MOUNTAINEER PARK · RACE 6
UPCOMINGClaiming $4,000
Claiming $4,000, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up, that have not won a race other than maiden, claiming, or starter.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 1 Mile: 93.44
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #6 Wild Looker (a closer, M/L 15-1). Recent figures: 50 · 58 · 60. Backup is #5 Morning Line News at 10-1. Use #7 Sufferin Succotash in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Trending the wrong way on speed, 60 to 58 to 50. Was 6th of 7 at the first call last time.
A longer trip: 5½ furlongs last out, a mile today. Figures have slipped: 59, 52, 48 over its last three.
Carries 114 pounds, 10 less than last time. Last out was 7th, 22 lengths behind the winner, in a 7-horse $4,000 claiming race at MNR.
3rd of 8 at 3F on Jun 2, in :38.20. Has moved up each time out, 55 to 58 to 61.
The Apr 28 work, 4F in :49.80, was the best time at that distance that morning. Beaten 8 lengths for 3rd in a 7-horse $4,000 claiming race at MNR.
Tops the field on speed figures, a 72 against 67 for the next best. Ranks first in the field on Brisnet Prime Power.
Best recent figure is 55, well under the 73 par for this level. 5th last time, 8½ lengths back, in a field of 7.
Was running in $5,000 claiming; today's $4,000 claiming is an easier level on paper. Finished 8th in a 10-horse $5,000 claiming race at MNR, beaten 9¼ lengths.
At a glance
- Market favourite #1 SHE'S A SAINT (2-1) — our number has it ranked #6.
- #1 SHE'S A SAINT — our #6 number, about right at the windows (24.8% to their 26.4%).
- #8 MARKET OF STOCKS — our #4 number, about right at the windows (20.1% to their 19.8%).
- #4 HARLAN'S LEGACY — our #5 number, about right at the windows (16.7% to their 17.6%).
Value read
- Longshot value: #6 WILD LOOKER (15-1) — our fair 6.8% is above the morning line's 5.0%; needs the trip to fall right.
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #3 Amalfi Lady; pressure from #2 Q Bond, #7 Sufferin Succotash; the shape helps #1 She's A Saint, #7 Sufferin Succotash, #8 Market Of Stocks; and works against #2 Q Bond, #3 Amalfi Lady.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — an honest, pressed pace rewards the best horse — key tickets fit. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Win / Place
#6 Wild Looker (place saver: #5 Morning Line News)
#6 Wild Looker rates the best; #5 Morning Line News the logical insurance if you want to be covered.
Exacta — BOX
#6 Wild Looker · #5 Morning Line News
Two standouts with little between them — box #6 Wild Looker and #5 Morning Line News both ways.
Trifecta — BOX
#6 Wild Looker · #5 Morning Line News · #7 Sufferin Succotash
Box the top three for any 1-2-3 order; add a 4th only if the field is wide open.
Superfecta — KEY
#6 Wild Looker / #5 Morning Line News · #7 Sufferin Succotash · #8 Market Of Stocks · #4 Harlan's Legacy / #5 Morning Line News · #7 Sufferin Succotash · #8 Market Of Stocks · #4 Harlan's Legacy / ALL or #5 Morning Line News · #7 Sufferin Succotash · #8 Market Of Stocks · #4 Harlan's Legacy
Deep enough field to spread a super — key the top, spread the next few, fill 4th wide.
Bet types offered at this track →
$2 EXACTA $1 BOX $1 TRIFECTA $.50 BOX $1 SUPERFECTA $.20 BOX $2 PICK 3 (RACES
6-8) $1 WHEEL