MOUNTAINEER PARK · RACE 2
UPCOMINGOptional Claiming $10,000
Claiming $10,000, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 1 Mile: 93.3
The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.
Our number tops on #13 Little Lamb Chop (a presser/stalker, M/L 7-2). Recent figures: 71 · 73 · 72. It exits a win and is clearly doing well. Backup is #8 New Ways To Dream at 6-1. Use #12 Canadian Bear in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
New trainer: Kevin Rice had it last time, Jeff Fletcher now. Stretches out from 6 furlongs to a mile.
Figures are climbing: 51, 64, 70 over its last three. Posted the fastest 4F work of the morning on Apr 28, in :48.00.
Last race was on the dirt; today it runs on the turf. Beaten 11 lengths for 4th in a 6-horse optional claiming race at MNR.
Last out was 2nd, 2 lengths behind the winner, in a 7-horse $5,000 claiming race at MED. A 69 is the high figure lately, short of the 77 par.
Quick turnaround, just 10 days since the last start. 0 for 6 at today's distance.
Moves up from $5,000 claiming to optional claiming. A longer trip: 5 furlongs last out, a mile today.
A step up in company: $7,500 claiming before, optional claiming today. A 72 top number against a 77 par, so it fits the level.
Comes in off a victory in a 6-horse optional claiming race at MNR. Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 87, with 83 next best.
Worked 4F in :49.20 on Aug 9, 2nd of 7 at the distance. Goes a mile after running 7 furlongs last time.
Switches from dirt to turf. Beaten 13 lengths for 2nd in a 9-horse $4,000 claiming race at MNR.
Last race was on the dirt; today it runs on the turf. Dropped in well back early last out, 6th of 6 at the first call.
Raises its level, $5,000 claiming last time and optional claiming now. Comes off a dirt start and tries the turf here.
A 66 is the high figure lately, short of the 77 par. Stretches out from 7 furlongs to a mile.
Winless in 12 starts at this distance. Finished 5th in a 6-horse $7,500 claiming race at MNR, beaten 10 lengths.
At a glance
- Market favourite #4 GOLDCREST (2-1) — our number has it ranked #8.
- #4 GOLDCREST — our #8 number, about right at the windows (14.7% to their 16.3%).
- #13 LITTLE LAMB CHOP — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (11.8% to their 10.9%).
- #6 TUENDA — our #11 number, about right at the windows (11.0% to their 12.2%).
Value read
- Longshot value: #8 NEW WAYS TO DREAM (6-1) — our fair 8.1% is above the morning line's 7.0%; needs the trip to fall right.
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #8 New Ways To Dream; pressure from #1 My Lucky Deia, #12 Canadian Bear; the shape helps #1 My Lucky Deia, #3 Ice Queen, #4 Goldcrest; and works against #8 New Ways To Dream.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — an honest, pressed pace rewards the best horse — key tickets fit. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Place / Show
#13 Little Lamb Chop · #8 New Ways To Dream · #12 Canadian Bear
Top trio is bunched — backing one to hit the board is sounder than a flat win bet.
Exacta — BOX
#13 Little Lamb Chop · #8 New Ways To Dream · #12 Canadian Bear
Top three are close — a 3-horse box covers the likely 1-2 in any order.
Trifecta — BOX
#13 Little Lamb Chop · #8 New Ways To Dream · #12 Canadian Bear
Box the top three for any 1-2-3 order; add a 4th only if the field is wide open.
Superfecta — KEY
#13 Little Lamb Chop / #8 New Ways To Dream · #12 Canadian Bear · #11 Cheekiest · #14 Alcohol / #8 New Ways To Dream · #12 Canadian Bear · #11 Cheekiest · #14 Alcohol / ALL or #8 New Ways To Dream · #12 Canadian Bear · #11 Cheekiest · #14 Alcohol
Deep enough field to spread a super — key the top, spread the next few, fill 4th wide.
Bet types offered at this track →
2ND HALF DAILY DOUBLE $2 EXACTA $1 BOX $1 TRIFECTA $.50 BOX $1 SUPERFECTA $.20
BOX $2 PICK 3 (RACES 2-4) $1 WHEEL