning; 0 works in 30d

M/L15-1

IQ82

TierLive

StyleE/P

Last7th · 39d

3SHOW

7Cool American

Jockey Miguel Fernandez 29% career 1-for-4 on turf this meet · Trainer Michelle Lovell 25% career 1-for-2 on turf this meet

Also today · Jockey R2: Gin For Gem 3-1

CLASS DROP3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

Carries 113 pounds, 5 less than last time. 3rd of 15 at 4F on Sep 6, in :49.40.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

TROUBLED TRIP Asked 5wd; no rally last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 3 works in 30d and the last 5d back

M/L12-1

IQ78

TierLive

StyleP

Last7th · 40d

4EXOTICS

10Goldenageactress

Jockey Emmanuel Esquivel 36% career ★ 3-for-15 on turf this meet (20%) · Trainer Cipriano Contreras 36% career 2-for-10 on turf this meet (20%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R8: Windy Storm 5-1 · Trainer R8: Cloudless Day 10-1

180D+ LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORK

341 days since the last start, the longest layoff in here, so it needs the works to say it's ready. Changes barns, from Linda Rice to Cipriano Contreras.

PACE CHALLENGE Has early speed but company on the front end. (early-speed points: 6)

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 5F on Oct 6; 2 works in 30d

M/L4-1

IQ68

TierLive

StyleE

Last4th · 341d

5EXOTICS

1Si O Si

Jockey R Prescott 26% career 3-for-17 on turf this meet (18%) · Trainer Randy Matthews 26% career 0-for-5 on turf this meet

Also today · Jockey R3: Speedy Spirit 12-1, R6: Daddys Dream 15-1 · Trainer this race: Belongtothenavy 20-1, R6: Memphis Pharoah 5-1

Best recent figure is 66, well under the 74 par for this level. Trending the wrong way on speed, 66 to 61 to 60.

PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 69 days ago

RECORD 2 wins, 4 on the board from 11 starts here

M/L6-1

IQ61

TierLive

StyleP

Last4th · 12d

9Tiz Wine Time

Jockey Andres P Ulloa 24% career 1-for-8 on turf this meet (12%) · Trainer Anthony J Granitz 26% career 4-for-24 on turf this meet (17%)

Also today · Jockey R8: Superstitious 12-1 · Trainer R8: Wealth N Taste 6-1

WON LAST

Last start was a win, in a 10-horse $20,000 claiming race at IND at 9.7-1. Has moved up each time out, 51 to 64 to 72.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 48d back)

RECORD 2 wins, 2 on the board from 6 starts here

M/L2-1

IQ60

TierContender

StyleE/P

Last1st · 22d

3Justice Prevails

Jockey Walter A Rodriguez 34% career 0-for-7 on turf this meet · Trainer Colby Williams 31% career ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R2: Liams Fancy 8-1, R5: The New Dixie 12-1 · Trainer R5: The New Dixie 12-1

Comes off a dirt start and tries the turf here. Raises its level, $20,000 claiming last time and $30,000 claiming now.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 2 works in 30d, last 19d back

M/L5-1

IQ59

TierLive

StyleE/P

Last5th · 11d

2Belongtothenavy

Jockey Joseph C Bealmear 26% career 3-for-35 on turf this meet (9%) · Trainer Randy Matthews 26% career 0-for-5 on turf this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Pernicious 20-1, R6: Memphis Pharoah 5-1 · Trainer this race: Si O Si 6-1, R6: Memphis Pharoah 5-1

New trainer: James Butcher had it last time, Randy Matthews now. Last race was on the dirt; today it runs on the turf.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on Jul 25; 2 works in 30d

M/L20-1

IQ55

TierLongshot

StyleE/P

Last4th · 49d

4Valeska's Promise

Jockey Hannah Leahey 21% career 0-for-10 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Miguel Silva 34% career 0-for-5 on turf this meet

Also today · Jockey R3: Indy Lake 15-1, R8: Best Hat 15-1 · Trainer R3: Indy Lake 15-1, R6: Summer Lover 12-1

60D LAYOFFWON LAST

Comes in off a victory in an 8-horse maiden special weight race at LS. Freshened 142 days. Watch how its recent works look.

EVEN PACE Real pressure up front should bring the pace back to it.

SHARP LAST OUT Drew off; easy winner last out, and it did it the right way.

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 2 works in 30d, last 5d ago

M/L15-1

IQ45

TierLongshot

StyleS

Last1st · 142d

8Tidal Tactics

Jockey Guillermo Rodriguez 34% career 0-for-2 on turf this meet · Trainer Jerred Mitchell 23% career

Also today · Jockey R7: Soaring Angel 10-1

0 for 8 at today's distance. Finished 9th in an 11-horse allowance race at KEE, beaten 11 lengths.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 136d back)

M/L20-1

IQ28

TierOut

StyleP

Last9th · 13d

At a glance

Market favourite #9 TIZ WINE TIME (2-1) — our number has it ranked #6.
#9 TIZ WINE TIME — our #6 number, about right at the windows (24.1% to their 25.5%).
#6 BIRKIN GIRL — our top number on the card, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 15.3%, they've got 12.8%.
#10 GOLDENAGEACTRESS — our #4 number, about right at the windows (14.2% to their 15.3%).

Value read · analysis, not advice

Verdict: VALUE — #6 BIRKIN GIRL — anchored 15.3% vs market 12.8% (+19.5% edge, LIVE band)

#6 BIRKIN GIRL — we make it 15.3%, the morning line implies 12.8%. We're 19.5 points higher than the line — our opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds.
Longshot value: #5 IN FOR A SPIN (15-1) — our fair 5.9% is above the morning line's 4.8%; needs the trip to fall right.

Pace

Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

Likely leader: #10 Goldenageactress; pressure from #9 Tiz Wine Time, #5 In For A Spin; the shape helps #1 Si O Si, #2 Belongtothenavy, #3 Justice Prevails; and works against #10 Goldenageactress.

Lead

10Goldenageactress79

Press

9Tiz Wine Time935In For A Spin912Belongtothenavy883Justice Prevails87

Stalk

7Cool American851Si O Si738Tidal Tactics70

6Birkin Girl824Valeska's Promise80

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Tiz Wine Time

In For A Spin

Belongtothenavy

Justice Prevails

Cool American

Goldenageactress

Si O Si

Tidal Tactics

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Valeska's Promise

Birkin Girl

How to play it

How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — an honest, pressed pace rewards the best horse — key tickets fit. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.

Win

#6 Birkin Girl

Top of the field by a clear 9-pt IQ margin — the play stands alone to win.

Exacta — KEY

#6 Birkin Girl OVER #5 In For A Spin · #7 Cool American · #10 Goldenageactress

Key #6 Birkin Girl on top over your contenders for the 2nd slot.

Trifecta — KEY/WHEEL

#6 Birkin Girl / #5 In For A Spin · #7 Cool American · #10 Goldenageactress / #5 In For A Spin · #7 Cool American · #10 Goldenageactress · #1 Si O Si

#6 Birkin Girl keyed 1st, your contenders filling 2nd–3rd.

Superfecta — KEY

#6 Birkin Girl / #5 In For A Spin · #7 Cool American · #10 Goldenageactress · #1 Si O Si / #5 In For A Spin · #7 Cool American · #10 Goldenageactress · #1 Si O Si / ALL or #5 In For A Spin · #7 Cool American · #10 Goldenageactress · #1 Si O Si

Deep enough field to spread a super — key the top, spread the next few, fill 4th wide.

★ Value angle Live underneath: #1 Si O Si — the pace setup fits this one; use it in the 3rd/4th slots of your exotics for price.

Bet types offered at this track →

DAILY DOUBLE / EXACTA / TRIFECTA / 50 CENT TRIFECTA / SUPERFECTA

10 CENT SUPERFECTA

See the Wager Logic primer for takeout + hit-rate context on each bet type. We give the structure; the wagering decision and amount are yours.